Sven Hoppe/picture alliance via Getty Images Gold prices are on track for their best year since 1979. Bullion is up 39% year-to-date, outpacing the stock market's gain. Economic uncertainty and expectations for lower rates are some of what's driving the momentum. Gold bugs are having their best year in decades. That's thanks to bullion's stunning rally in 2025, with the price of gold rising more than 39% to date. That's outpaced gains in stocks, with the S&P 500 up just 12% year-to-date. The big j ...

美联储议息会议预期 - 市场普遍预期美联储将加息25个基点 该预期已被充分定价[2] - 超预期加息50个基点或维持利率不变的可能性极低 因美联储倾向于避免意外政策[2] - 预计政策声明不会出现鹰派论调 即不会强调长期维持限制性政策立场[3] 股市表现特征 - 标普500指数自4月下旬以来仅出现3个单日跌幅超1%的交易日 市场环境异常平静[4] - 股市从4月8日低点累计上涨32% 呈现持续震荡上行态势[7][8] - 市场广度改善 科技板块外金融、工业和消费等板块表现强劲[12] 宏观经济基本面 - 亚特兰大联储跟踪的GDP增速达3.4% 经济强度超年初预期[9] - 消费者部门占经济总量70% 就业稳定且工资增长率达5%[10] - 制造业复兴持续 特别是数据中心相关领域保持三年增长势头[11] - 劳动力市场温和降温而非崩溃 为美联储提供宽松政策空间[11] 企业盈利状况 - 经济增长转化为显著改善的企业盈利 盈利预期持续上修[9] - 盈利增长成为股市主要驱动力 预计未来将继续引领市场上行[12] - 部分消费品牌如Deckers实现两位数盈利增长及毛利率扩张[17] 消费支出趋势 - 8月零售销售数据超预期 显示消费支出保持健康增长[13][14] - 大通银行数据显示8月消费支出较7月加速 美国运通报告7-8月消费较6月增长[16] - 返校季销售强劲 为假日销售季奠定良好基础[16] 重点公司分析 - Deckers旗下Hoka和UGG品牌表现突出 尽管股价年内下跌43%但基本面强劲[17] - Gap在牛仔服饰周期中保持市场份额 旗下Old Navy品牌位列行业第三[18] - Target估值具吸引力 市盈率11倍且股息收益率达5% 新CEO推动内部变革[19] - Chipotle宣布扩大股票回购计划 当前29倍前瞻市盈率低于历史平均46倍[20]

The Republican-controlled Senate on Monday voted in favor of President Donald Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve governor, Stephen Miran, ending some of the uncertainty around this week's Fed meeting that's widely expected to deliver a cut to interest rates. ...

The S&P 500 hit another record close. But what happens when the rate cut finally arrives? ...

Of course, investors look to a real estate income ETF for more than just performance, but also yield and distributions. According to SS&C ALPS Advisors data, the strategy saw a 6.18% trailing 12-month yield as of September 12. It also offered a $0.55810 quarterly distribution as of June 25. Is now the time to add some REIT exposure to portfolios? It may well be — dropping rates could really see those real estate investment trusts (REITs) once again excite curious investors. That category, then, deserves gr ...

Gold (GC=F) futures opened at $3,680.20 per ounce on Monday, up 0.8% from Friday’s close of $3,649.40. Gold has opened above $3,600 daily since September 9. Investors are awaiting the Fed’s next interest rate decision on September 17. A 25-basis-point cut is widely expected, though President Trump told reporters Sunday that he expected “a big cut.” The Fed will also release its dot plot this week, a chart outlining how each Fed committee member predicts interest rates will evolve over the next few years. ...

At the risk of under-selling it, this has been an eventful week. With key inflation data milder than many had expected and jobless claims surging week over week, the U.S. economy looks primed for an interest rate cut at next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting next week.Inflation on the retail side yesterday, via the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, saw only mild tariff pass-throughs to the consumer. Headline CPI came in at +0.4%, 10 basis points (bps) warmer than expected, but general ...

Trading on Wall Street was quietly mixed early Friday as markets near the end of another record-setting week ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday.Futures for the S&P 500 were flat, while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.2% and Nasdaq futures ticked up 0.1%.Following a mixed set of U.S. data on Thursday, markets are banking that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week, which should give the economy a boost.The Fed has been hesitant to cut interes ...

黄金上涨催化剂 - 央行购买和西方投资者担忧美国双赤字（预算赤字和贸易赤字）膨胀推动黄金创历史新高 [1][2] - 中国零售购买和央行多元化美元资产需求持续支撑金价 [1][2] - 长期结构性因素包括地缘政治风险和美元替代需求 [1][2] 黄金矿业公司投资机会 - Agnico Eagle Mines为首选标的 目标价209美元 市值700亿美元 具有低成本和高勘探潜力 [2][4] - 优质矿企特征为兑现产量指引 项目执行良好 资本支出部署高效 金价上涨时股价表现通常达金价涨幅2倍 [3] - 公司具备规模增长优势 拥有高前景项目组合 [4] 铂金市场动态 - 铂金ETF（PPLT）出现大幅资金流入 主因南非供应有限和俄罗斯供应渠道受限 [4][5] - 中国需求可能加速 驱动因素包括珠宝购买和氢能基础设施投资 [5] - 直接投资渠道有限 主要通过实物资产或南非上市公司获取敞口 [5] 利率政策对金属影响 - 美联储降息周期可能推动白银表现超越黄金 因白银在黄金牛市中通常有超额收益 [6][7] - 看好白银价格前景 覆盖标的包括Pan-American Silver（买入评级） [7] - 宽松货币政策环境可能进一步催化贵金属板块整体上行 [6][7]

Thursday, September 11, 2025After a mostly in-line inflation report ahead of today’s opening bell from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and a surprise spike in new jobless claims spurred markets to record highs today. The Dow gained +617 points, +1.36%, to an all-time record closing high 46,108. The S&P 500 grew +55 points, +0.85%, to 6587 for the first time ever. The Nasdaq added +157 points, +0.72%, to an all-time high 22,043. Only the small-cap Russell 2000 is off its all-time high from late 2021, but stil ...