RyersonClark / E+ via Getty Images This article will be updated throughout the day, so check back often for more daily updates. Inflation grew much more slowly than expected last month, as revealed in a just-released Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. November's inflation rate was only 2.7%, not the 3.1% predicted by economists. "Core" CPI, which does not count changes in food and energy prices, grew only 2.6%, which was also less than the predicted 3%. Investo ...

Stock investors got two pieces of good news on Thursday. US stocks jumped as investors took in a cooler-than-expected inflation report, bolstering confidence in the economy and lifting hopes that the Fed will continue its rate-cutting cycle heading into next year.Consumer prices rose 2.7% year-over-year, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, lower than the 3.1% annualized increase economists were expecting. Meanwhile, the tech sector got a break after days of weakness. Chip stocks, led largely by M ...

March 10-year T-notes (ZNH6) today are up by +9 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield is down -3.7 bp to 4.116%. Mar T-notes climbed to a 1.5-week high today, and the 10-year T-note yield fell to a 1.5-week low of 4.10%.Overseas stock markets are mixed today. The Euro Stoxx 50 is up +0.57%. China’s Shanghai Composite closed up +0.16%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 fell to a 3-week low and closed down -1.03%.The markets are discounting a 27% chance that the FOMC will cut the fed funds target range by 25 bp at the next ...

US stocks rose sharply on Thursday as investors digested a lighter-than-expected inflation report, easing concerns about persistent price pressures and helping spark a rebound in technology shares after a bruising run. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 339 points higher, or 0.8%, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.1%. ...

Strong earnings from a key AI stock and a surprisingly cool inflation reading put the stock market back into rally mode.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 421 points, or 0.9%. The S&P 500 rose 1.1%. The Nasdaq Composite rallied 1.5%.The yield on the 2-year Treasury note was down to 3.46%. The 10-year yield was down to 4.12%. ...

市场整体动态与技术面 - 市场开盘走强 科技板块在美光财报后表现强劲 同时市场预期即将公布的通货膨胀数据可能优于预期 [1][2] - 市场波动性加剧 VIX指数超过17 市场对人工智能领域可能出现其他坏消息有所准备 [4][6] - 纳斯达克100指数从技术面看可能正在形成头肩底形态的右肩 若买盘介入可能预示看涨 [3] - 市场流动性正在减少 这导致了价格双向的剧烈波动 同时季度期权到期日临近 预计将带来额外成交量 [6][7] 美光科技财报分析 - 公司营收和每股收益均超预期 营收达136.4亿美元 高于市场预期的127.2亿美元 同比增长约52% [8][9] - 调整后每股收益为4.78美元 大幅超过市场预期的3.91美元 公司同时上调了下一季度的营收和每股收益指引 [9] - 公司对高带宽内存芯片需求旺盛 并拥有定价能力 且未面临芯片生产投入成本的通货膨胀压力 [10] - 公司在电话会议中表示 仅能满足当前市场需求的50%至67% 这预计将推动其营收增长和盈利能力 [11] - 由于评级和目标价上调 公司股价在盘前交易中上涨13% 今年迄今涨幅已超过150% [12][14] 人工智能领域投资展望 - 美国银行对人工智能主题延续至2026年保持乐观 认为仍处于早期阶段 并给出了2026年的股票选择 [15] - 英伟达是首选之一 其在GPU领域占据主导地位 持续推出新产品以超越竞争对手 且未出现更新周期或业务蚕食的问题 [15][16] - 博通因其定制芯片业务受益 市场需求开始增加 尽管公司电话会议表现平平 但正在获得订单和关注度 [17][18] - 泛林集团被视为“卖铲子”的受益者 为半导体制造设施提供设备 预计在2026年也将迎来顺风 [19] - 人工智能叙事和整个行业预计将持续增长 大型参与者将继续受益于需求增长和投资者热情 [20] 达登餐饮财报分析 - 公司业绩喜忧参半 调整后每股收益为28美元 未达到市场预期的29美元 [22] - 季度销售额为30.7亿美元 略超市场预期的约30.1亿美元 [23] - 旗下关键餐厅品牌销售额同比保持增长 Olive Garden增长4.7% Longhorn Steakhouse增长5.9% [23] - 调整后每股收益未达预期及近期面临的逆风 部分归因于投入成本的价格通胀 但客流量和菜单定价能力抵消了部分疲软 [24] - 公司继续开设新餐厅 客流量稳定 未看到消费者需求大幅下降 这带来了盘前交易的乐观情绪 [25] 关键市场水平与数据前瞻 - 标普500指数关键阻力位在6800点 支撑位在6650点 市场存在对冲活动 [26] - 市场关注即将公布的CPI数据 市场预期整体CPI同比为3.1% 克利夫兰联储预测约为3% 若数据达到3%或更低 可能成为股市的推动力 [27]

Let's begin with this market reaction to CPI shelter uh carrying an awful lot of water which is kind of a consensus view Jim going into 26. >> Yes, you got to go with what Lenar is saying too. Giant home builder uh dovetales with this.You go to you go to Gemini uh you put in Lenar uh you put in home prices LAR and you'll see uh way back all the way back to 2019 before there was inflation you know but this is the 40% inflation in housing David. Yeah. >> Done.Okay. See you then you look at CarMax you look at ...

The U.S. economy has been experiencing the peculiar dynamic of rising inflation and slowing job growth over the past year. While I haven't called this stagflation in the past, the phenomenon did create complexityAnalyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than fr ...

通胀结构分析 - 核心商品价格同比变化为1.4% 这一类别在正常时期通常为负通胀 目前显示出关税的预期影响[3] - 整体CPI同比涨幅为2.7% 被视为一个向好的方向 但需注意其对比的是2024年底美联储加息周期开始时较高的通胀基数[4] - 服务类通胀仍然高企 这是一个与美联储货币政策相关的货币问题 尽管住房成本有所下降 但仍存在来自去年降息周期及后疫情政策的潜在价格压力[5] 关税对通胀的影响 - 关税对通胀的影响尚未完全显现 企业可能在关税实施前囤积了库存 并仍在消化这些库存[7] - 预计关税将在2026年持续推高通胀 甚至可能持续到2027年[8] - 在核心商品通胀的子类别中 能够观察到关税的影响 但这并不一定意味着会广泛推高整体CPI[4] 劳动力市场与货币政策预期 - 劳动力市场略显疲软 月度非农就业增长约为2万人 略低于考虑到移民对劳动力供应影响后的收支平衡点估计[8] - 市场预期下一任美联储主席将累计降息40个基点 但分析认为若此成真 将令任命者失望[9] - 分析预期未来将出现利率下降和通胀上升的局面[9]

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said the inflation outlook continues to be more uncertain than usual. "Inflation could turn out to be lower if the rise in US tariffs reduces demand for euro-area exports," Lagarde explained during a news conference in Frankfurt after policymakers left interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight meeting. "By contrast, inflation could turn out to be higher if more fragmented global supply chains pushed up import prices, curtailed the supply of critical ra ...