What do we know about these new round of tariffs from the Trump administration. And it's a right force of tariffs there, isn't it, Joumanna. I mean, this is what it is, one of the latest iterations of the sectoral tariffs that the Trump administration has introduced.Very recently, we saw the same thing in the pharma industry. And this follows an investigation by the U.S. government into the market conditions, which means that this is a sectoral tariff. And the method they use means that it is it is not subj ...

29 September 2025 | 10:45PM BST Equity Research Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Analysts e ...

**行业与公司** 涉及中国医疗保健行业 包括创新生物制药公司（如Innovent BeOne Hansoh Hengrui）跨国药企（如AstraZeneca Merck）医疗器械公司（如Mindray Boston Scientific）合同研究组织（CRO）（如Wuxi Apptec Lonza）传统中药（TCM）企业（如Dong-E-E-Jiao）医疗服务提供商（如Gushengtang）医药电商（如JD Health Yifeng）以及家用医疗器械公司（如Resmed Philips）[2][5] **核心观点与论据** * **市场规模与增长潜力** 中国医疗保健市场预计从2024年1.4万亿美元增长至2030年2.1万亿美元 增量7000亿美元 2040年进一步增至3.2万亿美元 潜在增量1.1万亿美元 2024-30年复合年增长率（CAGR）7.1% 2030-40年CAGR 4.3%[2][12][52] 增长主要由老龄化驱动 65岁以上人口占比将从2024年15%升至2040年27% 该人群医疗支出是年轻人的近两倍[2][15][52] 当前医疗支出占GDP仅5.4%（2022年）远低于发达国家平均水平（约10%）存在提升空间[15][52][59] * **基本医疗保险（BMI）改革与创新支持** BMI覆盖95%人口 支出占GDP 2.2% 预计2024-30年CAGR 5.5% 2040年达近1万亿美元[3][37] 带量采购（VBP）和诊断相关组（DRG）/病种分值付费（DIP）等改革导致仿制药价格大幅下降（最近一轮降价80-96%）同时释放资金用于创新治疗[3][37][109] 创新药支出占比将从2024年34%升至2030年59% 2024-30年CAGR 20% 医疗器械CAGR 10%[3][37][106] 创新药审评时间从2013年1282天缩短至2024年258天 临床试验数量连续8年增长[146][147] * **自费医疗支出与“银发经济”机会** 人均自费支出当前约260美元 远低于其他老龄化国家（400-800美元）预计2024-30年CAGR 7% 2030年市场规模5680亿美元[4][44] 受益领域包括传统中药（TCM）医疗服务和家用医疗器械[4][50] * **商业医疗保险（CMI）补充作用** CMI占比仅5%（2024年）但长期潜力大 预计2040年占比升至10%[24][87] NHSA正探索与CMI合作 如一站式结算和数据共享 2025年将建立创新药商业保险目录（CIDL）[206][209] * **投资偏好与标的** 最看好创新生物制药（中国生物科技公司CAGR 60% 2018-24年）其次为医疗器械和仿制药基药企[210][218] 跨国药企在华创新药销售2019-24年CAGR 39% 受益于政策支持[135][145] 自费市场推荐传统中药（如Dong-E-E-Jiao）医疗服务（如Gushengtang）医药电商（如JD Health）和家用器械（如Resmed）[5][50] **其他重要内容** * **情景分析** 基准情景：2030年增量市场7000亿美元（名义GDP CAGR 5.5% 医疗支出占比10%）[34][91] 蓝色天空情景：增量市场1.7万亿美元（医疗支出占比达美国20%水平）[34][91] 灰色天空情景：增量市场5110亿美元（GDP增长放缓）[34][91] * **区域机会** 拉丁美洲和东盟等地区也面临快速老龄化 可能存在类似投资机会[5] * **风险因素** 包括监管不确定性、竞争加剧和地缘政治风险[2] **数据与单位换算** 所有货币单位已统一为美元（如十亿为billion 百万为million）增长率与占比均引用原文数据 关键数据点包括： - 65岁以上人口占比：2024年15% → 2040年27%[2][52] - 创新药支出占比：2024年34% → 2030年59%[3][37] - 自费支出CAGR：7%（2024-30年）[4][44] - 仿制药VBP价格降幅：80-96%（最近一轮）[109][117]

About this content About Ian Lyall Ian Lyall, a seasoned journalist and editor, brings over three decades of experience to his role as Managing Editor at Proactive. Overseeing Proactive's editorial and broadcast operations across six offices on three continents, Ian is responsible for quality control, editorial policy, and content production. He directs the creation of 50,000 pieces of real-time news, feature articles, and filmed interviews annually. Prior to Proactive, Ian helped lead the business outpu ...

Joining us right now is Dan Skellyy. He's Morgan Stanley's wealth management managing director. And Dan, thanks for coming in today.Morning, Becky. Um, a lot of talk about how this is the worst week we've seen since August 1st, but we're still talking about 1% declines or or less for the major averages. And maybe that tells you more about where the markets have been recently.People keep thinking this is time for a pulled back. There's time for a pullback. What do you think, Becky.First off, we've blown past ...

About this content About Stephen Gunnion Stephen Gunnion is a senior financial journalist and broadcaster at Proactive Investors. He has more than 25 years of experience in television, radio and print media, anchoring on a number of television channels including South Africa's Business Day TV, CNBC Africa and the South African Broadcasting Corporation, where he was the economics editor. He has also worked for Daily Maverick, Bloomberg, the Business Day newspaper and Investors' Chronicle. Read more About ...

Ah, Thursday, September 25, 2025. Another day, another dizzying dance on Wall Street, orchestrated, it would seem, by the ever-unpredictable maestro, Donald J. Trump. As the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) dipped 0.3% (or a more precise 171.50 points to 46,121.28), the S&P 500 (SPX) slid 0.6% (to 6,637.97), and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) sank a notable 0.9% (to 22,497.86), one might wonder if the markets were simply reacting to an unexpected drop in jobless claims or the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut uncer ...

If you are interested in keeping up to date with stocks making moves within the biotech, pharma and healthcare industries, and understanding the key trends and catalysts driving valuations ahead of the market, why not subscribe to my weekly newsletter via my Investing Group, Haggerston BioHealth ?The group is for both novice and experienced biotech investors. It provides catalysts to look out for and buy and sell ratings. It also provides product sales and forecasts for all the Big Pharmas, forecasting, int ...

If you are interested in keeping up to date with stocks making moves within the biotech, pharma and healthcare industries and understanding the key trends and catalysts driving valuations ahead of the market, why not subscribe to my weekly newsletter via my Investing Group, Haggerston BioHealth ?The group is for both novice and experienced biotech investors. It provides catalysts to look out for and buy and sell ratings. It also provides product sales and forecasts for all the Big Pharmas, forecasting, inte ...

In this article, we will be taking a look at the 10 Best Pharma Stocks to Buy According to Billionaires. Pfizer Inc. is one of them. Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE), a global biopharmaceutical leader, continues to make strides in vaccines and oncology, reinforcing its position in the pharma sector. In September 2025, PFE and BioNTech reported positive Phase 3 data for the LP.8.1-adapted COMIRNATY 2025-2026 COVID-19 vaccine. The updated formulation produced at least a four-fold increase in neutralizing antibodies ...