住房市场现状 - 新屋开工年率下降至130万套 远低于经济学家预期[2] - 建筑行业过去四个月出现裁员 加剧失业问题[3] - 美国住房短缺达到470万套的历史新高[8] 房价与收入对比 - 2025年房价中位数416,900美元与收入中位数83,150美元之比达5倍[4] - 1985年房价收入比为3.5倍（房价82,800美元 vs 收入23,620美元）[4] - 经通胀调整后 2024年房价较1965年上涨100%[6][13] 政策应对措施 - 财政部宣布将采取新措施解决住房成本问题[9] - 可能宣布国家住房紧急状态并推出首购补贴 首付援助 简化审批等政策[10] - 联邦土地可能用于新开发项目[10] 利率政策影响 - 美联储预计未来12个月进行4-5次降息[16] - 30年期抵押贷款利率可能从6.26%降至4.5%-5.5%区间[17][18] - 降息可能引发竞价战争并推高房价[19] 投资机会分析 - 建议关注头部建筑商：Lennar/LEN、PulteGroup/PHM、DR Horton/DHI等[12] - 住房科技股推荐：Zillow/Z、Opendoor/OPEN、Compass/COMP、Rocket Mortgage/RKT[12][21] - 政策干预可能引发近二十年来最强的住房繁荣[11] 市场供需矛盾 - 住房可负担性处于历史最低水平[7] - 供应量接近历史低点[7] - 年轻人无力购房 老年业主惜售 新建设跟不上需求[8]

It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Toll Brothers (TOL) . Shares have added about 6.6% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Toll Brothers due for a pullback? Well, first let's take a quick look at its latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Toll Brothers Inc. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.Toll Brothers Q3 ...

This story was originally published on Multifamily Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Multifamily Dive newsletter. Dive Brief: Beverly Hills, California-based real estate investment company Kennedy Wilson is acquiring Toll Brothers Apartment Living platform, including its in-house development team and its interests in a portfolio of completed properties and assets under development, for $347 million, according to a Thursday press release. The transaction is expected to c ...

The builder best known for its luxury single-family homes plans to exit the multifamily business entirely. ...

交易概述 - 肯尼迪威尔逊公司同意收购托尔兄弟公司公寓生活平台 包括内部开发团队及已完成项目和开发中资产权益 总收购价格3.47亿美元 [1] - 交易涉及房地产投资公司与豪华住宅建筑商的业务整合 [1] 公司动态 - 肯尼迪威尔逊作为全球房地产投资公司 通过收购扩大公寓资产组合 [1] - 托尔兄弟公司作为全美领先豪华住宅建筑商 出售其公寓开发平台资产 [1] 资产构成 - 收购标的包含已完成物业资产及处于开发阶段的资产权益 [1] - 交易涵盖托尔兄弟公司内部开发团队的整合转移 [1]

Geddes Vista is a new master-planned community featuring spacious single-family homes and modern townhomes in the top-rated Ann Arbor Public Schools districtANN ARBOR, Mich., Sept. 17, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation’s leading builder of luxury homes, today announced its newest community, Geddes Vista, is now open in Ann Arbor, Michigan. This exclusive Toll Brothers neighborhood includes two new collections, the Towns and Preserve collections, and offers a variety of floo ...

Ahead of today’s biggest market news item — the Fed rate cut, expected at 1pm ET today — we see an economic segment directly affected by interest rates, Housing. As we’ll see, the homebuilding side of the housing market continues to cool down — clearly a result of still-high interest rates, which translate to high mortgage rates.August Housing Starts & Building Permits LowerWe had expected Housing Starts to cool month over month, from a +5% pop in July to something a bit lower. But today’s headline 1.307 mi ...

建筑商信心与市场状况 - 9月美国住宅建筑商信心指数维持在32 与8月持平 自5月以来该指数在32-34的狭窄区间内波动[2] - 未来销售预期指数上升2点至45 创3月以来最高水平 而当前销售条件持平于34 潜在买家流量指数下降1点至21[2] - 39%的建筑商在9月报告降价促销 较8月的37%进一步上升 达到疫情后时期的最高比例 平均降价幅度稳定在5%[3] - 65%的建筑商继续提供购房激励措施 比例与8月基本持平[3] 利率与金融环境 - 30年期固定抵押贷款利率在过去一个月下降23个基点至6.35% 创2024年10月以来最低水平[3][6] - 15年期固定利率抵押贷款平均利率为5.50%[6] - 美联储预计本周下调联邦基金利率 可能缓解建筑商和买家的融资成本[3] 宏观经济背景 - 8月消费者价格指数同比上涨2.9% 较7月的2.7%加速 创1月以来最快增速[4] - 核心通胀率维持在3.1%[4] - 8月美国新增就业仅2.2万人 为多年来最弱月度增长之一[5] - 失业率从7月的4.2%微升至4.3%[5] 行业表现与个股分析 - Zacks住宅建筑商行业过去三个月上涨29.5% 显著超越建筑板块12.1%和标普500指数12.1%的涨幅[10] - D.R. Horton(DHI)过去三个月上涨41.6% 2025财年每股收益预期从11.40美元上调至11.79美元 但预计同比下跌18% 2026财年预计增长2.2% 过去12个月ROE为15.7%[14] - Toll Brothers(TOL)同期上涨34% 过去12个月ROE达17.4% 价值评分B级[15] - 家得宝(HD)上涨21.4% 劳氏(LOW)上涨28.3% 马斯科(MAS)上涨20.4%[16] - 劳氏线上销售额增长7.5% 由AI工具支持 并收购Foundation Building Materials和Artisan Design Group以拓展2500亿美元的专业市场[16] - 马斯科通过定价策略和供应链调整抵消关税压力 受益于装修和专业涂料市场的持续需求[17]

Key Takeaways Housing Starts & Building Permits Lower than Expectations for AugustProspective Homebuyers Likely Await Lower Mortgage RatesThe Fed Is Widely Expected to Lower Interest Rates TodayWednesday, September 17, 2025Ahead of today’s biggest market news item — the Fed rate cut, expected at 1pm ET today — we see an economic segment directly affected by interest rates, Housing. As we’ll see, the homebuilding side of the housing market continues to cool down — clearly a result of still-high interest rate ...

Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) is one of the Best Housing Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. On September 11, the company announced that its newest community, Coldwater Ridge of Northville, is now open in Northville, Michigan. It features luxury condos possessing modern home designs providing first- and second-floor primary bedrooms. Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) stated that homes are being priced from the low $500,000s. Toll Brothers (TOL) Announces That Coldwater Ridge of Northville Is Now Open in ...