Key Points The cruise industry is alive and well. After years of turbulence, management sees calmer seas ahead. 10 stocks we like better than Carnival Corp. › Shares of Carnival (NYSE: CCL)(NYSE: CUK) climbed on Friday after the cruise line announced record earnings and issued an upbeat forecast for the year ahead. Image source: Carnival. Carnival's profits are soaring Carnival's fourth-quarter revenue rose 7% year over year to $6.3 billion. The company's net yields -- a key indicator of pricing ...

We continue to take a look at a lot of the movers this morning. Diane King Hall joins me and we're taking a look here first at Carnival Cruise. Good morning. Good morning to you, Nicole.So this morning with its results, Carnival's results coming about 15 minutes ago. It was a mixed picture for the quarter. They did have a strong year.Let's go through the trailing quarter. Adjusted EPS coming in at 34 cents a share. Much better than expected.The street was just looking for 25 cents per share. Uh revenue came ...

Let's talk a bit more about the data this morning in the market with Mona Mahajin. Edward Jones, head of investment strategy, joins us here at Post9. Always good to see you.Welcome. Happy holidays. Um, you think there's time for a rally to show up before you're in.>> You know, look, um, Santa Claus came a little bit to town this morning. We enjoyed seeing that CPI print come in well below expectations. What particularly caught our eye was the core CPI reading.Nice to see 2.6%. You know, keep in mind twothir ...

评级与目标价调整 - Truist Securities将Dollar Tree的目标价从136美元上调至149美元 并重申买入评级[1] 市场争议与短期挑战 - 分析师指出Dollar Tree是市场争议较大的股票 但公司对2026年及以后的前景保持积极[2] - 看跌投资者以第三季度客流量放缓为由 质疑其多价格点策略的可持续性[2] - Truist认为客流量放缓可能受临时因素和店内运营中断影响 随着门店标准和商品供应改善 客流趋势有望恢复[2] 长期盈利增长潜力与驱动因素 - Truist认为Dollar Tree在未来几年仍有显著的盈利增长潜力[3] - 增长动力来自合理的运营举措 包括改善空间分配、提升门店标准以及加速股票回购[3] - 管理层目标是从2026年到2028年 实现每股收益每年增长12%至15%[3] - Truist自身模型假设的每股收益增长为2026年17% 2027年11%[3] 估值展望 - 如果盈利增长接近上述水平 其股票估值倍数可能从当前约17倍的远期市盈率向上重估[4]

核心观点 - 美国大型银行预计在2025年以创纪录的股价、强劲的资产负债表和监管自由收官 行业表现强劲且前景乐观 银行ETF投资者正关注这一趋势 [1] 行业与指数表现 - 衡量美国大型贷款机构的KBW银行指数年内上涨30% 表现优于标普500指数 [3] - 银行股表现优于市场其他股票 [2] - 摩根大通、美国银行和富国银行股价创下历史新高 花旗集团股价七年来首次超过其账面价值 [3] - 分析师指出这预示着2026年将有更多进展 [3] - 富国银行分析师Mike Mayo表示上行空间超出其年初预期 大型银行明年可能继续跑赢 [4] 银行ETF表现 - 重仓大型贷款机构的ETF表现强劲 例如State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF、Invesco KBW Bank ETF和State Street SPDR S&P Bank ETF 年内涨幅在14%至30%之间 [5] - 银行ETF的投资逻辑正在改变 不再仅仅是利率敏感的價值投资 而是日益与资本市场、并购和业务增长挂钩 [13] 业绩驱动因素与前景 - 业绩增长越来越由盈利增长和交易势头驱动 而非简单的利率押注 [6] - 资本市场活动再次成为重要的盈利来源 据Dealogic数据 全球投资银行业务量预计同比增长10% 为2021年以来最高增幅 [7] - 尽管年初有关税波动以及美国政府停摆导致IPO推迟 但分析师预测摩根大通、美国银行、花旗、高盛和摩根士丹利的交易收入在2025年可能达到创纪录水平 该集团净利润也有望创历史新高 [8] - 花旗集团CFO Mark Mason在高盛组织的会议上表示 尽管存在不确定性 但全球经济必须增长 因此资本市场在某种程度上是开放的 [9] 监管与资本影响 - 去监管正在改变银行ETF的投资逻辑 高盛分析师预测 得益于特朗普政府期间采用的去监管政策 美国银行到年底将能够部署1800亿至2000亿美元的过剩资本 [10] - 这些资金预计将用于股票回购、科技支出以及越来越多的并购 这对重仓银行的ETF投资组合是好消息 [10] 公司具体目标与计划 - 主要银行制定了雄心勃勃的盈利目标 美国银行的目标是ROTCE达到16%至18% 富国银行在摆脱2016年虚假账户丑闻的约束后 目标是17%至18% [11] - 摩根大通计划在2026年额外投资100亿美元 以加强信用卡和分支机构业务、员工薪酬以及人工智能投入 [12] 对ETF投资者的意义 - 随着银行重新获得监管自由且扩张计划再次提上日程 投资金融业的ETF可能正处在一个新周期的起点 这个周期更少关乎生存 更多关乎资本配置 [13] - 高盛分析师Richard Ramsden指出 若希望经济增长更快 就需要有人提供融资 [13]

when we kind of looking ahead to the next year, I mean we kind of think about the drivers that provided us with a very strong support for stocks this year and it was okay corporate profits that was a good uh good support and normalization of monetary policy and particularly in US and I think we're still in in that world where corporate earnings are being strong we see positive earnings revisions overall and policy is normalizing so I think that at least like in foreseeable future before events start hitting ...

Sarah Naan Terano, a global head of capital markets, private wealth management, capital markets at Goldman Sachs private wealth management. Sarah, thanks for having us in. It's great to have you.>> Thanks so much for having me. Happy to be here. >> So, we talked to Ashook at the top of the hour about a pretty constructive house view on 26, which I'm assuming you share to some degree.Yeah, >> I do. Um, I think for all the reasons Ashoke said, we're quite constructive. I think, you know, if you look at what o ...

market with us now to break it all down. The author himself, Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley CIO and chief US equity strategist. He had a 6,500 initial target on the S&P 500 this year, just a little bit below the median of 6,600.So, we have done a little bit better than that, but I think this this idea, Mike, that you're always some great bear is incorrect. You have a pretty bullish target on this year. We're going to surp than below it.What do you see then for 2026. >> Hey Brian, how are you. I think uh you kn ...

Let's get to the broader markets. Our next guest is bullish about the new year. Says worries about tech's high valuations are misplaced.Joining us here this morning at Post9 is Tally Leisure, chief market strategist at the Wealth Consulting Group. Nice to have you in T. Welcome.>> Thank you. Good to be here. At least to have you, Dad.>> You're uh you're pretty constructive on next year. >> Yes. And I'm glad we're sitting down for that conversation because we see the S&P 500 achieving 85 8500 >> 8500 driven ...

投资者商业日报网站信息 - 网站内容仅供信息与教育目的 不构成证券买卖的要约、推荐、招揽或评级 [2] - 信息来源于被认为可靠的渠道 但对其准确性、及时性或适用性不作保证 [2] - 历史投资表现并非未来成功或表现的指示或保证 [2] - 作者/主讲人可能拥有其讨论的股票 [2] - 不就投资任何特定证券或使用特定投资策略的明智性作出陈述或保证 [5] - 信息可能随时变更 恕不另行通知 [5] 网站服务与工具 - 网站提供IBD股票图表、IBD股票检查、股票报价等服务 [3][4] - 提供“市场今日”、“全局概览”、“我的股票列表”等市场分析工具 [3][4] - 包含IBD Live、Leaderboard、SwingTrader、MarketSurge等高级平台或功能 [4] - 提供IBD Digital和MarketDiem服务 [4] - 实时价格由纳斯达克最后销售提供 实时报价和/或交易价格并非来自所有市场 [5] - 所有权数据由LSEG提供 预估数据由FactSet提供 [5] 品牌与版权 - IBD、IBD Digital、IBD Live、IBD Weekly、Investor's Business Daily、Leaderboard、MarketDiem、MarketSurge等标志均为投资者商业日报有限责任公司拥有的商标 [6] - 网站内容版权归2025年投资者商业日报有限责任公司所有 [6]