Baby boomers now own a majority of U.S. homes and have the financial means to stay where they are, keeping the housing market stuck for the foreseeable future, according to top Wall Street analyst Meredith Whitney. The CEO of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, whose prediction of the Great Financial Crisis earned her the moniker “Oracle of Wall Street,” pointed out in a Financial Times op-ed that more than 54% of homes are owned by seniors, up from 44% in 2008. She added that 79% of seniors own their homes ...

Tuesday's speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 12:35pm takes on heightened significance as markets seek clarity about the central bank's policy trajectory following last week's rate decision and the mixed market reaction that followed. Powell's commentary will be scrutinized for insights into the Fed's assessment of economic conditions, inflation progress, and the likelihood of additional rate adjustments at upcoming meetings. The speech comes as markets attempt to interpret the Fed's dovish or hawkish stan ...

美联储降息对房地产市场影响 - 美联储重启降息周期 住房类股票成为可能受益领域 [1] - 住房类股票近期表现活跃 因市场已开始消化更多货币宽松政策 [1]

亚马逊住房基金项目进展 - 亚马逊于2021年启动住房权益基金 初始承诺20亿美元用于在三个重点都市圈(西雅图 阿灵顿 纳什维尔)建设和保留2万套可负担住房单元[6] - 项目进展远超预期 原定五年期目标已提前完成 截至2025年9月已完成2.1万套住房建设 其中8600套位于西雅图地区[7] - 公司追加14亿美元资金承诺 计划在三个城市新增1.4万套住房 目前西雅图地区已完成1万套住房建设里程碑[7] 资金运作模式 - 通过低息贷款和赠款组合方式提供资金 例如Angle Lake项目获得1700万美元低息贷款和200万美元赠款[4] - 与地方开发商和住房管理局合作 以补充现有资金缺口的方式开展项目[9] - 项目要求长期 affordability条款 大多数住房需保持99年可负担性[5] 目标人群定位 - 重点服务地区中位收入50%-80%人群 该区间年收入约5.5-8.8万美元(以西雅图个人中位收入11万美元计算)[10] - 针对性解决教师助理 保安等中等收入群体租房困难问题[11] - 同时包含混合收入组合 包含低于50%中位收入的极低收入家庭住房[15] 地理分布特征 - 西雅图地区集中度最高 已建成5216套住房[13] - 贝尔维尤地区建成1486套住房 使当地可负担住房存量增加31%[13] - 项目分布北至埃弗里特南至塔科马 但主要集中在西雅图-贝尔维尤都市圈[13] 项目设计特色 - 强调交通导向型开发 如Angle Lake项目距离轻轨站仅50英尺[3][4] - 包含多代同堂户型 提供最多四卧室单元[12] - 实施社区偏好计划 防止绅士化导致的居民流离失所[11][12] 行业比较 - 科技公司普遍参与保障房建设 苹果 Meta 谷歌和微软均设立类似基金[8] - 各公司采用不同模式 部分提供自有土地 部分提供贷款支持[9] - 项目推进速度存在差异 部分项目受地方法规和发展延迟困扰[9]

American homeowners saw their equity dip by an average of $9,200 over the past year as rising interest rates cooled the housing market, but experts say the decline is more of a reset than a collapse.Homeowner Equity Falls $141 Billion Amid Rising RatesHome equity, the difference between what a homeowner owes and what their property is worth, fell 0.8% year-over-year to $17.5 trillion in the second quarter, according to housing data firm Cotality, as reported by The Fortune. The number of homes with negative ...

货币政策对住房行业的影响 - 疫情期间央行将利率降至零的政策对住房公司至关重要 是维持其运营的关键因素[1][2] - 为应对高通胀而加息的政策会增加住房行业的负担 当前利率已从高点有所下降[2] - 政策利率的变化会影响抵押贷款利率 较低的借贷利率有助于刺激住房供应[2][3] 利率变化对住房市场的传导效应 - 政策利率变动倾向于影响抵押贷款利率 利率下降将提升住房需求[2] - 较低的借贷成本有助于建筑商获得融资 从而增加住房供应[3] - 多数分析师认为利率需要发生较大变化才会对住房行业产生显著影响[3] 住房市场的结构性挑战 - 住房市场存在全国性短缺的结构性问题 而非周期性波动 许多地区住房供应不足[4] - 大都市区周边区域已高度开发 新建筑不得不向更远郊区扩展[4] - 实现最大就业和价格稳定的强劲经济整体上对住房行业有利[3] 经济预测环境的不确定性 - 当前是特别具有挑战性的时期 经济预测的不确定性比往常更高[5] - 预测者在当前环境下对其预测结果普遍缺乏高度信心[5]

美联储政策动向 - 美联储本次会议未出现异议投票 上次会议出现30年来首次异议投票[1][2] - 委员Bowman和Waller获得25个基点降息后未持异议 委员Myin主张50个基点更大幅度降息[3][4] - 市场预期一年后联邦基金利率将降至3%水平[5] 利率政策对房地产市场影响 - 85%抵押贷款持有人利率低于5.5% 利率需显著收窄才能激活房地产市场[5] - 2021年1月再融资潮中借款人获得低于3%的抵押利率 形成利率锁定效应[6] - 5.5%利率水平被视为房地产市场解锁关键点 因利率朝正确方向变动[7] 利率敏感型行业表现 - 罗素2000小型股指数上涨1.9% 住房类股票出现上涨动向[8] - 40%罗素2000成分公司处于亏损状态 高度依赖利率环境和变动利润率[9] - 科技投资、消费 discretionary（百思买、家得宝）及可融资产品（福特、通用汽车）将受益于利率下降[10][11]

The U.S. stock market is now closed. The Dow (+0.57%) and Russell 2000 (+0.44%) closed out the day in the green, while the S&P 500 (-0.10%) and Nasdaq (-0.33%) dipped."Mortgage rates may react accordingly [with the 25 basis point cut]," ... "As for future cuts? We’ll need to wait and see. Future rate cuts will be dependent on new data on jobs and inflation."William Raveis Mortgage Regional Vice President Melissa Cohn offered some color on the housing market, which remains frigid in the face of higher rates: ...

U.S. stocks traded mixed this morning, with the Dow Jones index gaining around 250 points on Wednesday.Following the market opening Wednesday, the Dow traded up 0.56% to 46,011.86 while the NASDAQ fell 0.36% to 22,252.63. The S&P 500 also fell, dropping, 0.04% to 6,604.37.Check This Out: Top 4 Energy Stocks That May Rocket Higher In Q3Leading and Lagging SectorsConsumer staples shares jumped by 1.1% on Wednesday.In trading on Wednesday, information technology stocks fell by 0.7%.Top HeadlineU.S. housing sta ...

Mortgage rates have eased sharply from their recent peaks, offering some relief to buyers and refinancing opportunities for homeowners who have been "stuck" in the so-called "golden handcuff effect," but industry experts are still warning that getting back to a path of true affordability will take time. Since interest rates spiked after the COVID-19 pandemic housing boom, there has been little movement in the market. Homeowners were unwilling to sell because they’d have to give up their ultra-low mortgage r ...