Rothschild and and company Redburn today they initiate Oracle with a sell rating. They say the target's 175. I'll read you a bit of their note again. Let's let's show the stock first again. Please let's do that because again their target's 175. The stock's at 300 more or less. Quote, "The market materially overestimates the value of Oracle's contracted cloud revenues. Our analysis suggests Oracle's 5-year Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue guide equates to roughly $60 billion in value, meaning the market i ...

(Bloomberg) — The bubble that has formed in US Big Tech stocks over the past two years has further to run and investors should position for more gains, according to Bank of America Corp. (BAC)strategists. A BofA team led by Michael Hartnett studied 10 equity bubbles since the start of the previous century, finding that these periods of extreme overvaluation produced average trough-to-peak gains of 244%. That suggests that, after rising 223% from their March 2023 low, the so-called Magnificent Seven cohort ...

股价表现与估值水平 - 公司股价年内飙升84% 位列标普500指数成分股中第七佳表现[2] - 股价近期单日上涨36% 因云计算业务收入预计在未来三个财年增长700%[2] - 当前市盈率达43倍 创互联网时代以来新高 超过标普500指数中九家最有价值公司中的八家[4] - 基于未来三年盈利预期的市盈率为25倍 仍接近过去十年平均水平的兩倍[5] 人工智能驱动因素 - 人工智能计算需求激增推动公司收入加速增长[2] - 公司被市场重新定位为人工智能领域赢家 此前被视为低增长企业[5] 云计算业务拓展 - 云计算基础设施业务与特朗普政府关于TikTok在美运营谈判存在关联[3] - 公司长期作为TikTok主要云基础设施服务提供商[3] - 白宫已将针对该中国视频应用的禁令截止期延长至12月16日[3] 行业对比与估值逻辑 - 估值显著高于同业 英伟达未来12个月预期市盈率为31倍且预计销售增长更快[4] - 长期增长预期支撑估值 主要增长体现在四至六年后[5] - 成长股估值参照系中 特斯拉与Palantir未来12个月市盈率超180倍 三年期预期市盈率约100倍[6]

量子计算行业估值分析 - 量子计算领域多家公司股价达到历史高位 包括IonQ Rigetti Computing D-Wave Quantum和Quantum Computing等公司[1] - 过去12个月IonQ股价上涨517% Rigetti D-Wave和Quantum Computing涨幅均超过1500%[2] - 当前估值水平已超过互联网泡沫和COVID-19疫情期间的峰值 例如亚马逊思科微软在互联网泡沫期间市销率为30-40倍 Zoom和Peloton在疫情期间市销率分别达到124倍和20倍[5] 量子计算公司融资动态 - IonQ通过股票发行筹集近10亿美元 包括以每股55.49美元发行1416万股[10] - Rigetti通过市场发行筹集3.5亿美元[10] - D-Wave在6月11日至27日期间筹集4亿美元 此前1月已筹集1.5亿美元[10] - Quantum Computing以每股14.25美元发行1400万股 筹集2亿美元[10] 行业对比分析 - 大型科技公司如英伟达亚马逊Alphabet和微软在量子计算领域的估值相对合理[6] - 量子计算是资本密集型行业 需要持续投入研发资金[12] - 小规模量子计算公司可能面临股价大幅回调风险 历史经验显示互联网和COVID泡沫后都出现重大调整[14] 投资策略建议 - 投资者可考虑通过大型科技公司获取量子计算行业敞口 而非投资于小型专业公司[15] - 频繁的股票发行和股权稀释可能影响小公司资本配置效率[14]

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