Workflow
GDP growth
icon
搜索文档
Econ Data Surprisingly Good: Jobless Claims, Q2 GDP, Durable Goods & More
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 15:36
Thursday, September 25, 2025Pre-market futures are still swimming in the red at this hour, even with a large amount of economic data hitting the tape better than expected. Market indexes are moving fairly rapidly, but currently we’re -70 points on the Dow, -28 on the S&P 500 and -145 points on the Nasdaq. Bond yields are ticking higher, notably on the 2-year: +3.66%; the 10-year is approaching +4.19%.Q2 GDP Revised Up Half a Percentage PointIn a very unusual move this morning, the third and final revision t ...
U.S. Economy Stronger Than Reported Through Second Quarter As Spending Rose
Forbes· 2025-09-25 15:10
ToplineThe U.S. economy grew at a rate much higher than originally reported in the second quarter as consumer spending rose, according to revised data released Thursday by the Commerce Department, bringing surprise to economists. One economist noted a revision to economic growth—nearly 1% above initial reports—was “outside the norm.”Getty ImagesKey FactsReal gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 3.8% in the second quarter, up from an earlier revision of 3.3% and initial reports of 3% growth, ...
US Economy Grows as Jobless Claims Fall
Youtube· 2025-09-25 14:45
All of those things would seem to suggest that this is an economy in trouble. Not so according to the economic data released in the last hour. It showed the US economy growing at the fastest pace in nearly two years, thanks to consumer spending, though apparently not on used cars.Fed Governor Stephen Myron spoke to Bloomberg ahead of that data on the next steps for the Fed. My view is not one of enormous economic pessimism. You know, I don't think the economy is about to crater. I don't think the labor mark ...
Brazil's central bank sees inflation still missing target in early 2028
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 12:01
SAO PAULO (Reuters) -Brazil's central bank projected on Thursday that inflation will hover near the official goal in the first quarter of 2028, but still fail to meet it, according to the bank's latest quarterly monetary policy report. After projecting earlier this month annual inflation at 3.4% for the first quarter of 2027, the relevant horizon for policy decisions, policymakers unveiled a 3.1% forecast for the first quarter of 2028, the final period covered by the report. The bank targets inflation ...
Tech, AI to speed up US productivity, GDP growth: economists
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-09-23 17:02
About this content About Sean Mason Sean Mason is a Senior Journalist at Proactive, having researched and written about Canadian and US equities for 20 years. Sean graduated from the University of Toronto with a BA in history and economics and has also passed the Canadian Securities Course. He previously worked at Investors Digest of Canada, Stockhouse, and SmallCapPower.com. Read more About the publisher Proactive financial news and online broadcast teams provide fast, accessible, informative and action ...
Ecodata & Fed Market Movers This Week, XLP Breaks Down Ahead of COST Earnings
Youtube· 2025-09-22 14:30
Let's get to Kevin Green now. I'm very pleased to say who joins me for this Monday morning as he gets his feet under the desk. What will you be watching this week as a potential catalyst.Obviously, we've got plenty of Fed speak. What is key to keep an eye on. >> Yeah, well, we have a lot of economic data that's on uh the calendar for this week, but it may not be consequential when it comes to the Fed and their commentary.And you also kind of just talked about it. a lot of Fed speakers especially today and I ...
Treasury counselor Lavorgna: Mortgage rates coming down as inflation eases, Fed moves toward neutral
Youtube· 2025-09-18 19:51
Let's stay on bonds and stocks and markets because we've got new highs across the board for equities. Nearly all major averages on pace for new records. The market seems to have adjusted to tariffs.But what happens if the Supreme Court rules that the tariffs are actually illegal. Would that hurt America's massive debt load. Let's talk about that and more.Joe Leavone is well known to our audience as a markets guy, but now serves as counselor to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant. Joe, good to have you on the p ...
Fed Dot Plot Reveals Shallow Easing Path For 2026; Experts Say Don't Expect 'Many More Reductions' As Split Of Dots Is 'Something To Behold' - Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ), SPDR S&P 500 (A
Benzinga· 2025-09-18 07:40
The Federal Reserve's latest economic projections reveal a surprisingly shallow path for interest rate cuts in 2026, signaling that the policy will remain restrictive as the central bank contends with a resilient economy and sticky inflation.Fed Forecasts Less Than A Single Cut In 2026?The committee's median forecast for the federal funds rate shows a decline to only 3.4% by the end of 2026, a mere 0.2 percentage point drop from the 3.6% projected for year-end 2025.While 20 bps is less than a standard cut o ...
We are seeing tariff prices passing through into inflation data, says JPMorgan's Feroli
Youtube· 2025-09-11 20:57
通胀趋势 - 核心商品通胀在过去几个月加速 主要反映关税价格传导效应[2] - 核心PCE指数预计维持在3%附近 该指标是美联储重点关注的通胀指标[3] - 库存紧张可能导致价格压力持续 特别是在假日购物季期间[11] 劳动力市场 - 劳动力市场出现明显疲软迹象 失业率持续上升[3][5] - 失业率上升可能对工资形成下行压力 进而缓解未来6-12个月的通胀担忧[5] 货币政策 - 美联储9月可能不会降息50个基点 但预计今年将进行三次降息而非此前预期的两次[7] - 利率下降环境支撑家庭装修行业表现 消费者更倾向于升级室内设施而非户外[13] 股市表现 - 市场看涨情绪可能持续 全球多地股市创历史新高形成确认信号[6][8] - 投资者寻找抛售理由的行为反而可能继续支撑甚至推动股市上涨[8] 消费者影响 - AI主题相关资本支出预计为GDP增长贡献约0.5个百分点[9] - 财富增益主要集中于高收入消费者 低收入群体获益有限[10] - 家居装饰子行业表现强劲 Wayfair、RH和Williams-Sonoma等公司组成标普1500中的家装板块[12][13]
U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick: India has to stop buying Russian oil
Youtube· 2025-09-11 15:24
贸易谈判进展 - 印度需停止购买俄罗斯石油 其进口俄罗斯石油比例从战前1%升至当前40% 并利用低价优势(每桶7-10美元)进行提炼转售获利 [1] - 与台湾即将达成重大协议 与瑞士协议预计完成 韩国已达成协议待落实文件 日本已完成文件工作 [1] - 欧洲达成规模巨大协议 向4.5亿人口和20万亿美元经济体量市场全面开放 包括汽车领域取消非理性规则并支付15%关税 [1] 日本市场开放措施 - 日本汽车市场传统封闭 94%为本土品牌 仅6%为进口车型 美国车型主要被特定群体使用 [1] - 日本承诺向美国投资5500亿美元 用于阿拉斯加管道建设 核电站建设 电网升级以及抗生素生产 作为市场开放的替代方案 [1] - 该投资纳入国家经济安全基金 通过关税策略实现 体现商业思维主导经济政策的有效性 [1] 关税政策效果 - 关税收入达每月400亿美元 有效减少财政赤字 避免向美国民众征收同等规模税款 [1] - 关税未导致显著通货膨胀 但尚未明确带动制造业就业回流 可能受自动化生产影响 [1] - 8月1日与多国达成关税协议后 将启动超过10万亿美元的工厂建设计划 [1] 经济前景预测 - 明年第一季度将迎来史上最强建筑就业增长 该趋势将持续至2026年 [1] - 预计明年GDP增长率将超过4% 工厂投产前即可通过建筑业带动经济增长 [1] - 建筑行业将迎来空前发展机遇 所有建设活动将在五年内完成 [1]