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Lennar reports lower quarterly profit as affordability pressures weigh on home buyers
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 22:32
(Reuters) -Homebuilder Lennar (LEN) reported a 46% decline in third-quarter profit and forecast fourth-quarter home deliveries below Wall Street estimates on Thursday, as inflationary pressures continued to weigh on housing demand. Shares of Lennar fell more than 2% in premarket trading on Friday. Elevated interest rates and affordability challenges have pressured U.S. homebuilders' profitability in recent quarters. Treasury yields rose on Wednesday despite a rate cut, reversing losses seen in June. L ...
Lennar Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results
Prnewswire· 2025-09-18 21:48
核心财务表现 - 2025年第三季度净收益5.91亿美元 较2024年同期的12亿美元下降51% [2] - 稀释后每股收益2.29美元 若剔除技术投资按市价计算的9900万美元收益 调整后每股收益为2.00美元 [2] - 总营收88亿美元 房屋销售收入82亿美元 同比下降9% [4][6] 运营指标 - 交付房屋21,584套 与去年同期21,516套基本持平 [3][6] - 新订单23,004套 同比增长12% [3][4] - 未交付订单16,953套 对应价值66亿美元 [4] - 平均销售价格38.3万美元 较去年同期的42.2万美元下降9% [3][6] 盈利能力 - 房屋销售毛利率17.5% 较去年同期的22.5%下降500个基点 [4][7] - 销售及行政费用占收入比例8.2% 较去年同期的6.7%上升150个基点 [4][8] - 房屋销售净利率9.2% [4] 业务分部表现 - 房屋建筑业务运营收益7.6亿美元 较去年同期的14.8亿美元下降49% [4] - 金融服务业务运营收益1.78亿美元 较去年同期的1.44亿美元增长23% [4][9] - 多户住宅业务运营亏损1600万美元 去年同期为盈利7900万美元 [4][10] - 其他业务运营收益6200万美元 主要来自技术投资按市价计算收益 [4][10] 资本管理 - 回购410万股普通股 总金额5.07亿美元 平均股价122.97美元 [4][12] - 房屋建筑业务现金及等价物14亿美元 [4] - 总债务35亿美元 债务与总资本比率为13.5% [4] 运营效率 - 每社区月开工速度4.4套 销售速度4.7套 [3] - 库存周转率提升至1.9次 [3] - 周期时间缩短至126天 为历史最短 [3] - 每活跃社区未售竣工房屋少于2套 处于历史区间内 [3] 地区表现 - 东部地区交付4,770套 平均售价36.6万美元 [24] - 中部地区交付5,469套 平均售价37.9万美元 [24] - 中南地区交付6,413套 平均售价23.5万美元 [24] - 西部地区交付4,926套 平均售价59.9万美元 [24] 未来展望 - 预计第四季度新订单20,000-21,000套 [3][13] - 预计交付22,000-23,000套 [3][13] - 预计平均售价38-39万美元 [13] - 预计毛利率维持约17.5% [3][13] - 预计销售及行政费用占比7.8%-8.0% [13] - 预计金融服务业务运营收益1.3-1.35亿美元 [13]
Euro Area Inflation Pressures Balanced; Higher Long-end Yields a Concern
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 17:21
Monetary accommodation is still working its way through the euro area economy following rate cuts between June 2024 and June 2025. The recent trading agreement between the US and the EU has reduced pressure to lower rates, while the re-direction of cheap goods from China and elsewhere because of higher US tariffs is likely to further trim prices in the short term. Meanwhile, the euro’s appreciation against the dollar and other currencies is disinflationary. But inflationary pressures could intensify in ...
Dow Rises After Fed Rate Cut | Closing Bell
Youtube· 2025-09-17 20:58
And right now we are 2 minutes away from the end of the trading day. Romaine Bostick here to take you through to the closing bell. With the global simulcast, it starts right now.Carol Massar and Stenovec in the radio booth. Welcome to our audiences across all of our bloomberg platforms here on a Fed day. A Fed day, Carol and Tim, where we got pretty much exactly what the market had expected, though, the market reaction maybe not quite what some were anticipating.Yeah, we were just spending a lot of time tal ...
Housing Numbers Down Ahead of Fed Rate Cut Today
ZACKS· 2025-09-17 15:31
Key Takeaways Housing Starts & Building Permits Lower than Expectations for AugustProspective Homebuyers Likely Await Lower Mortgage RatesThe Fed Is Widely Expected to Lower Interest Rates TodayWednesday, September 17, 2025Ahead of today’s biggest market news item — the Fed rate cut, expected at 1pm ET today — we see an economic segment directly affected by interest rates, Housing. As we’ll see, the homebuilding side of the housing market continues to cool down — clearly a result of still-high interest rate ...
Is a more affordable housing market on the horizon?
Fox Business· 2025-09-17 13:00
Mortgage rates have eased sharply from their recent peaks, offering some relief to buyers and refinancing opportunities for homeowners who have been "stuck" in the so-called "golden handcuff effect," but industry experts are still warning that getting back to a path of true affordability will take time. Since interest rates spiked after the COVID-19 pandemic housing boom, there has been little movement in the market. Homeowners were unwilling to sell because they’d have to give up their ultra-low mortgage r ...
US consumers feel the heat as early signs of stress surface in credit health
The Economic Times· 2025-09-17 00:30
The credit scoring company reported that the average national FICO score has slipped slightly, raising concerns about household resilience amid shifting economic conditions.The overall score has declined by around two points. While modest, the drop reflects broader shifts in consumer creditworthiness. In 2021, nearly 38.1% of the population held scores in the 600–749 range. By 2025, that proportion had fallen to 33.8%, indicating a narrowing of the middle ground between strong and weak borrowers.The most p ...
Why Powell Commentary Might Be Second Most Important Thing Tomorrow
Youtube· 2025-09-16 12:38
美联储政策预期 - 市场预计美联储将至少降息25个基点 可能达到50个基点[4] - 联邦基金利率期货显示年内剩余时间可能累计降息75个基点[16] - 10年期国债收益率约为4% 长期债券收益率走低[6] 经济预测与通胀展望 - 经济预测摘要将重点关注明年利率路径和通胀重新定价[5][8] - 通胀可能持续保持在3%水平 但若工资增长和GDP增速超过通胀则对经济有利[14][15] - 关税政策可能造成持续性通胀压力 而非一次性冲击[20] 美元与贵金属市场 - 美元指数跌至7月以来最低水平 通常预示近期激进降息[7] - 黄金创历史新高 因作为通胀对冲和地缘政治风险避险工具[9][10] - 央行持续购买黄金并减持美债 零售交易商增加期货合约[11] 股票市场表现 - 标普500指数突破6600点 短期目标位6645 支撑位6600[22] - 波动率预期上升 因季度到期日和VIX期权交易活跃[23] - 历史模式显示FOMC会议前波动率上升后下降可能形成上涨动力[24] 行业个股动态 - Oracle股价上涨 因市场猜测其可能参与TikTok交易获得托管服务[26][27] - 其他社交媒体股票如Meta表现良好 显示市场已提前消化相关消息[28][29] - TikTok平台已成为美中贸易谈判中的重要筹码[28]
Walker & Dunlop CEO says investors need clarity on who decides the fate of Fannie and Freddie
CNBC· 2025-09-16 12:05
watch nowA version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.The annual Zelman Housing Summit, is a small but elite conference of public and private homebuilders, mortgage lenders, investors and f ...
US consumers are feeling the stress of inflation, interest rates, report shows
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 12:04
消费者信用状况变化 - 美国消费者因通胀和高利率承受财务压力 导致整体FICO评分小幅下降约2点 [1] - 信用评分在600至749分区间的人口占比从2021年的38.1%下降至2025年的33.8% [1] - Z世代成年人信用评分下降幅度最大 主要受学生贷款压力驱动 [2] 学生贷款拖欠情况 - 学生贷款拖欠率在2023年创下历史新高 [2] - FICO监测的2100万客户中 超过10%有学生贷款还款到期 [2] - 其中超过10%的借款人出现还款拖欠情况 [2] 行业观点分歧 - 部分大型银行认为消费者财务状况良好 信用质量恶化迹象有限 [3] - 尽管就业市场出现降温迹象 但银行仍保持乐观看法 [3] 信用健康指标分析 - 平均FICO信用评分仍保持在715分的历史高位附近 [4] - 平均FICO评分被视为信用健康的滞后指标 [4] - 未来平均信用评分面临诸多潜在风险 [4]