Amid rising concerns about stagflation, investors have continued to bid up the equities sector. As evidence, the benchmark S&P 500 sector is up over 13% year-to-date. However, the concern is that most of these tremendous gains are now concentrated in an elite minority of tech players known as the Magnificent Seven. These entities have recently combined to reach a market capitalization of nearly $21 trillion: great for them but not great for underperforming sectors like healthcare.One of the laggards is the ...

Meta is reportedly investing “tens of millions” in its new super PAC dedicated to combating state-level proposals to regulate artificial intelligence (AI) and other technologies.By completing this form, you agree to receive marketing communications from PYMNTS and to the sharing of your information with our sponsor, if applicable, in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Terms and Conditions .Complete the form to unlock this article and enjoy unlimited free access to all PYMNTS content — no additional logi ...

Major U.S. benchmarks slipped from record levels. ...

In the wake of the Trump administration's sudden overhaul to the H-1B visa program, influential business groups are publicly staying on the sidelines. For now, at least. Last week, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation that added a $100,000 fee on H-1B visas, a specific visa granted to skilled foreign professionals allowing them to temporarily work in the U.S that's popular with major tech companies. It raised alarm among businesses of all sizes and employees who feared they might get hit with majo ...

Equity markets are once again in a euphoric run, with comparisons being drawn to two historic episodes of excess: the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and the Roaring Twenties preceding the Great Depression.While AI-driven tech giants continue to push indices to record highs, institutional portfolios remain heavily concentrated in equities.Reminiscing About The Dot-com BubbleAt the turn of the millennium, the internet captured the imagination of investors worldwide. A similar story is unfolding today with a ...

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said President Donald Trump’s new $100,000 fee on H-1B visas left companies including his struggling to quickly determine the potential impact. “That caught everyone off guard,” Dimon said in a CNBC-TV18 interview. “And so we had a lot of phone calls over the weekend. What does it mean?” Late last week, Trump signed a proclamation slapping a $100,000 fee on new H-1B petitions as a condition of entry to the US, sparking confusion and panic among bot ...

Meta has raised the stakes in Big Tech’s fight against AI regulation. The Facebook-maker is investing “tens of millions” of dollars into a new super PAC to fight state-level tech policy proposals that could stifle AI advancement, reports Axios.Meta’s pro-AI PAC, called the American Technology Excellence Project, is the company’s latest effort to combat policies it sees as harmful to the development of AI. Last month, Meta launched a California-focused PAC to back tech-friendly candidates in state races. Ax ...

Silicon Valley executives spent the weekend trying to determine if tens of thousands of their staff would be impacted by the White House’s sudden decision to levy a $100,000 fee on skilled foreign worker visas, which previously cost $2,000 to $5,000. Such was the confusion that several H-1B holders got off an India-bound Emirates flight from San Francisco before takeoff on Friday. On Monday, it was the tech industry across the Pacific, in the country where that plane was headed, that had the most pressure ...

By Aditya Soni and Echo Wang SAN FRANCISCO/NEW YORK (Reuters) -The Trump administration's hefty new visa fees for H-1B workers have prompted high-level talks inside companies in Silicon Valley and beyond on the possibility of moving more jobs overseas - precisely the outcome the policy was meant to stop. U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday announced the change to the visa program that has long been a recruitment pathway for tech firms and encouraged international students to pursue postgraduate cours ...

**行业与公司** * 行业聚焦美国宏观经济 特别是潜在GDP增长和劳动生产率趋势[1][3][6] * 公司提及高盛作为研究发布方 但未涉及具体上市公司分析[1][2][84] **核心观点与论据** **潜在GDP增长加速与驱动因素** * 美国潜在GDP增长率从疫情前18%升至近年24% 主要因劳动力增长和生产率提升[3][6] * 劳动力增长贡献从2007-2019年平均06个百分点升至2019年后08个百分点 因2022-2024年移民激增在峰值时助推年化劳动力增长近1个百分点[3][26] * 全经济劳动生产率年均增长从疫情前12%升至近年16%[3][6] **劳动力增长前景** * 预计未来几年劳动力增长对潜在GDP贡献将降至平均03个百分点 因移民政策收紧和人口老龄化[3][27][31] * 老年劳动力参与率上升部分抵消老龄化负面影响[22][25] **生产率测量调整与真实增长** * 当前生产率统计数据存在三大测量问题：就业增长将被下修 AI相关资本支出未充分计入GDP 家庭调查中代理回答扭曲工时数据[3][10][11][13] * 估算去年全经济劳动生产率实际增长约15%（官方发布10%） 过去五年年均增长16%（官方发布17%）[3][16][20] **部门生产率表现** * 非农企业劳动生产率过去五年均增2%（疫情前15%） 非金融企业生产率更强达25%[3][34] * 科技及相关行业（科学研究、工程、咨询）贡献了生产率加速的03-04个百分点 是主要驱动力[3][50][51] * 服务业生产率 outperformance 主导疫情后表现 科技行业在就业增长大幅放缓下仍保持高实际GDP增长[45][46][53][56] **AI的影响与未来展望** * AI已推动商业投资大幅增加 但多数未计入GDP 未测量的AI相关资本支出约占2022年以来GDP的05%[11] * AI可能通过提高资本密集度和效率进一步提振生产率 类似1990年代技术繁荣[69][71] * 预计全经济生产率增长将在2029年前平均17% 2030年代初升至19% 潜在GDP增长相应在2025-2029年平均21% 之后加速至23%[4][74][77] **国际比较与风险因素** * 美国生产率增长显著优于其他G10经济体 科技和专业服务行业是超额表现主因[61][62][64][65] * 风险包括AI采用不及预期、人口增长骤降或科技进步放缓 上行风险是AI采用快于预期或通用人工智能突破[79] **其他重要内容** * 更高关税可能通过资源错配和抑制投资长期拖累生产率约01个百分点每年 但外国报复有限抵消部分影响[73] * 大企业生产率增长更强劲 制造业企业间生产率分化扩大 AI可能放大这一趋势[58][60]