Crestwood Ranch will offer estate-sized homes in a serene northwest enclaveLAS VEGAS, Sept. 26, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation's leading builder of luxury homes today announced its newest community, Crestwood Ranch, is coming soon to Las Vegas, Nevada. This exclusive community will offer just nine new luxury homes situated on estate-sized home sites in an intimate enclave designed for serene living. Crestwood Ranch will be located at W Azure Drive and N TeePee Lane in th ...

Exclusive Toll Brothers community with breathtaking views and luxurious home designs opens brand new model home in Sedona, ArizonaSEDONA, Ariz., Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, today announced the grand opening of its highly anticipated new model home at Toll Brothers at Sedona, an exquisite new home community in the serene and world-renowned town of Sedona, Arizona. The public is invited to tour the new model home and availabl ...

CARY, N.C., Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation’s leading builder of luxury homes, today announced limited opportunities remain to build a new Toll Brothers home in its prestigious Millstone community located in Cary, North Carolina. Only eight home sites remain available in this luxury community in sought-after Cary, an area known for being the perfect blend of small-town charm and metropolitan convenience. Expansive home designs feature unique architectural design ...

SCHERTZ, Texas, Sept. 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation’s leading builder of luxury homes, today announced its newest San Antonio-area community, Toll Brothers at Windborne, is coming soon to Schertz, Texas. This Toll Brothers neighborhood will include a collection of modern single-family homes on expansive 100-foot-wide home sites just a 20-minute drive from downtown San Antonio. The community, located at Graytown and Ivy Manor in Schertz, is anticipated to open for sa ...

Key Takeaways Toll Brothers benefits from affluent buyers, $6.4B backlog and ASPs above $1M.D.R. Horton leverages scale, affordability focus and $5.5B liquidity to sustain growth.TOL trades at a lower P/E than DHI, with stronger ROE and better near-term upside potential.Toll Brothers (TOL) and D.R. Horton (DHI) are two leading U.S. homebuilders with distinct market focuses. Toll Brothers is famed for its luxury homes and affluent customer base, while D.R. Horton is America’s largest homebuilder, dominating ...

PALM HARBOR, Fla., Sept. 22, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, today announced the grand opening of Montrose at Innisbrook - Townes Collection, a highly anticipated community of luxury townhomes in Palm Harbor, Florida. The professionally decorated Seagate Elite model home is now open for tours at 1891 Havenly Ridge in Palm Harbor. Montrose at Innisbrook - Townes Collection offers spacious, two-story townhome designs ranging up to 2,281 s ...

Key Takeaways Toll Brothers' Q3 results show lower contracts, a smaller backlog and pressured margins.The Fed's 25 bps cut could ease affordability and attract more buyers back to the market.35% of Toll communities can now deliver homes in eight months or less, boosting flexibility.Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) continues to face challenges from affordability pressures. Elevated mortgage rates and higher construction costs have weighed on buyer sentiment, slowing activity across many regions. For luxury-focused ...

New luxury home community offers four collections of homes in amenity-rich Uptown Celina master plan north of DallasCELINA, Texas, Sept. 22, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, today announced the grand opening of its newest Dallas-area community, The Ranch at Uptown Celina. This highly anticipated new home community offers four collections of luxury homes within the beautiful Uptown Celina master plan located north of Dallas. The Sales Cent ...

美联储降息对房地产市场影响 - 美联储自去年以来首次降息并暗示未来更多降息 推动抵押贷款利率持续下降[1] - 利率下降虽无法立即解决住房 affordability 问题 但对住房活动方向产生积极影响[1] Toll Brothers 业务特性 - 作为全美领先豪华住宅建筑商 其客户群体更富裕且对利率敏感度较低[2] - 公司通过融资激励措施维持销售 若利率持续下降可减少激励并改善盈利能力[2] 2025财年第三季度财务表现 - 收入同比增长6%至28.8亿美元 交付量2,959套同比增长5%[4] - 每股收益从3.60美元增至3.73美元 调整后住宅销售毛利率27.5%高于指引但低于去年同期的28.8%[4] - 净签约合同价值24.1亿美元同比持平 但签约单元数2,388套下降4%[5] - 新合同平均售价上涨4.5%至约100万美元[5] - 未完成订单余额63.8亿美元同比下降10% 主要因持续将前期订单转化为交付[5] 股东回报与资本管理 - 当季通过回购和股息向股东返还2.26亿美元 其中股票回购约2.01亿美元[6] - 管理层偏好股票回购体现对公司长期表现的信心[6] 全年业绩指引 - 维持全年交付量约11,200套的指引 调整后住宅销售毛利率预计维持在27%高位区间[7] - 若利率下降推动需求改善 将为业绩提供强劲支撑[7] 当前市场环境与估值 - 美联储9月降息推动抵押贷款利率近期下降[8] - 股票仅以10倍市盈率交易 若需求改善存在上行空间[8]

美联储降息政策 - 美联储自12月以来首次降息25个基点 将基准利率下调至4%-4.25%区间 并暗示后续将继续降息以支撑劳动力市场[1][10] - 降息举措利好对利率敏感的小盘股和可选消费类股票 罗素2000小盘股指数创近四年新高 标普500指数年内涨幅超13%[2][10] 房地产行业表现 - PHLX住房指数本季度大涨15% 显著跑赢标普500指数7%的涨幅 但年内表现仍落后于基准指数[5][11] - 头部房企表现突出：DR Horton本季度涨幅超30% KB Home和Toll Brothers涨幅均超20% 家装零售商Lowe's和Home Depot分别上涨约20%和13%[5][11] - 30年期固定利率抵押贷款利率降至6.39% 为2024年10月初以来最低水平 Keefe Bruyette & Woods分析师预计年底可能接近6%[6][11] 货币政策传导机制 - 抵押贷款利率与10年期美债收益率关联度更高 当前收益率从5月的4.6%降至4.13% 降幅大于联邦基金利率[8][11] - 若抵押利率能降至5%区间 将被视为重要阈值 可能为疲软的住房市场注入活力[7][11] - 8月美国独栋住宅开工量骤降至近两年半低点 鲍威尔主席明确表示住房部门活动"疲弱"[11] 经济数据与市场预期 - 未来一周将公布成屋销售和新屋销售数据 住房交易量提升通常有利于经济活动[9][11] - 美联储强调未预设利率路径 成员间存在分歧 可能导致经济数据（尤其是劳动市场和通胀数据）公布时市场波动加剧[9][11] - 持续坚挺的通胀可能迫使央行维持较高利率水平 今年降息幅度仍存不确定性[8][11]