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AI模型竞赛陷瓶颈,万亿美元支出前景遭投资回报拷问
第一财经· 2025-09-28 08:45
专家认为,大语言模型已逐渐触及瓶颈,尽管投入资金和数据量巨大,其性能提升却日益有限。 在投资热潮持续扩大的背景下,科技巨头对AI,特别是大语言模型(LLM)的投入依然强劲,但市场 也开始出现对其投资回报可持续性的质疑。 硅谷著名风险投资人、银湖资本前联合创始人麦克纳米(Roger McNamee)本周撰文表示,股东、董事 和高管可能很快将要求企业证明其在LLM技术上的巨额投入能够带来相应的经济回报。他认为,对于 多数参与者而言,答案或许并不乐观,而这一局面的后果可能是整个行业难以承受的。 苏黎世应用科技大学管理与法学院商业信息技术研究所研究员佩赫托(Václav Pechtor)接受第一财经 记者专访时也表示,大科技公司未来的重点将聚焦实用、可靠的应用,而不是一味扩大模型规模。 佩赫托表示,大语言模型已逐渐触及瓶颈,尽管投入资金和数据量巨大,其性能提升却日益有限。目前 科技巨头尚可凭借雄厚财力维持高额投入,但随着投入与回报失衡的问题凸显,"投资者将失去耐心, 并想要看到结果。我认为大语言模型竞赛会走到终点"。 "投资者的耐心并非无限" 麦克纳米表示,美国多家科技巨头,包括谷歌、亚马逊、Meta、xAi、微软、 ...
Prediction: Wall Street's Most Valuable Public Company by 2030 Will Be This Dual-Industry Leader (No, Not Nvidia)
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-28 07:06
A historically inexpensive trillion-dollar business has the necessary catalysts to leapfrog the likes of Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft by the turn of the decade.For much of the last 16 years, the stock market has been unstoppable. With the exception of the five-week COVID-19 crash in February-March 2020, and the roughly nine-month bear market in 2022, the bulls have been in firm control on Wall Street.The catalyst for this ongoing outperformance primarily rests with Wall Street's trillion-dollar businesses. ...
Jeff Bezos' Billionaire Dad With $40 Billion Fortune Hires CEO To Run His Family Office - Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN)
Benzinga· 2025-09-28 06:44
Mike Bezos, father of Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos, is significantly expanding his family office to manage the family's multi-generational wealth, reflecting the growing trend of private family offices in the U.S.Aurora Borealis Hires CEO To Manage Multi-Billion-Dollar Family WealthMike Bezos' family office, Aurora Borealis, recently hired Valeria Alberola as CEO to oversee operations from Miami and is searching for a Chief Investment Officer to manage the family's investment portfolio, ...
Amazon (AMZN) Stock Upgraded to Overweight on AWS Growth Outlook
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 22:42
评级与目标价调整 - 富国银行分析师将亚马逊评级从平配上调至超配 目标价从245美元上调至280美元 [1] AWS收入增长预期 - 预计2026年AWS收入增速将提升至22% 高于此前预期的19%和市场共识的18% [4] - 预计2027年AWS收入增速将进一步提升 主要受Project Rainier项目推动 [4] - 预计2026-2027年AWS收入预期分别上调3%和7% [4] Project Rainier项目详情 - Project Rainier是亚马逊为Anthropic在印第安纳州建设的专用数据中心 计划2026年1月投入运营 [2][4] - 项目第一阶段1.3GW将于2026年1月上线 第二阶段将于2026年第四季度上线 [4] - 项目完全达产后总容量2.2GW 预计每年为AWS贡献140亿美元收入 [2][4] - 预计该项目将为2026年和2027年AWS增长分别贡献5%和4%的增量 [4] 市场份额变化 - 预计AWS市场份额将从2024年的47%下降至2029年的32% [4] - 预计2025年市场份额损失达到峰值 同比下降470个基点 [4] - 预计2026年市场份额损失收窄至同比下降420个基点 2027年进一步收窄至同比下降260个基点 [4] 行业增长前景 - 预计云行业将从2024年的2300亿美元增长至2029年的8700亿美元 年复合增长率达31% [4] - 尽管AWS市场份额下降 但行业整体扩张将推动增长加速 [2][4] Anthropic合作影响 - 预计Anthropic将为2026年AWS收入增长贡献7个百分点 高于2025年的3个百分点 [4] - Project Rainier项目主要服务于Anthropic的计算需求 [2][4] 执行风险因素 - 项目执行面临供应链约束和大规模Trainium芯片部署的不确定性 [4] - 预计2026年和2027年AWS营业利润率将因AI部署分别压缩270个基点和180个基点 [4]
Amazon Balances Strong Quarter and Prime Event with H-1B Visa Fee Challenge
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 18:15
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is one of the 12 High-Risk High-Reward Growth Stocks to Buy Right Now. Amid a positive second quarter and the announcement of Prime Big Deal Days, the company faces pressure with the new fee on H-1B visas. Amazon Balances Strong Quarter and Prime Event with H-1B Visa Fee Challenge In its Q2 earnings results, reported on July 31, 2025, the company announced a 13% year-over-year increase in net sales, reaching a revenue of $167.7 billion. Sales in the North America Segment a ...
Geopolitical Energy Stance and Divergent Tech Growth Forecasts Shape Market Outlook
Stock Market News· 2025-09-27 15:08
Key TakeawaysSlovakia has affirmed its commitment to not quickly abandon Russian oil supplies, a stance reiterated by President Peter Pellegrini during recent talks with US President Donald Trump in New York.Tesla (TSLA) is projected to lead the "Magnificent Seven" tech giants with an estimated 150% revenue growth over the five-year period from 2025 to 2030.Apple (AAPL) faces a comparatively modest growth outlook, with an estimated 10% revenue increase over the same five-year span.Other major tech players l ...
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Shutters All 19 of Its Fresh Supermarkets in the U.K., Files a Lawsuit in Brooklyn Federal Court
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 14:44
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is one of the 13 Best Diversified Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Shutters All 19 of Its Fresh Supermarkets in the U.K., Files a Lawsuit in Brooklyn Federal Court Pixabay/ Public Domain On September 23, 2025, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) decided to shutter all 19 of its Fresh supermarkets in the U.K., following a review of its physical grocery operations. However, five of those stores will be converted into Whole Foods locations. The compa ...
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Shutters All 19 of Its Fresh Supermarkets in the U.K., Files a Lawsuit in Brooklyn Federal Court
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 14:44
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is one of the 13 Best Diversified Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Shutters All 19 of Its Fresh Supermarkets in the U.K., Files a Lawsuit in Brooklyn Federal Court Pixabay/ Public Domain On September 23, 2025, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) decided to shutter all 19 of its Fresh supermarkets in the U.K., following a review of its physical grocery operations. However, five of those stores will be converted into Whole Foods locations. The compa ...
North America’s Shifting Tides: Canada Courts Tech Talent Amidst US Visa Shake-Up, While Wall Street Grapples with Resilient Yet Worrisome Equities
Stock Market News· 2025-09-27 13:38
Key TakeawaysCanadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is actively pursuing a strategy to attract global technology talent, particularly those dislodged from the United States by President Donald Trump's new $100,000 H-1B visa fee, positioning Canada as a preferred destination for skilled workers.The Trump administration's new H-1B visa charge, which took effect recently, has sparked "confusion and panic" across Silicon Valley, with major tech firms like Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOGL), and Microsoft ...
The AI hype is starting to fade on Wall Street. Here’s what investors need to know.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 13:19
Super Micro’s shares have been on a roller-coaster run over the past two years and have yet to return to their record peak from early 2024. Meanwhile, CoreWeave has seen the wave of demand that followed its initial public offering fade, as its shares have retreated from their June peak, FactSet data showed.In commentary published earlier this week, Sosnick highlighted what some have described as the dangerously insular nature of AI-related spending. The hyperscalers — Microsoft Corp. MSFT, Amazon.com Inc. A ...