Successful business team standing together with growth financial arrow. gettySo what do 196 mostly bullish money managers with close to $500 million under management think about a stock market that continues to make new highs in one of the seasonally weakest months? A recent article noted that in 2025, the S&P 500 had hit 28 all-time highs. The number of new all-time highs in September is at a record level that goes back to 2017. That was another year when the Wall Street strategists were too pessimistic on ...

September 23, 2025 04:59 PM GMT Asia Economics | Asia Pacific The Viewpoint: What we debated with US investors Four key points arose in our discussions with investors in the US: (1) The business cycle outlook for Asia, (2) Divergence between China's macro and markets, (3) Pace of domestic demand recovery in India and trade tensions, (4) The policy rate path for Japan. Key Takeaways In this report, we share key points from discussions with US-based investors on the Asia outlook. | M | | Idea | | --- | --- | ...

Tariffs, tight credit weigh on hiring plans while some channels for rate relief are clogged. ...

Markets often rally in anticipation of rate cuts but then decline when those cuts are implemented. ...

It's time now for the big picture. Let's welcome in Colin Martin, director and fixed income strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research. Very good morning to you, Colin.Happy Friday. So, no surprises there from the PCE data. Does that set us up for two more cuts.>> Uh, we're not sure just yet. You know, if we look at this morning's release, no surprises, I think, is a good thing. We're looking to make sure we're not seeing any reaceleration or significant reaceleration in inflation right now.So even th ...

All right, I'm very pleased to say we are joined by Rebecca Walsa, president Walsa Wealth Management, and she's joining me around the desk here on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Thank you so much for your time. Thanks for having me. Happy Friday. Happy Friday. And a happy Friday for the markets. Yes, it's a happy Friday for the market. Yes. Yes. Okay. So, uh we've got some green across the screen off the back of what was a not surprising PCE report. Does that set us up for two cuts then? I think ...

Investors love dividend stocks because they offer a significant income stream and have massive total return potential. ...

双轨经济分化 - 人工智能经济呈现惊人增长 而消费经济持续恶化 形成鲜明对比[2] - 股市平均值掩盖了经济分化 AI经济在指数中权重过大导致失真[2] - AI相关股票占标普500回报率的75% 盈利增长的80% 资本支出的90%[18] 人工智能经济动态 - Coreweave与OpenAI扩大合作协议价值65亿美元 总合同价值达224亿美元[8] - Meta正在路易斯安那州建设100亿美元巨型数据中心 直接与能源公司合作建设三座新燃气发电厂供电[9] - 数据中心耗电量巨大 占能源公司当前发电量的五分之一 可能影响普通电力消费者[9][10] - 苹果公司承诺在美国投资6000亿美元 规模超过美国政府建设州际公路系统的历史最大公共工程[19] 半导体行业动向 - 英特尔可能向苹果寻求资金支持 以重新参与AI革命竞争[3][4][5] - 苹果投资可能用于支持英特尔芯片制造设施建设[6] - Marvell Technology受益于AI和数据中心增长 宣布大规模股票回购 今日股价上涨3.7%[24][25] 消费经济困境 - 全美最大二手车经销商CarMax业绩远低于预期 销售额比华尔街预期低6% 股价暴跌20%[11][12] - CarMax面临重大贷款损失 客户需要低利率环境 因为汽车贷款定价基于短期收益率曲线[12][13] - KB Home选择减少房屋建设量 因高利率环境下销售困难[13][14] - 住房行业对美国经济影响重大 与众多其他行业密切相关[15] 零售业调整 - 星巴克宣布裁员900名企业员工 北美门店数量将减少1% 实施10亿美元重组计划[16] - 零售业面临数字竞争压力 仍存在员工过多和门店过剩问题[21] - 只有沃尔玛等与亚马逊或Costco规模相当的企业才能无惧资产负债表压力参与竞争[21] 利率政策影响 - 消费经济部门急需降息 汽车、住房和零售业都受到高利率的严重制约[12][13][20] - AI经济部门对利率变化不敏感 这些公司现金充裕 高利率反而带来更高回报[23] - 美联储降息可能通过银行提供短期优惠利率来刺激住房行业[14][15] 基础设施投资机会 - Sterling Infrastructure作为民用工程公司表现优异 但市盈率倍数较高[26] - 基础设施类股票受到市场关注 但需要等待估值冷却[26]

The main U.S. equity indexes bounced off their intraday lows Thursday, but extended their respective losing streaks to three. The short-term trend continued despite incoming data showing both consumers and businesses remain resilient drivers of economic growth.The Bureau of Economic Analysis said before the opening bell that its final estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product showed the U.S. economy grew by 3.8% from April to June, faster than the 3.3% it saw in the second reading."It only seems fit ...

live. It's time now for the big picture. Let's welcome in the team from Charles Schwab.Joe Maza, head trading derivative strategist. Charles Schwab and Cooper Howard, director and fixed income strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research. Let's start with you, Joe.We've been talking about a lot of um a lack of breadth in this market. You know, concentration risk. There's just a handful of names that, you know, continue to help chug things along.Why is that important. Why are you watching that. Well, I I ...