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Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Carnival, Caterpillar, Meta — And Markets Make Modest Gains Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Carnival, Caterpillar, Meta — And Markets Make Modest Gains
Benzinga· 2025-12-20 13:31
Benzinga examined the prospects for many investors' favorite stocks over the last week — here's a look at some of our top stories.Markets closed the week with moderate gains as softer inflation data and stable unemployment renewed investor confidence in a potential 2026 rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both advanced, buoyed by broad-based sector strength, while the Nasdaq Composite snapped back from earlier weakness, led by a tech rebound. Investors interpreted t ...
Goldman Sachs quietly revamps gold price target for 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-19 17:33
Goldman Sachs typically doesn’t make bold calls lightly, but its latest gold price target forecast should make investors stop and take notice. The bank is now expecting gold prices to jump to roughly $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, carrying on a historic run. For perspective, that represents a 13% increase with spot gold prices trading at $4,323.71 per ounce at about 3 a.m. EST on Friday, Dec. 19. Goldman points to a fundamental shift that’s driving the global economy. It argues that central bank ...
It's going to be an uphill battle to convince the fed to cut rates: Apollo Global's Torsten Slok
Youtube· 2025-12-19 16:31
Let's continue the conversation right here with Toron Slack. He's chief economist at Apollo Global Management. Um, you have a favorite in that Fed race, by the way.Well, so I don't have a personal favorite, but I think it's clear that the market is trying to chew hard on which of these candidates will have implications for what's happening, especially of course in rates. What the conclusion of course here is that it all becomes about can the new fetcher persuade the other FOMC members about whatever his vie ...
ASX Market Open: ‘Shot in the arm’ US CPI print enough to circuit-break W51 slump | Dec 19
The Market Online· 2025-12-18 21:41
Join our daily newsletter At The Bell to receive exclusive market insightsASX today – Australian shares are up for the first time this week, finally following Wall Street’s lead to add +0.5% in futures. Over in the U.S., things have been relatively green all week, and jumped again on November’s CPI release.Listen to the HotCopper podcast for in-depth discussions and insights on all the biggest headlines from throughout the week. On Spotify, Apple, and more.That market-moving U.S. economic print saw core con ...
BTC price update: Bitcoin, crypto market could plummet again on ‘Witching Friday.’ Here’s why
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 21:15
Bitcoin investors are bracing for “Witching Friday” tomorrow, December 18, when billions of options are due to expire—making for what could be a highly volatile roller-coaster ride at the end of the week for the markets. Most Read from Fast Company Some $23 billion in contracts are set to expire on Deribit, the largest Bitcoin exchange, according to Bloomberg. Here’s what to know. What is ‘Witching Friday’? “Witching Friday,” also known as “triple witching” or “the triple witching hour,” refers to the ...
KG Breaks Down CPI & Jobless Claims, Analyzes Bitcoin's Rebound Rally
Youtube· 2025-12-18 16:00
美国通胀数据 - 整体CPI同比上涨2.7%,低于市场预期的3.1%和克利夫兰联储预期的3% [2] - 核心CPI同比上涨2.6%,低于市场预期的3% [3] - 分项数据中,住房成本同比上涨约3%,医疗保健成本同比上涨2.9% [4] - 航空票价同比下降5.4% [5] - 报告因未包含10月数据而存在缺口,且医疗保健分项因剔除长期护理保险而进行了调整 [4][5][6] 市场对美联储政策的预期 - 当前市场定价已包含125个基点的降息预期 [6] - 若1月报告能确认通胀下行趋势,可能促使美联储成员增加一次25个基点的降息,使市场预期变为两次25个基点的降息 [6][7] - 数据公布后,市场呈现“冒险”情绪,推动股市和债市上涨,债券收益率下降、价格上升 [7] 劳动力市场数据 - 上周初请失业金人数为22.4万,符合市场预期 [9] - 四周移动平均值约为21.75万 [11] - 失业率自上次报告以来小幅上升,但劳动力市场呈现稳定趋势 [11] 加密货币市场动态 - 比特币当日上涨约2.8% [13] - 比特币价格在85,000美元附近遇到关键支撑位,20日移动平均线构成阻力位 [13][14] - 技术图表出现50日移动平均线下穿200日移动平均线的看跌交叉信号 [15] - 若上涨失败,比特币可能测试78,000至80,000美元水平 [16] - 加密货币整体上涨被视为市场风险偏好提升的指标 [13][16] 能源市场与地缘政治 - 原油价格当日上涨约8% [19] - 价格上涨部分源于对特朗普总统可能宣布与委内瑞拉开战的预期,该预期推高了隔夜价格 [19] - 技术分析显示在低点出现了看涨的“吞噬”蜡烛图形态 [20] - 基本面方面,美国汽油需求超过2024年水平,但同比增幅不及往常 [21] - 市场同时担忧供应过剩,以及2026年关税可能对欧盟产生影响进而压制能源价格 [22][23] - 当前油价的地缘政治风险溢价相对于加勒比海地区局势升级的预期而言仍显便宜 [23] - 技术阻力位在每桶58美元附近 [24]
美国11月CPI意外偏低 分析师观点分化:数据偏软支撑降息 但需警惕政府停摆影响
智通财经· 2025-12-18 15:16
美国11月通胀数据明显低于市场预期。受此前政府长期停摆影响,美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示,11 月消费者价格指数(CPI)同比上涨2.7%,低于媒体调查中经济学家普遍预期的3.1%。数据出炉后,市场 对美联储在明年1月降息的预期略有升温。 由于政府停摆持续43天,美国劳工统计局(BLS)未能完整收集10月价格数据,导致10月CPI报告被取 消,11月报告中也未公布环比数据。BLS表示,价格数据无法追溯性补采,使得月度通胀变化出现断 档。剔除食品和能源价格后的核心CPI同比上涨2.6%,低于9月的3.0%,显示通胀压力进一步缓解。 金融市场对此迅速作出反应。三大指数走高;美债收益率下行,10年期美国国债收益率下跌2.2个基点 至4.13%;美元指数走弱,下跌约0.12%至98.25。 Spartan Capital Securities首席市场经济学家Peter Cardillo认为,核心通胀同比降至2.6%、整体通胀回落 至2.7%,对美联储和金融市场而言都是利好消息。如果这一趋势得以延续,将为货币政策转向更加宽 松铺平道路,甚至可能促成2026年第一季度内不止一次的降息。 TD Securities美国利率 ...
HDFC Bank FD rates: Private lender revises fixed deposit interest rate after RBI's 25 bps rate cut — Check details here
MINT· 2025-12-18 10:21
HDFC Bank FD rates: India's largest private sector institutional lender, HDFC Bank, has decided to revise its fixed deposit interest rates, effective from 17 December 2025, after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut its benchmark interest rate for the Indian economy to 5.25%, compared to its earlier 5.50% levels earlier this month.Mint reported earlier that the RBI announced a 25-basis-point rate cut to 5.25% citing that India is in a “rare goldilocks period” where the growth of the nation remains strong, an ...
LSEG跟“宗” | 美国或明年3/4月才再降息 Warsh为下任联储主席几率急升
Refinitiv路孚特· 2025-12-17 06:02
文章核心观点 - 文章基于美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)的持仓数据,分析了贵金属市场的基金情绪与价格前景,并探讨了在美联储货币政策预期转变的背景下,投资者应如何调整在大宗商品市场的投资部署 [1][2] - 实物需求(尤其是黄金)与期货市场杠杆活动出现背离,金价高企而基金净多头减少,表明实物买盘强劲 [16][17] - 美联储未来的政策路径(降息与资产负债表操作的组合)及新任主席的人选,将是影响包括贵金属在内的各类资产价格的关键变量 [2][25][27] CFTC持仓数据分析(截至11月18日) - **黄金(COMEX)**:管理资金净多头量为301(当量),较上周减少7.9%;多头量减少4.0%,空头量减少11.0% [3] - **白银(COMEX)**:管理资金净多头量为3,255(当量),较上周减少11.1%;多头量减少6.2%,空头量增加3.5% [3] - **铂金(Nymex)**:管理资金净多头量为21(当量),较上周减少13.8%;多头量微减0.9%,空头量增加9.7% [3] - **钯金(Nymex)**:管理资金净空头量为3(当量),较上周变化-96.6%,但当前数据参考性很低 [3][6] - **总体趋势**:至11月中旬,市场基金大幅减少各金属多头头寸,除黄金外,其他金属的空头头寸在上升 [7] 年初至今基金净多头表现 - **黄金**:基金在美国期货市场的净多头头寸年初至今下跌47%,但2024年累计上升35% [8] - **白银**:基金净多头年初至今上升24%,但2024年累计下跌1% [9] - **铂金**:基金净多头头寸实现由负转正,但2024年累计下跌152% [11] - **铜**:基金净多头头寸同样由负转正,但2024年累计下跌132% [14] 市场动态与结构性变化 - **实物与期货市场背离**:2024年首季以来,期货基金平仓多头获利,但金价依然高企,表明实物需求远超期货市场的杠杆影响 [16] - **铜价驱动因素**:自2020年起,全球疫情影响供应,叠加市场对AI及新科技发展带来的强劲需求预期,推动铜价走高并创历史新高 [17] - **战略资源受关注**:地缘政治风险下,除黄金外,原油及中国具垄断供应的物料(如稀土、锑、钨)的国际价格被看好;美国政府近期一系列行动(如入股MP Materials、Lithium Americas等公司并签订高价供应合同)刺激了相关公司股价 [17] 金矿股与相关指标分析 - **金价/金矿股比率**:截至12月12日,美元金价/北美金矿股比率为12.738X,较12月5日下跌3.3%,今年累计下跌33.4%,表明2024年北美金矿股表现跑赢实物黄金 [18][20] - **历史对比**:该比率在2008年之前低于6倍,但自2009/2010年以来,矿业股走势持续落后于商品本身,ESG(环境、社会责任及公司治理)投资理念的兴起是可能的原因之一,例如贝莱德(BlackRock)在2021年承诺不再投资于煤矿及原油生产公司 [20][21] - **前瞻性工具**:追踪海外金矿股股价被视为前瞻性工具,若金价上涨而金矿股急跌,则需警惕 [21] - **金银比率**:截至上周五,金银比指数为69.38,环比下跌3.6%,今年累计下跌23.6%,2024年累计上升13.0%;该比率通常在市场恐慌时升高,例如2020年新冠疫情全球蔓延时曾突破120倍 [22][24][25] 美联储政策预期与影响 - **降息概率**:市场认为美联储在明年1月再次降息的概率为24.4%,3月降息概率为44.2%,4月降息概率升至63.0% [2][25] - **政策空窗期部署**:投资者需思考在12月降息后至明年4月可能再次降息期间的投资策略 [2][25] - **美联储主席人选影响**:下任主席热门人选Kevin Warsh主张通过收缩资产负债表(缩表)引导资金从金融市场流向实业,若其上任,可能对虚拟货币、美股和金价构成压力 [2][25] - **当前政策操作**:美联储已于今年12月停止缩表,并重新开始每月购买400亿美元债券(扩表/量化宽松) [2][27] - **未来挑战**:未来12至24个月,若美国开始降息但通胀压力重燃,美联储的政策抉择将面临重大考验 [28]
PPL Stock Trades at Premium Value: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 17:01
Key Takeaways PPL's shares trade at 17.4X forward P/E, above both its industry and sector averages.Rising data center demand in Pennsylvania and Kentucky supports growth.PPL plans $20B in upgrades through 2028 and targets $175M in O&M cost cuts by 2026.PPL Corporation’s (PPL) shares are trading at a forward 12-month price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.4X, a premium compared with the Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry’s average of 14.79X. PPL’s current valuation is higher than the broader Zacks Utilities s ...