奥多比(ADBE)

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Adobe Downgraded. Generative AI Isn't All It's Cracked Up to Be.
Barrons· 2025-09-24 15:39
Some analysts say the company's investment in AI isn't panning out. ...
AMZN & NOW Collect Upgrades, ADBE Hit with Downgrade
Youtube· 2025-09-24 13:53
We still continue to take a look at some more movers, upgrades, downgrades. I am joined here by Diane King Hall, host of Mory Movers, here looking at some of the movers because of the upgrades and downgrades. And how about we start with the Mag 7 name looking at Amazon.>> Yeah, and listen, Amazon needed some love. It's uh got to play catch-up when you compare it to the rest of the Mag 7. And there have been a lot more analyst calls who are calling that one to the table to be next.You got Wells Fargo today b ...
Morgan Stanley downgrades Adobe to Equal-weight over concerns of gen-AI monetization (ADBE:NASDAQ)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-24 13:14
Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) was downgraded to Equal-weight from Overweight by Morgan Stanley due to unknowns surrounding the software company's ability to effectively monetize generative artificial intelligence. "Our prior OW thesis on Adobe was predicated on the ability for the company to successfully ...
GenAI系列报告之64暨AI应用深度之三:AI应用:Token经济萌芽
申万宏源证券· 2025-09-24 12:04
行业投资评级 - 报告对AI应用行业持积极态度 投资评级为看好 [4] 核心观点 - AI应用Tokens消耗量大幅增长体现落地进展加速 大模型实现大规模商业化且收入向头部集中 OpenAI年化收入达到120亿美元 [4] - AI视频工具已迈入1亿美元ARR台阶 大规模商业化节点即将到来 [4] - AI编程为最热门融资方向 商业模式已跑通并加速兑现收入 Anysphere实现5亿美元ARR [4] - 企业级AI软件商业化偏慢 但具备坚实应用场景的AI法律 招聘 客服等领域已渐次兑现收入 [4] - 互联网巨头通过AI推荐系统升级和AI应用孵化推动商业化 META业绩已体现生成式推荐系统效果 [4] AI应用总览 - 大模型API调用量2025年后增长明显 OpenRouter平台显示谷歌Gemini Anthropic Claude OpenAI GPT等模型竞争格局高波动 [11] - 互联网公司AI Chatbot成为核心算力消耗场景 ChatGPT周活跃用户达8亿 谷歌Gemini月活用户达4.5亿 [14] - 微软Tokens消耗量从2024Q1的20万亿增长至2025年3月的400万亿 谷歌Tokens消耗量从2024年5月的9.7万亿增长至2025年7月的980万亿 [13] - 初创公司商业化进展分化 OpenAI估值3000亿美元 Anthropic拟以1700亿美元估值融资 xAI估值1130亿美元 [16] - AI视频工具Runway ARR达8400万美元 Synthesia ARR达1亿美元 Midjourney年营收预计3亿美元 [16] - AI编程工具Anysphere估值99亿美元 ARR达5亿美元 Replit估值30亿美元 ARR达1.4亿美元 [18] - 垂类AI应用Scale AI年营收预计20亿美元 Surge AI年营收超10亿美元 ElevenLabs ARR达1亿美元 [22] 互联网巨头进展 - 生成式推荐架构正替代传统DLRM模型 META GRs 快手OneREC 字节HLLM等方案推动推荐系统升级 [34] - META生成式推荐系统使Facebook用户使用时长提升7% Instagram提升6% 广告转化率提升5% [42] - 谷歌AI搜索功能AI Overview月活用户超20亿 AI Mode月活达1亿 Gemini月活达4.5亿 [47] - OpenAI年化收入120亿美元 其中C端订阅55亿 B端订阅36亿 API收入29亿 [53] - Anthropic年化收入50亿美元 其中API收入31亿(60%来自编程工具) 编程工具Claude Code ARR达4亿美元 [53] AI编程领域 - AI编程工具ARR总和超30亿美元 GitHub Copilot用户达2000万 Cursor ARR从1亿快速提升至5亿 [61] - 应用层公司仍需完成代码库感知 编辑器整合 UI优化等工作 具备独立竞争壁垒 [65] - Cursor通过VS Code集成 影子工作区验证 多模型智能路由等技术实现出色用户体验 [68] - 长期看AI编程可能演进为UGC应用程序平台 降低开发门槛并丰富应用生态 [73] 企业级AI软件 - 企业级AI部署前期需3-18个月完成数据清洗 工作流结合等工作 大规模落地节点或在2026年后 [80] - 定制化AI平台更适合企业落地 ServiceNow AI ACV订单达2.5亿美元 指引2026年达10亿美元 [77] - 竞争壁垒来自数据获取能力和行业Know-how Palantir Snowflake ServiceNow SAP等公司具优势 [85] - Palantir通过数据层归一化 逻辑层模型结合 行动层人工审核等构建企业AI操作系统 [91] 内容生产工具 - AI视频工具Runway Synthesia ARR接近1亿美元 但文本忠实度等仍有提升空间 [96] - 设计软件市场分化 Adobe面向专业设计者市场 Figma Canva面向传播者市场 [99] - Figma高价值客户数量高速增长 超过1万美元ARR客户达11107家 超过10万美元客户达1031家 [101] - 多邻国Max会员渗透率达8% 定价29.99美元/月 高于Super会员的12.99美元 [109] 国内AI应用 - 2025H1中国大模型公有云服务Tokens调用量达537万亿 2024全年为114万亿 [112] - 互联网公司通过推荐系统升级 AI Chatbot和云业务推动AI落地 [115]
Jim Cramer on Adobe: “Organic Growth is What We Want, Not Price-Driven Growth”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-24 08:28
Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer offered insights on. Inquiring about the stock, a caller mentioned that it looks like the stock is suffering, and Cramer commented: “Tough… very tough. Adobe, Adobe made that quarter, but I think there were, a lot of that was price raising, and I want to see organic growth. If you want to know like… if you want to compare that with something, compare it to Workday, which we had on the other day, and I think that they were doing it by doing new deals ...
Wall Street Bullish on Adobe Inc (ADBE), After Q3 2025
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-24 08:06
Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) is one of the Best Technology Stocks to Invest in for the Long Term. Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) is up around 4.38% since FQ3 2025 earnings release on September 11. Wall Street remains bullish on the stock, taking confidence from the company’s strong fundamentals. During the fiscal third quarter of 2025, the company posted a revenue of $5.99 billion, up 10.72% year-over-year and ahead of consensus by $79.47 million. The EPS of $5.31 also topped estimates by $0.13. Management noted ...
Adobe vs. Figma: Which Creative Software Stock Holds an Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-09-22 18:01
行业市场前景 - 创意软件市场规模预计在2025年达到96.4亿美元 2030年有望以1.46%的年复合增长率增至103.7亿美元 [1] Adobe业务表现 - 人工智能驱动年度经常性收入突破50亿美元 其中Firefly、Acrobat AI Assistant等AI优先产品贡献超2.5亿美元ARR [2] - 包含Workfront、GenStudio等产品的集成解决方案ARR超过10亿美元 同比增长超25% [2] - 第三季度数字媒体ARR按固定汇率计算同比增长11.7% 受Creative Cloud Pro和AI产品需求推动 [3] - 生成式AI使用量达290亿次生成 视频生成量环比增长近40% [3] - 上调2025财年收入预期至236.5-237亿美元(2024财年为215.1亿美元) 市场共识预期为235.6亿美元(同比增长9.56%)[4] Figma业务表现 - 通过Config会议发布四款新产品(Figma Make/Draw/Sites/Buzz) 产品线数量翻倍 [5] - 2025年第二季度超80%客户使用两款以上产品 三分之二客户使用三款以上产品 [6] - 收购Modyfi强化动效与矢量工具 收购Payload拓展开发者生态 [6] - 截至2025年6月30日 拥有11,906名ARR超1万美元付费客户和1,119名ARR超10万美元客户 [7] - 2025年收入预期为10.21-10.25亿美元(中点同比增长37%) 市场共识预期10.2亿美元(同比增长36.6%)[8] 财务指标对比 - Adobe2025年每股收益共识预期20.75美元(过去30天上调0.12美元) 较2024年增长12.7% [9] - Figma2025年每股收益共识预期0.30美元(过去30天下调0.01美元) 2024年每股亏损3.74美元 [10] - 过去一个月Adobe股价下跌0.3% Figma股价下跌17.4% [11][13] - Adobe远期市销率6.11倍 Figma达19.69倍 两者价值评分分别为C级和F级 [14][15] 投资价值评估 - Figma凭借产品线扩张和37%收入增速预期暂具优势 Adobe则聚焦生成式AI与产品创新 [17] - 两家公司目前均获Zacks第三级(持有)评级 [17]
Check Out What Whales Are Doing With ADBE - Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE)
Benzinga· 2025-09-22 17:01
Financial giants have made a conspicuous bullish move on Adobe. Our analysis of options history for Adobe ADBE revealed 18 unusual trades.Delving into the details, we found 55% of traders were bullish, while 44% showed bearish tendencies. Out of all the trades we spotted, 4 were puts, with a value of $233,525, and 14 were calls, valued at $1,303,969.Projected Price TargetsAnalyzing the Volume and Open Interest in these contracts, it seems that the big players have been eyeing a price window from $200.0 to $ ...
Analyst on Adobe Inc (ADBE): ‘I’m on My Last Nerve With This Stock’
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-19 12:52
We recently published Top 10 Stocks to Watch After Federal Reserve’s Rate Cut. Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) is one of the stocks analysts were recently talking about. Jim Lebenthal, a partner at Cerity Partners, expressed his frustration with Adobe in a program on CNBC back in late July. The analyst highlighted the AI-related overhangs and concerns Wall Street has about the company. “I’m on my last nerve with this stock,” Lebenthal said. “I mean, it’s the company’s operational performance has been fine. The ...