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Oil is Tanking – What to Do Now
Investor Place· 2025-12-17 22:42
原油市场现状与展望 - 原油价格跌至近五年低点,布伦特原油跌破每桶60美元,西德克萨斯中质原油跌至每桶50美元中段 [1] - 过去六个月,布伦特和WTI价格分别下跌23%和25%,主要原因是供应过剩 [2] - 摩根大通预测,2025年布伦特油价将跌至每桶58美元,WTI跌至54美元,并预计到2027年价格将进一步下跌约1美元,高盛的预测也类似 [4] - 若无市场稳定措施,到2027年布伦特油价可能跌至每桶30美元区间,重现2020年疫情初期的低点 [13] 人工智能对电力需求的影响 - 2023年美国数据中心消耗约176太瓦时电力,占全美总用电量的4.4%,预计到本年代末,随着AI工作负载增加,该消耗量可能翻倍甚至增至三倍 [5] - 美国电力主要来自天然气、可再生能源、核能和煤炭,石油在电网发电中作用甚微,因此数据中心电力需求与原油消费无直接关联 [6] - 美国能源信息署预测,即使原油市场供应过剩,电力需求仍将因数据中心等因素创下历史新高 [7] - 过去五年,电价上涨速度已明显超过整体通胀率,且预计这一差距短期内不会缩小 [15] 人工智能电力需求的投资框架 - 投资框架分为三层:1) 拥有出售电力的公用事业公司及独立发电商,例如Constellation Energy和Vistra [8];2) 投资核能与铀,例如Cameco、Global X Uranium ETF、Oklo、NuScale、Centrus Energy和BWX Technologies [9];3) 投资能源存储/备用电源,例如Bloom Energy、Fluence和Eos Energy [10] - 大型科技公司正全力投入核能,但传统核电站建设周期超过10年,市场需要能在两到三年内部署并解决核废料问题的解决方案 [11] 科技公司财务风险与会计操作 - 主要风险来自债务及类债务负债,部分科技公司正通过会计手段隐藏长期负债 [21] - 过去两年,包括亚马逊、Alphabet和微软在内的多家大型科技公司悄然延长了其数据中心设备的折旧年限,从3-4年延长至6年,从而在现金支出不变的情况下提升了当期账面利润 [22] - Meta将其270亿美元的Hyperion数据中心项目置于特殊目的实体中,大部分项目“出售”给外部投资者Blue Owl Capital并回租长达20年,这在会计上被归类为表外经营租赁,实质上是一种贷款 [22] - 甲骨文近期披露了近100亿美元的表外租赁承诺,几乎是去年数字的三倍,且缺乏相关义务细节 [23] - 生成式AI尚未产生有意义的现金流,例如OpenAI预计到2029年将消耗超过1000亿美元现金,随着扩张加速,更多资金可能来自债务或易被忽视的类债务结构 [24]
HSBC Downgrades Biogen Inc. (BIIB) to Reduce Despite Pipeline Progress
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-17 22:13
Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal! AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous. Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink. Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and b ...
AI stocks: Energy and transportation plays, valuation concerns, and is it time to sell Mag 7?
Youtube· 2025-12-17 21:15
You know, obviously there's there's been a volatile element that has come into the AI sentiment here. >> Absolutely. >> A lot of it is centered around Oracle and sort of funding of these projects, private credit and its involvement in all of this.Like what are your thoughts on this. Yeah, I mean we've definitely seen um you know some concern building you know kind of within the markets you know just in terms of the amount of capex that is being committed you know kind of Oracle and the open AI kind of side ...
Xcel Energy Inc. Board Declares Dividend on Common Stock
Businesswire· 2025-12-17 20:33
MINNEAPOLIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The Board of Directors of Xcel Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: XEL) today declared a quarterly dividend on its common stock of 57 cents per share. The dividends are payable January 20, 2026, to shareholders of record on December 29, 2025. This information is not given in connection with any sale or offer for sale or offer to buy any securities. Statements in this press release regarding Xcel Energy's business which are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements†that involve risk ...
FTSE surges as falling inflation opens door to rate cut
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-17 17:25
英国通胀数据与央行利率决议 - 英国11月消费者价格指数(CPI)同比上涨3.2%,低于10月的3.6%,也低于分析师预期的3.5%,为3月以来最低水平[6][71][75] - 通胀下降的主要驱动因素是食品价格下降,特别是蛋糕、饼干和早餐麦片的价格下跌,烟草价格和女装价格下跌也起到推动作用[3][65][74] - 经济学家普遍认为,通胀数据超预期下降使得英国央行在周四将利率从4%下调至3.75%“看起来已成定局”[1][4][67] 金融市场反应 - 富时100指数大幅上涨1.6%,创下自4月以来的最佳单日表现,并触及八个月高点[2][7][20] - 英镑兑美元汇率下跌0.7%至1.333,因降息预期升温[5][39][63] - 英国政府借贷成本大幅下降,对利率敏感的两年期英国国债收益率下跌8个基点至3.68%,十年期国债收益率下跌多达7个基点至4.45%[10][11][56] 行业与公司表现 - 银行股因降息前景而大涨,汇丰银行股价上涨3.3%,成为富时100指数中涨幅最大的成分股[6][49][50] - 石油巨头壳牌和英国石油公司股价也大幅上涨,源于前总统特朗普下令封锁进出委内瑞拉的受制裁油轮导致原油价格跳涨[50][81] - 富时100指数在2025年迄今已上涨20%,有望创下自2009年上涨22%以来最强的年度表现,部分原因是其科技股敞口低,受人工智能泡沫担忧影响较小[19][20] 经济背景与政策展望 - 英国劳动力市场正在迅速降温,失业率升至5.1%,为四年来的最高水平,私营部门的工资增长也在下降[4][64][73] - 市场目前预计,到11月利率降至3.25%的可能性为69%,而此前预期为降至3.5%[38][45] - 有分析指出,通胀下降部分源于零售商在“黑色星期五”月份的广泛折扣,这可能不可持续,且服务业通胀仅从4.5%微降至4.4%,仍然顽固[23][24][53] 其他市场动态 - 华尔街主要股指开盘上涨,投资者期待美国通胀数据为未来降息定调,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.3%至48,274.04点,标普500指数上涨0.1%至6,807.05点[17][28] - 欧元区11月通胀率维持在2.1%不变,欧洲央行预计在周四会议上将利率维持在2%[43][44] - 德国12月Ifo商业景气指数降至87.6,为7个月以来最低,表明期待已久的经济复苏尚未实现[41][42]
Duke Energy and partners help customers in need stay safe, warm and connected
Prnewswire· 2025-12-17 16:25
Together with customers, employees and local partners, Duke Energy is making a difference – providing critical energy assistance so families can stay safe and connected during challenging times. "Behind every request for help is a story—a family, a friend, a community member working to get through a tough time," said Loree Elswick, president of Duke Energy Foundation. "Through Share the Light Fund and our local partners, we're able to support our neighbors in their moment of need." "Supporting families thro ...
4 Stocks That Declared Dividend Hikes Amid Ongoing Economic Uncertainty
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 15:06
Key Takeaways CNP announced $0.23 dividend payable Mar. 12, marking one of four recent payout hikes.Marriott Vacations declared $0.80 dividend with a 5.46% yield after raising payouts five times in five years.Zoetis raised its dividend to $0.53, extending a six-time increase streak over five years.Tech stocks have been taking a hit, leading volatility to return to Wall Street over the past few weeks. Over the past few years, tech stocks have led the market rally, but investors have recently been concerned a ...
PG&E Corporation, Utility Subsidiary Pacific Gas and Electric Company Announce Changes in Team Structures, Part of Positioning Company to Better Serve Customers and Hometowns
Prnewswire· 2025-12-17 13:15
OAKLAND, Calif., Dec. 17, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- In a message to coworkers, PG&E Corporation CEO Patti Poppe announced organizational changes to further improve service for customers and hometowns in Northern and Central California today and into the future. PG&E Corporation is a holding company, and its utility subsidiary is Pacific Gas and Electric Company (together, "PG&E"). The organizational changes are intended to ensure PG&E is more closely connected to local hometown needs and that it continues to mee ...
Why Analysts Have High Hopes For Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-17 06:59
Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal! AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous. Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink. Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and b ...
Analysts Have Maintained Buy Ratings On Formula One Group (FWONA)
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-17 06:59
Artificial intelligence is the greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime. The time to invest in groundbreaking AI is now, and this stock is a steal! AI is eating the world—and the machines behind it are ravenous. Each ChatGPT query, each model update, each robotic breakthrough consumes massive amounts of energy. In fact, AI is already pushing global power grids to the brink. Wall Street is pouring hundreds of billions into artificial intelligence—training smarter chatbots, automating industries, and b ...