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Analysis-Dire year for dollar has little light at end of tunnel in 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-22 11:03
NEW YORK, Dec 22 (Reuters) - A dismal year for the U.S. dollar is ending with signs of stabilization, but many investors believe the currency's decline will resume next year as global growth picks up and the Fed eases further. The U.S. dollar slumped 9% this year, against a basket of currencies, putting it on pace for its worst showing ​in eight years, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, shrinking interest rate differentials with other major currencies, and as concerns about U.S. fiscal d ...
US Treasuries Post First Weekly Advance Since Late November
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 20:41
Photographer: Adam Gray/Bloomberg US Treasuries wrapped up the first weekly gain since the end of November after unexpectedly cool inflation numbers and a jump in the jobless rate cemented expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at least twice next year. While yields edged up on Friday, the 10-year Treasury rate declined four basis points in the week, while the policy-sensitive two-year yield fell by a similar amount as markets priced in a more dovish 2026 path. Most Read from Bloomberg ...
Stock Market Opens Higher Amid Tech Gains and Key Corporate News on Quadruple Witching Day
Stock Market News· 2025-12-19 15:07
U.S. stock markets commenced trading on Friday, December 19, 2025, with major indexes opening higher, signaling a positive end to what has been a volatile week. This uplift follows a robust performance on Thursday, driven by cooler-than-expected inflation data for November, which has reignited hopes for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in the new year. Today's trading is also marked by "quadruple witching," an event that could introduce significant volatility as a record volume of options contracts expir ...
HELOC rates today, December 19, 2025: Rates move lower, reflecting three Fed rate cuts this year
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 11:00
The average national rate on a home equity line of credit has fallen with each of the Federal Reserve's three quarter-point rate cuts this year, and is slipping ever closer to 7%. HELOC rates: Friday, December 19, 2025 According to Curinos data, the average weekly HELOC rate is 7.44%. This rate is based on applicants with a minimum credit score of 780 and a maximum combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of 70%. Homeowners have an impressive amount of value tied up in their houses — nearly $36 trillion at ...
Inflation Data Faces Credibility Questions: 'This Is Totally Inexcusable'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 03:31
Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. Market frustration with the November Consumer Price Index is not about how low inflation printed. It’s about whether the number can be trusted at all. The report showed that annual CPI inflation slowed to 2.7% in November from 3% in September. Indeed, this reinforces President Trump’s narrative that inflation is “essentially gone.” Yet economists and inflation watchers argue that the figure was mechanica ...
US midday market brief: S&P 500 rebounds on cooler inflation as Micron sparks Nasdaq surge
Invezz· 2025-12-18 19:28
The S&P 500 appears poised to snap a four-day losing streak on Thursday as unexpectedly cooler inflation data reignited hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. The rebound was turbocharged by Mic... ...
Car Prices May Not Drop Next Year—But They May Get a Bit More Affordable. Here's Why.
Investopedia· 2025-12-18 01:00
行业趋势与价格展望 - 汽车制造商可能在2026年之前放缓价格上涨步伐 [1] - 预计2026年家庭购车数量将比2025年减少2%至3% [2] - 车辆价格预计至少将恢复到加征关税前的趋势 大部分上涨将发生在未来四个月内 而2026年下半年价格涨幅将更为温和 [5] - 2026款车型的价格通胀一直高于历史标准 这些车型约占当前新车供应的60% [6] - 价格本身最多只能温和增长 汽车购买力自2023年以来一直在改善 [3][6] 消费者购买力与负担能力 - 到2026年底 购买新车可能会稍微更负担得起 主要因借贷成本下降和新的税收优惠生效 [1][7] - 自疫情以来汽车价格上涨了约9% 使许多美国人对价格感到不适 [2] - 目前平均月供占收入中位数的12.8% 预计到2026年第四季度可能降至12.3% [6] - 对于低收入家庭而言 购买新车仍然负担不起 新的税收减免将支持中等收入家庭的销售 而财富增长将支撑高收入家庭的汽车支出 [7][8] 具体数据与市场现状 - 11月新车平均价格约为49,800美元 较上年同期上涨约1% 而价格通常每年上涨约3% [4] - 制造商最近限制了价格上涨 但预计不会长期吸收关税成本 [4] - 新的税收优惠可能为典型消费者每月节省约50美元 [5] - 购买力改善需要时间才能影响消费者的心理 尽管有所改善 消费者对购车时机的评估仍然悲观 [3] 政策与金融因素 - 美联储降息可能“大幅”降低利率 [5] - 新的税收减免适用于年收入高达150,000美元的家庭 对年收入高达100,000美元的家庭最为显著 [3] - 购买在美国组装的汽车并通过贷款融资的消费者可能获得相对较大的退税 [5] - 负担能力估算基于平均新车价格 并假设买家支付15%的首付和66个月的贷款期 [6]
AI talent war continues in tech without generating many jobs, says KPMG's Swonk
Youtube· 2025-12-16 18:56
Diane, how would you describe uh this. Is it abnormal. Is it funky.Are we just in a waiting period of transition. What What do you say is going on here. >> Well, it certainly is an early chill for the holiday season, but I think you know consumers are still spending, which is ironic.The core retail sales, which goes into the GDP calculation for the retail sales data, actually was up 0.9%. So much better than that headline figure suggested. and data for September and August were revised up.So, we came into t ...
Rising Unemployment Adds Pressure on the Fed to Consider More Rate Cuts
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-16 16:53
Al Drago / Bloomberg via Getty Images Federal Reserve policy committee members, including Chair Jerome Powell, have been waiting for more up-to-date data on the labor market. Key Takeaways The uptick in unemployment in November shows that the Federal Reserve was justified in cutting interest rates earlier in the year, economists said. The Fed is expected to pause its rate-cutting campaign in January to assess the impact of cuts so far, but the poor jobs report kept a January cut on the table. The Fed ...
U.S. Treasury Yields Fall Ahead of Key Data
Barrons· 2025-12-15 08:28
U.S. Treasury yields declined in early trading, with coming key U.S. economic data expected to show further weakness in the labor market.In particular, employment figures are due Tuesday, followed by CPI data on Thursday, with labor-market data likely leaving the door open for Federal Reserve rate cuts next year."In our view, the FOMC has room to deliver the 50 basis points of easing priced in by Fed funds futures over the next 12 months," Brown Brothers Harriman's Elias Haddad said in a note. ...