I'm not attempting to provide an impossible degree of precision, but a general ballpark. Based on this analysis, I believe the appropriate Fed funds rate is in the mid 2% area, almost two percentage points lower than current policy. The Federal Reserve has been entrusted with the important goal of promoting price stability for the good of all American households and businesses.And I am committed to bringing inflation sustainably back to 2%. However, leading policy restrictive by such a large degree brings s ...

Inflation is still above the Fed's goal of 2% each year. Frederic J. Brown / AFP via Getty Images Close Key Takeaways Today's inflation trends are either something to worry about or no big deal, depending on which Federal Reserve official you ask.On Monday, at least four members of the central bank's policy committee discussed whether the Fed should cut its key interest rate further in the months ahead. This is the first time some have spoken publicly since the central bank's policy-setting committee decide ...

Stephen Miran, Donald Trump’s new appointee on the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate-setting board, has doubled down on his calls for the central bank to more aggressively cut interest rates.Last week, the Fed cut interest rates by a quarter point, bringing rates down to a range of 4% to 4.25% – the lowest it’s been since early 2023. Out of 12 voting board members, Miran was the only one to vote against the crowd. He wanted a half-point cut, not a quarter-point cut.Miran told the Economics Club of New York th ...

Joining us with a read on the options market, Mandy Sue, head of derivatives, market intelligence at SIBO Global Markets. Mandy, great to have you with us. >> Hey Melissa, great to be here.>> So, I'm wondering if the bullish activity if that sort of tenor changed at all post Fed or has it been bullish all along. >> So, if anything, I would say the bullish activity has actually picked up following the Fed meeting uh last week. So for example on Friday we had a record amount of single stock options trade in t ...

退休收入替代率分析 - 距离退休10年或以上者通常需要相当于退休前收入70%至80%的资金以维持生活水平[3] - 以10万美元年收入计算 退休后年收入需求约为7万美元[3] 退休储蓄目标测算 - 30年退休周期需储备年支出25倍资金 即175万美元[3] - 计入年均2.4万美元社会保障福利后 储蓄目标可降至110万美元左右[3] - 该测算为保守基准 未考虑个人财务细节差异[3] 关键变量影响因素 - 退休年龄通过延长收入积累期和缩短资金提取期显著影响资金需求[5] - 预期寿命低估可能导致资金耗尽 建议按至少30年退休期规划[5] - 年均2%-3%通胀率使生活成本每25年翻倍 需对应提升退休收入目标[5] 个性化调整因素 - 延迟领取社会保障福利可大幅改善资金状况[4][5] - 实际支出低于预期或工作年限延长可显著降低储蓄要求[4] - 健康状况与预期寿命等个人因素会实质性改变资金需求测算[5]

By Dan Burns (Reuters) -The Federal Reserve needs to be "very cautious" in removing restrictive monetary policy with inflation still above the central bank's 2% target and remaining persistent, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said on Monday. "I think we are only a short distance to neutral, and it worries me that if we remove that restriction from the economy, things can start overheating again," Hammack said in remarks that showed the divisions inside the Fed over whether interest rates will keep f ...

行业概述 - 行业公司提供设备融资、租赁以及供应链管理服务 [3] - 业务范围包括飞机、轨道车和集装箱租赁，部分公司还提供物流、运输解决方案及车队管理服务 [3] - 客户群体广泛，涵盖从小型企业到大型国际企业，涉及汽车、电子、运输、食品服务等多个行业 [3] 行业前景的决定因素 - 股东回报强劲：随着经济活动从疫情低点复苏，更多公司通过增加股息和股票回购来分配现金 [4] - 经济不确定性持续：持续的关税紧张局势、通胀担忧、经济放缓风险以及地缘政治紧张抑制了行业前景 [5] - 供应链中断与成本高企：供应链问题持续存在，运营成本增加限制了利润增长，预计成本将保持高位 [6] 行业表现与估值 - 行业过去一年表现落后于大盘和整体板块，价格下跌18.4%，而同期标普500指数上涨18.7%，更广泛的运输板块下跌10.2% [9][10] - 行业当前基于未来12个月市盈率的估值为13.99倍，低于标普500的23.52倍，也略高于其所属运输板块的13.84倍 [13] - 过去五年内，行业市盈率在8.42倍至15.65倍之间波动，中位数为11.57倍 [13] 值得关注的公司 - Wabtec公司：专注于提高安全性和可靠性的新技术，其重组和成本削减措施是近期优势的主要驱动力，2025年预期盈利增长率为17.6% [17][18][19] - Ryder系统：拥有超过49年不间断支付股息的历史，应对疲软货运市场的成本削减举措值得称赞，2025年预期盈利增长率为9.3% [22][23] - Greenbrier公司：在北美、欧洲和南美设计、制造和销售铁路货运设备，2025年预期盈利增长率为33.1% [26]

This story was originally published on CFO Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily CFO Dive newsletter. Dive Brief: Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran on Monday dismissed the risk of tariff-induced inflation and called for two, half-percentage-point cuts to the main interest rate next quarter to avert higher unemployment. Tariff revenues, tax policy and a crackdown on immigration have likely reduced the so-called neutral rate of interest — or the level that neither spur ...

Stephen Miran, chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, following a television interview outside the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, June 17, 2025.Less than a week after taking his seat, Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran on Monday outlined the reasons why he thinks the central bank's benchmark interest rate is far too high and should be lowered aggressively.Changes in tax and immigration policy along with easing rental costs, deregulation and incoming revenue for tariffs are creatin ...

New Federal Reserve governor Stephen Miran said Monday he wants central bank interest rates to be roughly 2 percentage points lower, arguing that the current level is too high and poses risks to the US economy. “Monetary policy is well into restrictive territory,” Miran said in a speech at the Economic Club of New York. “Leaving short-term interest rates roughly 2 percentage points too tight risks unnecessary layoffs and higher unemployment.” Miran said he believes the appropriate level for the Fed’s p ...