Welcome to this week’s edition of Top Stock Highlights.This week brought positive developments across Singapore’s economy and property market. Economists sharply upgraded the city-state’s 2025 GDP growth outlook, while Keppel DC REIT moved to consolidate ownership of two data centres. Meanwhile, a CapitaLand-UOL consortium emerged as the top bidder for a landmark Hougang Central mixed-use site.MAS December 2025 Economic Survey Economists have sharply raised Singapore’s 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.1%, up f ...

The dollar index (DXY00) climbed to a 1-week high on Friday and finished up by +0.19%.  The dollar rose on Friday amid yen weakness.  Also, upbeat comments on Friday from New York Fed President John Williams supported the dollar, as he said some of the data we're seeing is "pretty encouraging" and that he sees no sign of a sharp deterioration in the jobs data.  The dollar fell back from its best level after the University of Michigan's US Dec consumer sentiment index was unexpectedly revised lower.  Also, ...

The Bank of Japan raised its key policy rate to a 30-year high on Friday to help curb inflation, as widely expected, and financial markets took the move in stride. The 0.25 percentage point hike took the BOJ's benchmark short-term rate to 0.75%, its highest level since September 1995. It will raise costs for mortgages and other loans, but also boost yields on savings deposits. “It is highly likely that wages and prices will continue to rise moderately,” BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda told reporters. “Risks to the ...

The dollar index (DXY00) on Thursday rose by +0.05%.  The dollar recovered from early losses on Thursday and posted modest gains as EUR/USD retreated.  The dollar also found some support on Thursday after US weekly jobless claims fell as expected.  The dollar initially moved lower on Thursday amid weaker-than-expected US reports on the Nov CPI and the Dec Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey, which may prompt the Fed to keep easing monetary policy.  Also, strength in stocks on Thursday curbed liquidity ...

The dollar index (DXY00) today is up by +0.09%.  The dollar recovered from early losses today and turned higher as Eurozone fiscal concerns weighed on EUR/USD.  The dollar also found some support today after US weekly jobless claims fell as expected.  The dollar initially moved lower today due to the weaker-than-expected US reports on the Nov CPI, and the Dec Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey, which may prompt the Fed to keep easing monetary policy.  Also, strength in stocks today has curbed liquidi ...

美国11月通胀数据明显低于市场预期。受此前政府长期停摆影响，美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，11 月消费者价格指数(CPI)同比上涨2.7%，低于媒体调查中经济学家普遍预期的3.1%。数据出炉后，市场 对美联储在明年1月降息的预期略有升温。 由于政府停摆持续43天，美国劳工统计局(BLS)未能完整收集10月价格数据，导致10月CPI报告被取 消，11月报告中也未公布环比数据。BLS表示，价格数据无法追溯性补采，使得月度通胀变化出现断 档。剔除食品和能源价格后的核心CPI同比上涨2.6%，低于9月的3.0%，显示通胀压力进一步缓解。 金融市场对此迅速作出反应。三大指数走高；美债收益率下行，10年期美国国债收益率下跌2.2个基点 至4.13%；美元指数走弱，下跌约0.12%至98.25。 Spartan Capital Securities首席市场经济学家Peter Cardillo认为，核心通胀同比降至2.6%、整体通胀回落 至2.7%，对美联储和金融市场而言都是利好消息。如果这一趋势得以延续，将为货币政策转向更加宽 松铺平道路，甚至可能促成2026年第一季度内不止一次的降息。 TD Securities美国利率 ...

Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, was also cooler than anticipated, increasing 2.6% over 12 months. It was expected to have increased by 3%.The consumer price index rose at a 2.7% annualized rate last month, a delayed report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected CPI to have risen 3.1%.Consumer prices rose less than expected in November, giving investors hope that inflationary pressures may be cooling enough for the U.S. monetary policy ...

美股市场表现 - 周三美国主要股指全线下跌 标普500指数下跌1.16%至6,721.43点 纳斯达克综合指数下跌1.81%至22,693.32点 道琼斯工业平均指数下跌228.29点或0.47%至47,885.97点[1][11] - 此次下跌标志着标普500指数和道琼斯指数连续第四个交易日收跌[1][11] 人工智能板块抛售 - 市场下跌主要由投资者从高估值人工智能概念股中轮动撤出所驱动[1][9][11] - 此次轮动的直接诱因是有关甲骨文公司主要投资者撤资的报道[9][11] 甲骨文公司 - 甲骨文股价当日下跌5.4%[2][10][11] - 下跌原因是《金融时报》报道称 Blue Owl Capital 已退出为该公司位于密歇根州的100亿美元数据中心项目提供融资 消息源对公司的债务和支出表示担忧[2][11] - 公司随后对该报道提出异议 声明项目仍在推进中[2][10] 其他主要AI相关公司 - 其他主要AI相关股票跟随下跌 博通下跌超过4% 英伟达下跌近4% 超威半导体下跌超过5% 字母表公司下跌超过3%[3][11] - 本月迄今 甲骨文和博通股价分别下跌超过11%和约19%[3][11] - 科技板块ETF State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF 本月下跌2.6%[3][11] 市场观点与资金轮动 - Zacks Investment Management客户投资组合经理Brian Mulberry指出 市场出现了从大盘成长股向大盘价值股的明显轮动 投资者在为明年采取更具防御性的姿态[5][11] - 市场提出的核心问题是“谁将从这些对AI的巨额投资中实现盈利”[5][11] - 这种从高估值科技股向估值更合理板块的轮动可能会持续到2026年[6][12] - 货币政策的不确定性可能带来额外的市场波动[6][12] 投资关注点与风险 - 确定AI实现盈利的时点和领域至关重要 自由现金流等指标将是重要判断依据[7][12] - 此前市场回报的最大驱动力现已转变为市场的最大风险[7][12] 宏观经济背景 - 投资者也在权衡近期经济数据 周二发布的11月就业报告导致标普500和道琼斯指数下跌 分析师正解析这些数据以寻找美联储下一步利率政策的信号[7][12] - 美联储理事克里斯·沃勒周三表示 央行仍有降息空间 暗示有“50至100个基点”的余地[8][12]

EUR/USD (^EURUSD) on Wednesday fell by -0.04%. The euro was under pressure on Wednesday from a stronger dollar. The euro also moved lower after Wednesday’s Eurozone economic news showed that Nov CPI was revised lower and Q3 labor costs posted their smallest increase in three years, both of which are dovish for ECB policy. In addition, Wednesday’s unexpected decline in the German Dec IFO business conditions survey to a 7-month low was bearish for the euro.The markets are discounting a 24% chance that the FOM ...

Bitcoin has returned to its week low of $85,500 after suffering the dreaded "Bart Simpson pattern" earlier on Wednesday in which the price quickly runs higher, flattens out for a few minutes, and then just as quickly plunges to its previous spot. The resulting shape on the charts ends up looking similar to the head of the famous cartoon character. The crypto market again appears to be stuck the troublesome scenario of not being at all correlated with stocks when they're headed higher, but having a 1:1 co ...