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Wall Street veteran sends strong message on GDP, economy
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-20 16:33
核心观点 - 资深投资经理Louis Navellier预测,受三大因素驱动,美国2026年GDP增长将超过5% [2][24] 驱动因素一:持续回岸与贸易逆差收窄 - 特朗普总统的贸易政策及《One Big Beautiful Bill Act》法案通过加速折旧等激励措施,鼓励企业将供应链和生产转移至美国,预计将促进明年国内生产 [7][8][9] - 为规避关税而增加的在岸生产,预计将为2026年GDP增长提供顺风,而进口是GDP的拖累,这在2025年第一季度导致GDP收缩0.6% [10][11] - 贸易逆差正在改善,2025年9月贸易逆差收窄至-528亿美元,为2020年初以来最低月度水平 [11] 驱动因素二:人工智能支出激增 - 人工智能支出是经济增长的重要动力,2025年上半年约占GDP的1.1% [15] - 预计2026年人工智能支出不会放缓,高盛预测大型云数据提供商(超大规模企业)2026年支出将达5330亿美元,较2025年增长34% [15] - 美国银行分析师预计,用于AI数据中心的支出将从2025年的2430亿美元增至2026年的4150亿美元 [16] 驱动因素三:美联储降息预期 - 美联储已在2025年9月、10月和12月连续三次会议各降息25个基点 [1] - 预计美联储将在2026年继续降息,且普遍预期鲍威尔主席任期于5月26日结束后,将由一位更鸽派的新主席接任,愿意通过降息支持增长 [12] - 利率下降将降低借贷成本,释放家庭预算用于可自由支配支出,并提升企业利润,从而推动股价上涨 [13] 宏观经济背景与数据 - 美国经济显现韧性,2025年第二季度GDP增长3.8%,亚特兰大联储GDPNow模型预计第三季度增长3.5%,纽约联储NowCast模型预计第四季度增长1.7% [14] - 通胀担忧可能被夸大,2025年11月CPI同比通胀率为2.7%,低于9月的3% [19] - 美国银行预测2026年核心PCE通胀率:第一季度3.1%,第二季度3.1%,第三季度3.1%,第四季度2.8% [21][26] - 若失业率维持在或高于当前4.6%的水平,低于预期的通胀率将使美联储更有可能加速降息 [22][23]
Analysts See 12% Upside To Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-20 11:56
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (NYSE:TMO) is among the 14 Best S&P 500 Stocks to Buy Now. As of the close of business on December 17, Wall Street analysts have a consensus Strong Buy rating on the stock, with a one-year average share price target of $640.30, representing an upside of 12%. Analysts See 12% Upside To Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO) Recent analyst updates include Wells Fargo lifting its price target on the stock to $675 from $635 on December 15, citing increased clarity about the U.S. go ...
UBS Assumes Coverage of Roblox (RBLX) as it Sees Explosive Growth in Creator-Driven Ecosystem
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-20 08:59
Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal! AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous. Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink. Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and b ...
Carvana (CVNA) Gains Buy Rating from UBS Alongside S&P 500 Inclusion
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-20 08:59
Carvana Co (NYSE:CVNA) ranks among the best high growth stocks to buy now. On December 1, UBS began coverage of Carvana Co (NYSE:CVNA) with a Buy rating and a $450 price target. According to the investment bank, Carvana’s “differentiated, best-in-class online platform and customer experience” puts the company in an ideal position to increase its market share in the competitive used car industry. According to UBS, Carvana’s share of the used car sales industry currently stands at just about 1.5%, though i ...
Jim Cramer on Oklo: “I’ve Been Hounding You to Sell for 40 Points Now”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 19:15
Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer recently discussed. Cramer mentioned the stock during the episode, as he said: “Take Oklo, which I’ve been hounding you to sell for 40 points now. Oklo’s about fission reactors that could run on nuclear waste. The problem, the company hasn’t actually developed any nuclear reactors. They’ve broken ground on one site. But this is a nearly $13 billion company with a stock that’s up 288% year to date. Okay, people, that’s absurd. I’m sure the jokers who ow ...
14 Best S&P 500 Stocks to Buy Now
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-19 18:20
This article looks at the 14 Best S&P 500 Stocks to Buy Now.The broad market index fell 1.16% on Wednesday to close at 6,721.43. The dip marked the fourth successive day of decline, amid the ongoing AI infrastructure selloff.The downturn has been sparked by reports of a prominent Oracle investor exiting from one of its data center projects. Investors have also been displeased with Broadcom’s recent quarterly earnings, in which management cited AI sales squeezing margins.Brian Mulberry, client portfolio mana ...
Aristotle Small Cap Equity Fund’s Update on Columbia Banking System, Inc. (COLB)
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-19 12:09
Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal! AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous. Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink. Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and b ...
Should You Invest in Range Resources Corporation (RRC)?
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-19 11:52
Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal! AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous. Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink. Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and b ...
Bullish Outlook Lifted Oracle Corporation (ORCL) in Q3
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-19 11:42
文章核心观点 - 人工智能是当前时代最大的投资机会 但AI的发展正面临严重的能源危机 这为能源基础设施领域创造了巨大的投资机遇 [1][2] - 一家未被市场充分关注的公司 因其独特的业务组合 成为从AI能源需求激增、美国液化天然气出口增长、制造业回流及核能基础设施中获利的潜在关键标的 [3][6][7][14] - 该公司财务状况优异 无负债且持有大量现金 估值低廉 并已获得部分对冲基金的关注 [8][9][10] AI的能源需求与危机 - AI是史上最耗电的技术 驱动大型语言模型的数据中心耗电量堪比一座小型城市 [2] - AI的快速发展正在将全球电网推向崩溃边缘 [1][2] - OpenAI创始人Sam Altman警告 AI的未来取决于能源突破 而Elon Musk预测明年AI将面临电力短缺 [2] 被推荐公司的业务定位 - 公司并非芯片制造商或云平台 而是拥有关键能源基础设施资产 定位为AI能源激增的“收费站”运营商 [3][4] - 公司业务横跨AI能源需求、美国液化天然气出口、制造业回流及核能基础设施 将这些宏观趋势联系在一起 [5][6][14] - 公司是美国下一代电力战略核心的关键核能基础设施资产所有者 [7] - 公司是全球少数能跨石油、天然气、可再生燃料和工业基础设施执行大型复杂EPC项目的企业之一 [7] 公司的财务与估值优势 - 公司完全无负债 且持有大量现金 现金储备接近其总市值的三分之一 [8] - 剔除现金和投资后 公司交易市盈率低于7倍 [10] - 公司在一家热门AI公司中持有大量股权 为投资者提供了间接接触多个AI增长引擎的渠道 [9] 市场关注与订阅服务信息 - 部分隐秘的对冲基金经理已在闭门投资峰会上推荐该公司股票 [9] - 文章来源于一份付费投资通讯 以每月9.99美元的价格提供深度研究报告 包括对该公司及另一家AI机器人公司的分析 [15][18][19] - 该通讯声称其推荐的公司股票有在12至24个月内获得超过100%回报的潜力 [15][19]
Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. (KLIC): A Bull Case Theory
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-18 18:08
Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal! AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous. Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink. Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and b ...