Lowe's shares lagged the S&P 500 this year. Is there a chance for a rebound?The end of the year brings joy to many as people celebrate the holidays. In between parties and family gatherings, it's also a good time for investors to review their holdings and potential investments.Let's turn to home-improvement retailer Lowe's (LOW 2.94%) to see how the company performed in 2025 and what to look for in 2026. A look at 2025Based on the stock's performance, Lowe's shareholders don't have much to celebrate in 2025 ...

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Home Depot (HD) . Shares have added about 6.7% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Home Depot due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.Home Depot Q3 Earnings Miss, Outlines Soft FY25 EPS View ...

Parnassus Investments, an investment management firm, released its “Parnassus Value Equity Fund” third-quarter 2025 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The fund focuses on owning a concentrated portfolio of U.S. large-cap stocks. For the third quarter of 2025, the fund reported a net return of 7.46% outperforming its benchmark, the Russell 1000 Value Index, which returned 5.33% for the same period. During the quarter, the portfolio reduced its weight in the IT sector to increase ho ...

涉及行业与公司 * 行业：报告基于跨行业分析，重点提及工业、非必需消费品、医疗保健、信息技术、通信服务、必需消费品、材料、能源、金融、房地产、公用事业等行业 [4][5][20][21][23][24][27][28][30][32][33][38][41][43][50] * 公司：报告引用了多家公司的财报电话会议内容作为例证，包括： * Carrier Global (CARR) [57] * Newell Brands (NWL) [57] * Ingersoll Rand (IR) [57] * Whirlpool (WHR) [57] * Conagra Brands (CAG) [57][58] * Advance Auto Parts (AAP) [58] * Weyerhaeuser Co (WY) [59] * Eastman Chemical (EMN) [59][60] * PPG Industries (PPG) [63] * Xcel Energy (XEL) [63] * W.W. Grainger (GWW) [63] * Hasbro (HAS) [63] * Masco (MAS) [63][64] * Tesla (TSLA) [66] * GE Healthcare Technologies (GEHC) [66] * Fastenal (FAST) [66] * Mohawk Industries (MHK) [66] * Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (WAB) [66][67] 核心观点与论据 * **关税政策前景**：预计近期有效关税税率将维持在约15% [1][10] 但美国最高法院对《国际紧急经济权力法》(IEEPA) 关税的未决裁决是一个重大变数 [1][10] 若IEEPA关税被推翻，将引发一系列政策问题，包括总统是否会立即使用其他现有授权替代广泛进口关税、财政部是否需退还已征收的关税收入及时间表、以及对现有双边贸易框架协议的影响 [1][2][10] 即使政府决定采取更温和的关税措施（如扩大豁免），贸易政策相比上一届政府仍将保持限制性 [2] * **企业关税缓解策略演变**：识别出企业为减轻关税影响的五大关键策略：(1) 定价权，(2) 与供应商谈判，(3) 将产品重新导向无关税的市场，(4) 囤积库存，(5) 通过“中国+1”、近岸外包或回岸外包策略实现供应链多元化 [3][14][16] * **策略提及频率变化**：上一季度企业提及关税缓解策略的次数有所减少，这可能预示着关税压力接近峰值，也表明企业和投资者对既定策略更为熟悉和自信 [4][6][20] 定价权作为最常被提及的策略扩大了领先优势，其提及次数几乎是供应链多元化的两倍 [4][20] 供应链多元化对许多公司实施困难、库存囤积减少可能是推动公司越来越多地使用定价作为杠杆的因素 [4][20][35][39] * **行业情绪与策略差异**：从情绪角度看，医疗保健、工业和信息技术行业的管理团队对其缓解关税风险能力的评估仍位居前列，而通信服务和必需消费品行业的情绪得分最低 [5][21] 除必需消费品外，所有类别的情绪均有所改善 [5][21] 工业和非必需消费品行业在“定价权”提及中占比最大 [4][20] 非必需消费品公司提及库存囤积最多，但该行业及工业领域的提及均有所减少 [35] 医疗保健行业供应链多元化仍是最主要的策略 [51] * **政策不确定性见顶**：关税缓解策略提及次数的减少与报告中2026年展望的观点一致，即认为关税政策的不确定性已过峰值 [6] 政府的近期信号表明关税水平的方向性风险是降低而非提高（例如近期对农产品的豁免及推迟对半导体的232条款关税）[9] 但现有协议的执行风险仍然很高 [9][13] * **潜在政策情景分析**： * 若IEEPA关税被推翻，预计特朗普政府最终将利用其他授权（如第122、338条，或现有的232/301调查）来替代现有关税 [11] 但考虑到国会共和党人及特朗普总统的民调数据对负担能力的关注，政府更可能选择对关税采取更温和的态度 [11] 若政府不立即恢复基准关税，关税结构可能发生潜在转变，即更多针对特定行业和国家的关税 [11] * 关于潜在退税：程序延迟和最高法院可能更窄的裁决范围等因素可能最小化宏观影响 [12] 根据先例，大部分流程可能由财政部酌情决定，退税可能持续数月并要求额外文件证明资格 [12] * 关于现有贸易协议：目前难以得出结论，但若关税未被其他措施替代，风险可能随时间增加，同时贸易协议本身固有的执行风险依然存在 [13] 其他重要细节 * **数据来源与方法**：分析基于AlphaWise量化团队更新的大型语言模型(LLM)，用于审查各行业的关税讨论 [19] 季度标签基于公司财报时间（2025年第四季度对应第三季度财报）[22] * **具体策略详解与例证**： * **定价权**：公司可选择将关税成本转嫁给客户，或分担涨价负担并接受较低利润率，前提是公司拥有强大的定价权 [16] 例如Carrier Global预计2026年定价与关税影响将实现美元中性，并计划提价 [57] Newell Brands在婴儿产品领域主动提价三轮以抵消通胀和关税 [57] * **库存囤积**：公司可在潜在关税生效前建立库存，但考虑到持有额外库存的成本，预计公司会采取适度策略 [16] 例如Conagra Brands在第一季度利用库存头寸抵消了比预期更多的关税成本，但预计第二季度净关税成本将更高，因已基本用完关税前库存 [57][58] Advance Auto Parts在关税环境下提前采购以确保库存 [58] * **产品重定向**：跨国公司可将受关税影响国家生产的产品重新导向无关税的终端市场 [16] 例如Weyerhaeuser在中国市场受限期间，增加了对印度市场的关注 [59] Eastman Chemical试图将受对华互惠关税影响的产品转移到其他市场 [59] * **供应商谈判**：公司可与供应商协商分担新增关税成本，大宗采购的大型公司拥有更高的议价能力 [16] 例如PPG Industries正积极与供应商合作以平衡销量和价格 [63] Masco通过与中国以外的其他市场采购以及让供应商分担关税影响来应对 [63] * **供应链重组**：可通过“中国+1”（如将工厂从中国转移到东南亚）、近岸外包（如转移到墨西哥）或回岸外包（转移回美国）策略实现 [16] 例如Hasbro通过积极的供应链多元化举措，预计到2026年底，美国以外的单一国家在其供应链中的占比将不超过三分之一 [63] Fastenal长期致力于在可能的情况下实现供应链多元化 [66] * **组合策略**：许多公司同时采用多种缓解策略 [54] 例如特斯拉通过上海超级工厂的增产来供应非美国需求，从而避免关税 [66] GE Healthcare通过供应链结构调整、推进USMCA认证、利用自由贸易区及选择性定价来应对 [66] Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies采用四管齐下的方法：获取应得的豁免、调整供应链、与客户分担成本、全公司范围的成本控制 [66][67] * **库存动态**：工业分销商调查数据显示，与2025年上半年相比，库存建设有所下降 [39] 消费类公司关税压力增加的迹象可能源于此前作为缓冲的库存耗尽 [35] * **报告性质与免责**：该报告为摩根士丹利研究，包含分析师认证、利益冲突披露及重要监管声明 [7][8][68][69][70][71][72][73][74][75][76][77][78][79][80][83][84][85][86][87][88][89][90][91][92][93][94][95][96][97][98][99][100][101][102][103][104][105][106][107][108][109][110]

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG) is one of the best stocks to buy according to Seth Klarman. As of December 12, the average price target for FERG suggests an upside of 17%; however, the Street high indicates an upside of 38%. Seth Klarman owns a $259.5 million stake in Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (NYSE:FERG) as of the third quarter of 2025, which represents 5.42% of the billionaire’s total holdings. On December 2, Ryan Merkel, an analyst at William Blair, maintained a Buy recommendation on Ferguson En ...

Key Takeaways HD expects Q4 sales pressure due to weaker storm-driven demand and tough year-over-year comps.Comparable sales fell 1.5% in October as storm-related categories saw sharp declines.HD cut FY25 comp sales outlook to slightly positive, down from its prior forecast of 1% growth.The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) faces a challenging fourth quarter in fiscal 2025 as year-over-year weather comparisons intensify. Management has acknowledged that third-quarter performance fell short of expectations due to the ab ...

The soaring valuations of tech stocks and the ongoing debate over a potential AI bubble have sparked questions about whether these market prices are backed by fundamentals or if investors are simply gambling on speculation. However, personal finance expert Dave Ramsey believes stock valuations are generally not irrational over the long term, except during a few extreme market events. A caller asked Ramsey on "The Ramsey Show" whether he should put his money into real estate because he felt there's a disc ...

Wickes Group plc (LON:WIX – Get Free Report) hit a new 52-week high during mid-day trading on Friday . The stock traded as high as GBX 243 and last traded at GBX 240.50, with a volume of 82496 shares trading hands. The stock had previously closed at GBX 239. Get Wickes Group alerts: Analyst Ratings ChangesA number of equities analysts recently weighed in on the stock. Citigroup lowered their target price on shares of Wickes Group from GBX 202 to GBX 200 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a resear ...

核心观点 - 知名评论员Jim Cramer认为家得宝公司股价显著低于其应有水平，当前是买入机会，主要逻辑是公司对美联储降息高度敏感，降息可能迅速扭转其股价走势 [1][2] 公司近期表现与评论 - 家得宝近期公布的业绩未达市场预期，评论员认为高利率环境是主要原因 [1] - 评论员指出家得宝股价比其认为的合理水平低了100点 [1] - 公司在投资者日活动中提供了若美联储降息的积极前景展望 [1] 行业与宏观影响 - 家得宝作为家装零售商，其业务对利率变化高度敏感 [2] - 评论员认为，在可能令市场失望的公司中，家得宝是对利率下降最敏感的一只股票 [2] - 美联储即将召开的会议可能成为股价快速扭转的催化剂 [2]

The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer discussed after the Fed rate cut. Cramer said that the “despot works here,” as he commented: “Lower rates spur home building and home buying, and they spur home improvement, which can be financed by a home equity loan… Predictably, Home Depot was really on the move again, even as I’m sure nothing extraordinary is going to happen there with a quarter-point cut. Still, we own it for the Charitable Trust… But long story short, I think the despot ...