"Tech in general, particularly the AI-related companies, came under a fair amount of pressure and when Micron reported [on Wednesday] and the market reacted the way that it did, there's the idea that maybe people can come back to these ," said Thomas Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments. December has also traditionally been a strong period for stock markets. Since 1950, the so-called Santa Claus rally has been reflected by the S&P 500 rising by an average of 1.3% over the last five tradi ...

So, at the end of a week of wild swings, what have we learned about this trade. Or is this just sort of a blip in the bigger AI trade. Tim, what do you think.>> Uh, no. I look, I think the last month has been important in terms of evaluating free cash flow from companies that that were gold standard by looking at the debt markets by assessing the dynamics of does Oracle have funding. Are the the blue owls of the world sticking by.There's other folks that are uh you know, that's emblematic of a broader story ...

It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas for the stock market, which may be headed for a “Santa Claus Rally,” according to analysts, including those at Goldman Sachs and Citadel Securities. Most Read from Fast Company “Barring any major shocks, it will be hard to fight the overwhelmingly positive seasonal period we are entering and the cleaner positioning set-up,” Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s trading desk team said in a client note, as reported by Bloomberg. “While we don’t necessarily see a dramatic ra ...

Tom, just a couple of final thoughts on today and also the week session as we look back. I mean, I think it was really two stories driving the market narrative this week. It was the macro data, the delayed economic updates that we finally got and also Micron's earnings.We got as I mentioned that backwards looking inflation print or I shouldn't say backwards looking but it was at least delayed a week but you know there were perhaps a few holes in it and as Colin Martin over at Charles Schwab told me this mor ...

The market moved in tandem with a volatile tech sector for most of the week, while a handful of key economic indicators were in focus as well. Software giant Oracle (ORCL) was one of the biggest players, dragging tech earlier in the week, but boosting the market toward the end after news that TikTok agreed to sell its U.S. operations to an Oracle-led investor group. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and S&P 500 Index (SPX) snapped a four-day losing streak on Thursday, with help from softer-than-expecte ...

Key Points Bitwise submitted registration documents yesterday to launch a new spot ETF tracking the price of Sui. This application adds to the existing proposals on the SEC's desk, with two other prospective funds awaiting approval. Capital flows matter a great deal in the digital assets space, so increased fervor from institutional players could be a big upside catalyst for Sui over the long-term. 10 stocks we like better than Sui › With many investors now viewing certain key developments this ...

Joining me to wrap up the week, Ron Insana, CEO of Insana Information Partners. He joins me at the desk. Ron, great to have you. >> It's great to see you.Thanks for having me, Caroline. >> All right, so what do we need to take away from this week. What do investors actually need to care about right now.>> Well, I think they still have to care about the data fog that we're going through. I mean, we've got CPI or consumer price information that told us inflation was a little better than we thought, but the da ...

CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed Thursday's market action, telling investors that gains in consumer-oriented companies are propelling stocks higher despite losses from Big Tech names — whose enormous spending on artificial intelligence is drawing scrutiny."Retail is such a huge portion of this economy, it can mask the questionable kinds of transactions we've been seeing at the highest level of tech," he said.The S&P 500 snapped its four-day losing streak on Thursday, finishing the session up 0.79%. The Nasdaq Com ...

Joining us this morning is Niles Investment Management founder and portfolio manager Dan Niles. Got some thoughts on the AI trade in the market at large. Dan, good to see you again. >> To see you too, Carl.>> So, a lot was made of uh Broadcom's inability, for example, to rally after its earnings, but maybe the story can be different with Micron today. >> Yeah, I mean, I think you have to look at the the short-term picture and the long-term picture. So in the short-term picture, what's changed is now really ...

核心观点 - 人工智能领域的泡沫担忧重燃 导致Marvell Technology等半导体巨头股价近期出现显著回调 但行业仍处于早期阶段且竞争加剧 同时基于历史统计和“圣诞老人反弹”等因素 公司股价可能在未来数周内出现反弹 [1][2][4][5] 股价表现与市场情绪 - 从9月初到12月初 Marvell股价经历显著上涨 涨幅约41% 但自12月3日收盘后 股价已下跌约18% [1] - 股价下跌的主要叙事是市场对人工智能领域支出可能过于激进的担忧重燃 这一情绪由甲骨文公司的最新财报及前瞻指引引发 并导致包括Marvell在内的多只半导体股下挫 [2][3] - 尽管存在担忧 但看涨观点认为机器学习/AI仍处于早期阶段 且对该领域的兴趣并未减弱 [4] 潜在积极催化剂 - 历史性的“圣诞老人反弹”现象可能对股价构成支撑 这一现象通常发生在圣诞节至一月初的几个交易日 受交易量清淡、税务相关交易和年终乐观情绪推动 [5] - 基于“逢低买入”情绪的历史数据分析显示 在经历了过去10周内仅有3周上涨的下跌趋势后 未来10周的回报分布区间可能扩大至78美元至90美元 价格聚集点可能在85.80美元 高于整体情况下的84.80美元 [10][11] 基于风险几何学的交易展望 - 采用分布分析方法预测 以中位数基准计 Marvell股价在未来10周内可能从约82美元上涨至86美元 [12] - 历史类比表明 股价持续达到90美元或以上的概率极小 [12] - 基于此分析 一种潜在的交易策略是构建行权价为85/87.50美元的看涨期权价差组合 到期日为2026年1月16日 该策略的最大损失为100美元净借记 若到期时股价超过87.50美元 最大利润为150美元 回报率150% 盈亏平衡点为86美元 [16][17] - 在86美元至88美元区间 概率密度可能骤降75.67% 因此将盈亏平衡点设得更高将导致概率衰减呈指数级加速 [17]