Hedge fund billionaire David Tepper said the Federal Reserve could cut rates a bit more, but then risks more inflation and other dangers to the economy and markets if the central bank goes further than that.In other words, be careful what you wish for."If they go too much more on interest rates, depending what happens with the economy ... it gets into the danger territory," Tepper said on CNBC's "Squawk Box" Thursday.His comments come after the central bank lowered interest rates by a quarter point Wednesda ...

My own guess is that policy's currently a little looser looking at all financial conditions than people view it as being, and that the current configuration, the balance of risks is a bit more tilted towards inflation rather than on employment. So I think we're a bit on the loose side with respect to monetary policy and monetary policy signalling, but that's very much a difference of degree. ...

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate Wednesday for the first time in nine months. Since the last cut, progress on inflation has slowed while the labor market has cooled. ...

美联储政策立场 - 美联储实施25个基点降息 符合市场预期[1] - 政策制定者观点存在显著分歧 部分成员担忧通胀风险 倾向于少于中位数预测的3次降息 另一部分更关注劳动力市场下行风险 主张更多降息[1][2][3] - 货币政策保持限制性 旨在平衡双重使命 既要管理劳动力市场下行风险 又要控制通胀压力[9][10] 劳动力市场焦点 - 美联储当前更关注双重使命中的就业部分 而非单纯通胀目标[4] - 失业率从历史低点小幅上升 尽管仍接近低位 但连续数月劳动力市场未能实现维持失业率稳定所需的30,000-50,000就业增长[6][7][8] - 劳动力市场存在供需问题 移民减少导致供应下降 同时需求面出现疲软[5][18] 经济韧性表现 - 经济展现超预期韧性 特别是在4月大幅关税宣布后整体经济保持良好[13] - 亚特兰大联储预测第三季度GDP增长达3.3% 显示强劲增长前景[15] - 消费者支出增加 零售销售数据强于预期 高收入美国人贡献了大部分支出增长[12] 通胀压力来源 - 通胀风险主要来自关税影响 但不仅限于此[1][9] - 剔除住房的核心服务价格持续粘性 维持高位[9] - 经济面临增长放缓与通胀上升的双重挑战 类似滞胀环境但尚未形成全面风险[12][14] 人工智能影响 - AI技术推动经济增长 资本支出建设带来经济强度[16] - AI对就业市场特别是低收入岗位存在潜在替代效应 如Lyft与Whimo在纳什维尔开展的自动驾驶项目[17] - 美联储货币政策主要影响劳动力需求面而非供应面 AI的影响将随时间逐步显现 需围绕新趋势制定政策[18][19]

LONDON (AP) — The Bank of England held its main interest rate at 4% on Thursday as U.K. inflation concerns weigh on policymakers. The decision was widely anticipated, as was the split of votes on the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee. Seven of the panel backed the decision, while two voted for a quarter-point reduction to 3.75%. The minutes of the meeting showed that the majority were concerned about the path for inflation, which remains stubbornly high. Figures on Wednesday showed inflation held ste ...

社会保障核心功能 - 社会保障旨在为退休人员提供安全网 防止其陷入贫困 而非提供优渥的退休生活 [3][4] - 社会保障金通过工作者在职期间缴纳 退休后定期领取的方式运作 [3] 通胀对退休人员的影响 - 52%的退休人员因通胀影响削减了餐饮和旅游等非必要支出 [4] - 约30%的受访者通过动用银行存款或401(k)和IRA等储蓄弥补收支缺口 [5] 企业退休福利演变 - 企业逐渐从传统养老金模式转向401(k)计划 将储蓄责任转移给员工 [6] - 企业虽提供一定比例的401(k)匹配供款 但退休储备主要仍依赖员工自主承担 [6]

The Fed cut rates by 0.25%, but Jerome Powell framed the move as “risk management” driven by labor market weakness, leaving investors uneasy. Markets were flat as the Fed’s dot plot suggested a possible 50bps cut at a meeting later this year, though Powell stressed a meeting-by-meeting approach. Trump appointee Stephen Miran dissented in favor of a bigger cut, underscoring political pressure on the Fed and highlighting divisions that signal a cautious, uncertain path ahead. Wall Street at last got its l ...

American homeowners saw their equity dip by an average of $9,200 over the past year as rising interest rates cooled the housing market, but experts say the decline is more of a reset than a collapse.Homeowner Equity Falls $141 Billion Amid Rising RatesHome equity, the difference between what a homeowner owes and what their property is worth, fell 0.8% year-over-year to $17.5 trillion in the second quarter, according to housing data firm Cotality, as reported by The Fortune. The number of homes with negative ...

By Greta Rosen Fondahn and Helen Reid MALMO, Sweden (Reuters) -Inter IKEA Group CEO Jon Abrahamsson Ring will step down at the end of the year, the owner of the world's biggest furniture brand said on Thursday, with Jakub Jankowski taking over as trade tensions and U.S. tariffs loom over the sector. Jankowski, the 49-year-old Polish managing director of IKEA Industry, the group's manufacturing business, will become group CEO on January 1, 2026. He has previously held roles in Poland, Romania, the Netherl ...

美联储政策动向 - 美联储实施降息且主席鲍威尔成功获得广泛支持 部分委员倾向更大幅度降息[2] - 鲍威尔将此次降息定性为"风险管理型降息"和"保险措施" 引发市场波动[4] - 联邦公开市场委员会内部对政策路径存在分歧 中值预测显示今年还有两次降息 但部分委员认为不会进一步降息[4] 债券市场反应 - 降息政策对债券市场形成利好支撑 国债市场出现上涨[3] - 全球债券市场持续担忧通胀问题 政府债务负担及债券供应压力推高长期收益率[7] - 市场关注英国央行是否会减缓债券投放规模 以缓解收益率曲线后端压力[7] 劳动力市场数据 - 上周失业金申请人数达13万 该数据因存在欺诈问题而失真[8] - 美国劳动力市场数据可靠性受质疑 难以准确把握实际就业状况[9] - 市场更关注数据对美联储政策的影响 而非经济前景本身[9] 政策展望与不确定性 - 鲍威尔主席任期即将进入第四年 未来人事变动可能影响政策连续性[5] - 明年美联储人事构成和组织结构变化将使政策前景趋于复杂化[5] - 除非出现异常糟糕的就业数据 市场注意力可能重新转向通胀指标[10]