The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates on Sept. 17, for the first time in nine months. The last time the Fed cut rates was back in Dec 18, 2024, with a 25 basis point (bps). However, in the Jackson Hole Speech dated Aug. 22, Federal Chair said, "the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance", hinting at a rate cut. While the anxiety is felt within the equity markets, crypto markets are also feeling the heat. With three distinct scenarios on ...

主要股指表现 - 标普500指数下跌0.17% 道琼斯工业指数上涨0.77% 纳斯达克100指数下跌0.80% [1] - 欧洲斯托克50指数上涨0.11% 中国上证综指上涨0.37% 日经225指数下跌0.25% [6] 美联储政策与利率 - 美联储批准25个基点降息 预计年底前还将进行两次降息 [1] - 市场预期FOMC会议将降息25个基点 关注点阵图是否显示年内累计降息约70个基点 [5] - 10年期美债收益率上升0.6个基点至4.034% [7] 住房市场数据 - 8月新屋开工月率下降8.5%至130.7万套 低于预期的136.5万套 [3] - 8月建筑许可月率意外下降3.7%至131.2万套 创5.25年新低 低于预期的137万套 [3] - 9月12日当周MBA抵押贷款申请增长29.7% 其中购房抵押贷款子指数增长2.9% 再融资子指数大幅增长57.7% [4] - 30年期固定抵押贷款利率下降10个基点至6.39% 创11个月新低 [4] 科技股与芯片板块 - 英伟达下跌超过2% 因中国网信办要求大型企业终止RTX Pro 6000D芯片订单 [2][11] - 科技七巨头普遍下跌 亚马逊、特斯拉和Meta跌幅超1% Alphabet下跌0.77% 微软下跌0.34% [12] - Workday上涨超过8% 因Guggenheim证券将其评级从中性上调至买入 目标价285美元 [14] 个股表现与公司动态 - 曼联下跌超过6% 因报告第四季度亏损并下调2026年收入展望 [12] - Uber下跌超过4% 因SEC文件显示CEO出售2860万美元股票 [13] - Roivant Sciences大涨超过12% 其治疗皮肌炎药物在3期试验中达到主要终点 [14] - Zillow上涨超过3% 因Bernstein将其评级从市场表现上调至跑赢大盘 目标价105美元 [14] - 沃尔玛上涨超过2% 因美国银行将目标价从120美元上调至125美元 [15] - MasTec上涨超过1% 因Wolfe Research将其评级从同业表现上调至跑赢大盘 目标价227美元 [15] - Duolingo下跌超过3% 因匈牙利竞争管理局对其商业行为展开调查 [13] - Progressive下跌超过1% 因BMO资本市场将其评级从跑赢大盘下调至市场表现 [13] 国际通胀与利率 - 欧元区8月CPI下修至同比上涨2.0% 核心CPI维持在2.3% [9] - 英国8月CPI同比上涨3.8%与7月持平 核心CPI从3.8%放缓至3.6% [9] - 利率互换市场定价显示ECB在10月30日会议降息25个基点的概率为2% [9] - 10年期德国国债收益率下降1.5个基点至2.678% 英国国债收益率下降1.6个基点至4.623% [8] 经济数据预期 - 预计周四公布的周度初请失业金人数将减少2.3万人至24万人 [5]

Bitcoin’s fate hangs on Jerome Powell’s every word as traders expect the Federal Reserve to announce its first rate cut in over a year. Markets are pricing in near-certainty of a cut at today’s Federal Open Market Committee, with the CME FedWatch tool flashing 94% odds of a 0.25% rate cut, and a 6% chance of an even deeper 0.50% slash. Polymarket punters give those cuts a 90% and 8% chance respectively. Market watchers, however, reckon that the quarter-point cut is already baked into prices — and it cou ...

The U.S. economy has been on edge recently, with the stock market being highly volatile due to the nation’s aggressive tariff regime, a weakening job market, sticky inflation and soaring fiscal deficits. Amid all these concerns, investors anxiously await the Federal Reserve's expected decision to lower interest rates by 0.25% by the end of today’s session, as hinted by Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his Aug. 22 speech. This policy shift, seen as a necessary measure to stimulate economic activity and ease pressu ...

The U.S. stock market is now closed. The Dow (+0.57%) and Russell 2000 (+0.44%) closed out the day in the green, while the S&P 500 (-0.10%) and Nasdaq (-0.33%) dipped."Mortgage rates may react accordingly [with the 25 basis point cut]," ... "As for future cuts? We’ll need to wait and see. Future rate cuts will be dependent on new data on jobs and inflation."William Raveis Mortgage Regional Vice President Melissa Cohn offered some color on the housing market, which remains frigid in the face of higher rates: ...

美联储政策预期 - 市场普遍预期美联储将降息25个基点 这是自去年12月以来的首次降息[1] - 降息发生在经济表现强劲的背景下 可能刺激市场和经济活动增加[6] - 历史数据显示当美联储在经济增强时降息 12个月后市场通常走高但长端收益率也可能上升[7] 黄金与美元表现 - 黄金价格创下年内第35次历史新高 呈现与股市脱钩的异常走势[1][3] - 美元汇率徘徊在三年多低点附近 几乎没有出现任何反弹[2][4] - 美元持续疲软虽对股市有支撑作用 但已接近边际收益递减的临界点[4] 银行板块表现 - 对利率敏感的地区银行股遭受重挫 Synchrony Financial、Huntington Bank和Keycorp成为表现最差的个股[2] - 地区银行股自"解放日"以来已上涨约40% 部分跌幅可能属于技术性回调[5] - 长端收益率曲线变化可能影响抵押贷款利率 进而抑制抵押贷款需求[7] 债券市场动向 - 10年期国债收益率达到4% 市场在预期降息前已提前反应[10] - 存在观点认为10年期收益率将从当前水平进一步上升[9] - 去年9月美联储降息后10年期收益率反而上升 但当前环境已大不相同[8] 经济基本面分歧 - 对经济强度存在分歧 一方认为美联储在强劲经济下降息 另一方指出劳动力市场近期出现疲软迹象[10][11] - 强劲零售销售数据可能掩盖劳动力市场潜在疲软 最终将影响经济其他部门[11] - 美联储此时降息的动机及其对通胀的潜在影响仍不明确[11] 监管与法律风险 - Lisa Cook事件可能影响美联储理事会构成 最高法院裁决或禁止该理事在本次会议投票[9][12] - 该法律案件为明日美联储会议增添不确定性 可能改变政策决策进程[12]

CANADA - 2025/04/22: In this photo illustration, the Bitfarms logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Thomas Fuller/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty ImagesBitfarms (BITF) stock has reached the sixth day of a consecutive winning streak, with total gains during this timeframe yielding a return of 126%. The company’s valuation has increased meaningfully in the past 6 days to around $1.6 Bil now. The stock price is currently 94% higher than ...

Oil eased after a three-session advance as traders assessed fresh US stockpile data and a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut. West Texas Intermediate fell 0.7% to settle above $64 a barrel after the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point and penciled in two more reductions this year. Although lower rates typically boost energy demand, investors focused on policymakers’ warnings of mounting labor market weakness. Most Read from Bloomberg Traders had also mostly ...

With the Federal Reserve widely expected Wednesday to reduce its key interest rate by a quarter-point to about 4.1%, economists and Wall Street investors will be looking for signals about next steps: How deeply might the Fed cut in the next few months?There are typically two different approaches the central bank takes to lowering borrowing costs: Either a measured pace that reflects a modest adjustment to its key rate, or a much more rapid set of cuts as the economy deteriorates in an often-doomed effort to ...

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. single-family homebuilding and permits for future construction dropped in August amid a glut of unsold new houses and a softening labor market, shrugging off falling mortgage rates. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, fell 7.0% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 890,000 units last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. Permits for future single-family homebuilding decreased 2.2% to a rate of 856,000 units. Th ...