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Consumer economy is weak and getting weaker due to high rates, says Jim Cramer
Youtube· 2025-09-26 00:21
双轨经济分化 - 人工智能经济呈现惊人增长 而消费经济持续恶化 形成鲜明对比[2] - 股市平均值掩盖了经济分化 AI经济在指数中权重过大导致失真[2] - AI相关股票占标普500回报率的75% 盈利增长的80% 资本支出的90%[18] 人工智能经济动态 - Coreweave与OpenAI扩大合作协议价值65亿美元 总合同价值达224亿美元[8] - Meta正在路易斯安那州建设100亿美元巨型数据中心 直接与能源公司合作建设三座新燃气发电厂供电[9] - 数据中心耗电量巨大 占能源公司当前发电量的五分之一 可能影响普通电力消费者[9][10] - 苹果公司承诺在美国投资6000亿美元 规模超过美国政府建设州际公路系统的历史最大公共工程[19] 半导体行业动向 - 英特尔可能向苹果寻求资金支持 以重新参与AI革命竞争[3][4][5] - 苹果投资可能用于支持英特尔芯片制造设施建设[6] - Marvell Technology受益于AI和数据中心增长 宣布大规模股票回购 今日股价上涨3.7%[24][25] 消费经济困境 - 全美最大二手车经销商CarMax业绩远低于预期 销售额比华尔街预期低6% 股价暴跌20%[11][12] - CarMax面临重大贷款损失 客户需要低利率环境 因为汽车贷款定价基于短期收益率曲线[12][13] - KB Home选择减少房屋建设量 因高利率环境下销售困难[13][14] - 住房行业对美国经济影响重大 与众多其他行业密切相关[15] 零售业调整 - 星巴克宣布裁员900名企业员工 北美门店数量将减少1% 实施10亿美元重组计划[16] - 零售业面临数字竞争压力 仍存在员工过多和门店过剩问题[21] - 只有沃尔玛等与亚马逊或Costco规模相当的企业才能无惧资产负债表压力参与竞争[21] 利率政策影响 - 消费经济部门急需降息 汽车、住房和零售业都受到高利率的严重制约[12][13][20] - AI经济部门对利率变化不敏感 这些公司现金充裕 高利率反而带来更高回报[23] - 美联储降息可能通过银行提供短期优惠利率来刺激住房行业[14][15] 基础设施投资机会 - Sterling Infrastructure作为民用工程公司表现优异 但市盈率倍数较高[26] - 基础设施类股票受到市场关注 但需要等待估值冷却[26]
Jim Cramer says to take a 'wait and see' approach to homebuilders as interest rate cuts fail to bring down mortgage rates
CNBC· 2025-09-25 22:45
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Thursday reviewed recent earnings reports from major homebuilders Lennar and KB Home, expressing concern that the Federal Reserve's rate cuts won't help bring down mortgage rates."I think it's better to take a wait-and-see approach to the homebuilders, just in case we see a repeat of last fall, where the Fed started cutting and it didn't make a difference," he said. "If anything, it drove the bond market in the wrong direction and mortgage rates higher."The Fed lowered its benchmark bor ...
S&P 500 has longest losing streak for over a month as Wall Street stumbles to third straight loss
Fortune· 2025-09-25 22:07
Wall Street stumbled to a third straight loss on Thursday as U.S. stocks gave back more of their big gains for the year so far.The S&P 500 fell 0.5% and marked its longest losing streak in more than a month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 173 points, or 0.4%, and the Nasdaq composite sank 0.5%. All three indexes are still near their records set at the start of the week, though.Stocks felt pressure from reports showing the U.S. economy may be stronger than economists thought. While that’s encouragi ...
Why New Homes Are More Popular With Buyers Than Existing Homes Recently
Investopedia· 2025-09-25 21:39
Sales of newly constructed homes rose at their fastest pace in more than three years last month. Justin Sullivan / Getty Images Close Key Takeaways New homes are now more popular than existing homes, due largely to builder incentives and plentiful inventory, new data released this week showed. Sales of newly-constructed homes in August came in at an annual rate of 800,000, a 20% increase from July's rate of 664,000. It was the fastest pace of sales since early 2022, economists at Wells Fargo noted in a repo ...
Fed rate cut divide deepens, plus options plays for a pullback (and a rally)
Youtube· 2025-09-25 21:03
[Music] Hello and welcome to Market Domination. I'm Josh Lipton live from our NYC headquarters. Investors are on Fed watch today.Multiple officials from the central bank are speaking and investors are listening. They're also digesting fresh economic data that looks promising. We're digging into all those stories.But right now there's just an hour to go till the closing bell and stocks they are lower. Let's take a look at the popular averages here. The Dow is down about 170 points. The S&P 500, your broad ga ...
LGI Homes Unveils Exciting New Floor Plans at Lago Mar in Texas City
Globenewswire· 2025-09-25 21:00
The Reed Plan by LGI Homes The Reed Plan by LGI Homes at Lago Mar four bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a spacious family room. TEXAS CITY, Texas, Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- LGI Homes is proud to announce the debut of several stunning new floor plans at Lago Mar, the premier master-planned community located near League City in Texas City. Starting at just $289,900, these newly available homes feature the CompleteHome™ package, delivering modern design, high-end finishes, and exceptional value in on ...
LGI Homes Unveils Exciting New Floor Plans at Lago Mar in Texas City
Globenewswire· 2025-09-25 21:00
TEXAS CITY, Texas, Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- LGI Homes is proud to announce the debut of several stunning new floor plans at Lago Mar, the premier master-planned community located near League City in Texas City. Starting at just $289,900, these newly available homes feature the CompleteHome™ package, delivering modern design, high-end finishes, and exceptional value in one of the Houston area’s most dynamic and amenity-rich neighborhoods. Introducing New Floor Plans at Lago Mar The latest floor pla ...
Century Communities to host September Grand Opening in Riverside, CA
Prnewswire· 2025-09-25 20:26
Townhome Renderings | New Homes in Riverside, CA | Sagecrest by Century Communities Townhome Renderings | New Construction Homes in Riverside, CA | Sagecrest by Century Communities Townhome Renderings | New Townhomes in Riverside, CA | Sagecrest by Century Communities New Neighborhood Brings Fresh Energy and Stylish Townhomes to the Heart of the Inland Empire Learn more, explore pre-Grand Opening opportunities, and RSVP at www.CenturyCommunities.com/SagecrestCA. RIVERSIDE, Calif., Sept. 25, 2025 /PRNewswir ...
Model Home Now Open at Toll Brothers at Sedona Community
Globenewswire· 2025-09-25 19:56
Exclusive Toll Brothers community with breathtaking views and luxurious home designs opens brand new model home in Sedona, ArizonaSEDONA, Ariz., Sept. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL), the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, today announced the grand opening of its highly anticipated new model home at Toll Brothers at Sedona, an exquisite new home community in the serene and world-renowned town of Sedona, Arizona. The public is invited to tour the new model home and availabl ...
UBS' John Lovallo: Housing market bottom in sight as builders stabilize
Youtube· 2025-09-25 18:33
Welcome back to Squawk on the Street. Real estate one of the worst performing sectors on the year behind just health care and consumer staples. All underperformers.Home wielders across the board remain in correction territory which means they're 10% or more from their 52- week highs. Lenar is the worst of the group. And then watch KB Home shares today reducing fullear sales guidance due to lower prices.The company COO saying on the call they're not seeing the uptick in demand they'd expect given the recent ...