The market expects A.P. Moller-Maersk (AMKBY) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they ...

核心观点 - 市场预期Central Garden在2025年第二季度将实现每股收益同比增长但营收同比下降 公司实际业绩与预期的对比可能影响短期股价走势[1] - 公司盈利超预期概率较高 因最新准确预估较共识预估高6.98%且具备Zacks Rank 1评级 结合历史四次连续超预期表现形成积极信号[11][12][13] 财务预期 - 预计季度每股收益为1.34美元 同比增长1.5% 预期营收为9.8714亿美元 同比下降0.9%[3] - 过去30天内共识EPS预估维持不变 反映分析师集体维持初始判断[4] 业绩预测模型 - Zacks Earnings ESP模型通过对比"最新准确预估"与"共识预估"来预测业绩偏离方向 该模型对正ESP值具有显著预测力[6][7][8] - 当正ESP值与Zacks Rank 1-3结合时 盈利超预期概率达70% 排名等级实际增强ESP预测能力[9] - 负ESP值不能直接预示业绩不及预期 且对Rank 4-5品种预测置信度较低[10] 历史业绩表现 - 上季度实际EPS为1.04美元 较预期0.94美元超出10.64%[12] - 过去四个季度均击败共识EPS预期[13] 股价影响因素 - 盈利是否超预期并非股价变动唯一依据 其他因素可能导致盈利超预期但股价下跌 或盈利不及预期但股价上涨[14] - 建议投资者结合Earnings ESP与Zacks Rank筛选标的 并关注除盈利外的其他影响因素[15][16]

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. Zacks Consensus Estimate This company is expec ...

Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Curtiss-Wright (CW) reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6. On ...

The market expects Dynatrace (DT) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than ...

F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. (FG) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on ...

NiSource (NI) is expected to deliver flat earnings compared to the year-ago quarter on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expec ...

核心观点 - Ready Capital预计在2025年第二季度出现营收和盈利同比下滑 每股亏损0.01美元(同比-114.3%) 营收3832万美元(同比-24.8%) [1][3] - 公司盈利预期与实际值的对比将显著影响短期股价走势 优于预期可能推升股价 低于预期可能导致下跌 [1][2] - Zacks盈利ESP模型显示公司存在+250%的正向偏差 但受制于Zacks第五级评级 难以明确预测会超越预期 [12] 盈利预期与修正 - 季度共识EPS预期在过去30天内下调5.88% 反映分析师集体修正初始预测 [4] - 最准确预估高于共识预期 表明分析师近期对公司盈利前景转向乐观 [12] - 同行Angel Oak Mortgage预计每股收益0.27美元(同比+400%) 营收3616万美元(同比+39.6%) 其共识EPS预期30天内上调2.3% [18][19] 历史表现与行业对比 - 公司上季度预期每股收益0.12美元 实际实现盈亏平衡 出现-100%的预期偏差 [13] - 过去四个季度中 公司两次超越EPS预期 [14] - 同业Angel Oak Mortgage盈利ESP为+3.7% 结合第三级Zacks评级 更可能超越预期 该公司在过去四季仅一次超越预期 [19][20] 预测模型方法论 - Zacks盈利ESP通过对比最准确预估与共识预估来预测偏差 修订较晚的分析师通常掌握更及时信息 [7][8] - 正向ESP读数结合Zacks前三评级时 预测准确率近70% 但负向ESP或第四、五评级难以可靠预测盈利超越 [9][10][11] - 盈利超越并非股价变动的唯一决定因素 其他未预见催化剂可能使股价在盈利不及预期时仍上涨 [15]

公司业绩预告 - Pinnacle West Capital Corporation(PNW)计划于2025年8月6日盘前发布第二季度财报 上一季度公司出现180%的负面盈利意外 [1] 影响PNW第二季度表现的关键因素 - 零售客户增长和零售电力销售增加预计继续推动业绩 主要受益于新大型制造设施和多个大型数据中心带来的电力需求上升 [2] - 核心运营和维护费用降低可能提升盈利 同时APS能源管理系统优化了可再生能源与储能资产的整合 对季度表现产生积极影响 [3] - 较高的折旧摊销及财产税可能部分抵消正面因素 [4] 第二季度预期 - Zacks一致预期每股收益1.58美元 同比下滑10.2% 收入预期12.7亿美元 同比减少3% [5] - 总电力销售预期9757.73吉瓦时 较去年同期下降1.7% [5] 量化模型预测 - 模型显示PNW本次可能不会实现盈利超预期 其盈利ESP为0% 当前Zacks评级为3级(持有) [6][7] 同业可比公司 - IDACORP(IDA)预计7月31日发布财报 盈利ESP+1.56% Zacks评级2级 长期盈利增长率8.13% 一致预期每股收益1.76美元(同比+2.9%) [8][10] - Xcel Energy(XEL)预计7月31日发布财报 盈利ESP+0.53% Zacks评级3级 长期增长率7.79% 一致预期每股收益0.63美元(同比+16.7%) [10][11] - NRG Energy(NRG)预计8月6日发布财报 盈利ESP+16.95% Zacks评级3级 长期增长率15.4% 一致预期每股收益1.18美元(同比-20.3%) [11][12]

公司业绩预期 - Affiliated Managers Group Inc (AMG) 将于2025年第二季度公布财报 预计季度盈利和收入同比改善 [1] - 上一季度AMG盈利超出Zacks共识预期 主要受益于资产管理规模(AUM)增长 但费用上升和收入小幅下降构成拖累 [1] - 公司盈利超预期记录良好 过去四个季度中有三个季度超出共识预期 平均超出幅度为2.99% [2] 战略举措 - 2025年4月 公司同意收购Verition Fund Management LLC少数股权 后者管理资产约126亿美元 Verition管理层保留多数股权并继续控制日常运营 [3] - 2025年5月 达成收购可再生能源平台Qualitas Energy少数股权的最终协议 交易预计在2025年第四季度完成 [4] - 同月 公司以约2.4亿美元出售Peppertree Capital Management股权给TPG Inc 对价包括1.02亿美元现金和290万股TPG A类普通股 交易预计2025年第三季度完成 [5] 财务指引 - 管理层预计调整后EBITDA在2.1-2.25亿美元区间 基于当前AUM水平和季节性较低的最高1000万美元净绩效费 [6] - 利息支出预计3400万美元 控制权折旧约200万美元 控制权净利预计1.04-1.15亿美元 [7] - 公司预计经济每股收益5.01-5.39美元 经济净利(控制权)1.48-1.59亿美元 [11] 市场预期 - Zacks共识预期AMG每股收益5.25美元 较上月上调1.2% 同比增12.4% 销售预期5.102亿美元 增长2% [11] - 量化模型预测AMG本次盈利将超预期 因其具备正面的Earnings ESP(+0.20%)和Zacks Rank 3(持有) [8][10] 同业表现 - SEI Investments Co (SEIC) 2025年第二季度每股收益1.78美元 超共识预期1.18美元 同比增70% 受收入和AUM增长推动 [12] - Invesco (IVZ) 调整后每股收益0.36美元 低于共识预期0.40美元 同比降16.3% 受运营费用上升拖累 [13]