Let's get to Kevin Green now. I'm very pleased to say who joins me for this Monday morning as he gets his feet under the desk. What will you be watching this week as a potential catalyst.Obviously, we've got plenty of Fed speak. What is key to keep an eye on. >> Yeah, well, we have a lot of economic data that's on uh the calendar for this week, but it may not be consequential when it comes to the Fed and their commentary.And you also kind of just talked about it. a lot of Fed speakers especially today and I ...

投资评级与核心观点 - 报告对股票持等权重评级 对核心固定收益资产持超配评级 对其他固定收益资产持低配评级[4] - 核心观点认为宏观与市场表现脱节 风险资产受益于"不那么糟糕"的消息 国债因预期美联储降息而上涨 但估值过于乐观[3] - 建议在增长和关税风险中聚焦优质资产 偏好优质周期股和投资级信用债而非高收益债[4] 全球主要股市展望 - 美股偏好优质股、周期股和运营效率高的股票 标普500指数目标6500点 2025年EPS增长7%至259 2026年增长9%至283[6][7] - 欧股超配防御、银行、软件、电信和多元化金融板块 MSCI欧洲指数目标2250点 2025年EPS下降1%至138 2026年增长2.2%至141[6][7] - 日股偏好国内再通胀和公司改革受益股 及国防和经济安全相关支出企业 Topix指数目标2900点 2025年EPS增长1%至185 2026年增长8%至200[6][7] - 新兴市场超配金融和盈利能力领先企业 偏好国内业务而非出口和半导体硬件 MSCI EM指数目标1200点 2025年EPS增长6%至84 2026年增长10%至92[6][7] 宏观经济预测 - 全球GDP增长2025年2.6% 2026年3.1% 通胀2025年1.9% 2026年2.0%[10] - 美国GDP增长2025年1.1% 2026年1.3% 通胀2025年2.9% 2026年2.6%[10] - 欧元区GDP增长2025年1.0% 2026年1.1% 通胀2025年1.9% 2026年1.8%[10] - 日本GDP增长2025年0.4% 2026年0.7% 通胀2025年2.1% 2026年1.7%[10] - 新兴市场GDP增长2025年3.9% 2026年4.4% 通胀2025年1.5% 2026年1.9%[10] 央行政策预期 - 预计美联储本周降息25个基点 随后在1月前连续四次25基点降息 目标区间至3.375% 2026年4月和7月进一步降息至终端利率2.875%[2][20] - 预计欧洲央行12月和3月会议各降息25基点 终端利率1.5%[2][20] - 预计英国央行本周按兵不动 11月可能降息[20] - 预计日本央行不急于下次加息 维持政策不变[20] 固定收益与外汇展望 - 预计10年期美债收益率2025年底达4.00% 德债收益率至2.40% 英债收益率至4.35%[14][15] - 美元指数承压 预计跌至91 因美国利率和增长与 peers 趋同及风险溢价上升[14] - 欧元兑美元目标1.20 美元兑日元目标140 英镑兑美元目标1.40[15] 大宗商品展望 - 原油市场预计将出现大幅过剩 布伦特油价可能下跌但不低于60美元/桶[16] - 欧洲天然气价格近期区间波动 TTF短期预测35欧元/MWh[17] - 美元走弱对大宗商品有利 黄金有10%上行空间 铁 ore 上行空间有限[18] 信用市场展望 - 投资级信用债预计强劲总回报 杠杆融资投资者建议BB和CCC级债券的 barbell 策略[23] - 美国投资级信用债利差基案例90基点 高收益债335基点 杠杆贷款425基点[24]

The S&P 500 (SP500) closed in the green on Friday, fueled by fresh rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. For the week, both Nasdaq (COMP:IND) and Dow (DJI) gained 0.5%. Wall Street had a slew of upgrades and downgrades from analysts. Here ...

JasonDoiy/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images Listen below or on the go via Apple Podcasts and Spotify We need to talk about Intel (and Nvidia) (0:30). FedEx earnings, macro worries (3:00). Fed dot plot, more cuts coming (4:30). Tesla churning higher (8:30). Caterpillar soaring (11:10). Darden drops (14:15). Transcript Rena Sherbill: Brian Stewart, our director of news at Seeking Alpha, welcome back to another unprecedented week at Wall Street Roundup. Brian Stewart: Great to be here. RS: It's always ...

市场交易活动 - 股票指数期货、股票指数期权和个股期权今日到期 可能带来波动性 但肯定带来更大交易量 因投资者平仓或延长头寸期限 [1][2] - 三重魔力日导致交易量增加 [1] 美联储政策动向 - 多位美联储官员发表讲话 包括尼尔·卡什卡里和前任官员詹姆斯·布拉德 [3][4] - 詹姆斯·布拉德预计中性联邦基金利率低至3.25% [4] - 尼尔·卡什卡里预测今年还将有两次降息 [4][6] - 美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于下周二发表讲话 [5] 经济数据发布 - 下周将公布重要经济数据 包括周四的GDP和耐用品订单 以及周五的消费者支出数据 [5] 科技行业动态 - 英特尔、英伟达和苹果本周表现突出 [6] - 苹果新款手机今日正式上市 [6] - 英伟达成为美中贸易谈判的新筹码 因其AI芯片技术优势 [9] - 蒂克托克交易谈判成为市场关注焦点 [7][8] 美中关系与贸易谈判 - 习近平与特朗普的会谈成为市场焦点 涉及信任问题讨论 [5][7] - 科技公司市场准入成为谈判重点 蒂克托克寻求进入美国市场 而Facebook和X平台无法进入中国市场 [7] - 谈判结果可能带来重大影响 市场既存在积极预期也有失望风险 [8] 资金流动情况 - 股票市场资金流入达2940亿美元 创历史第三高纪录 [10] - 美国银行建议投资者关注落后股票 [10] - 市场情绪热烈 投资者近期全面投入股市 [10]

Lori Ter owns the Carolina Panthers. And to use a football analogy, you know, sometimes you're a little bit tired. They put the smelling salts under the guys.It kind of perks him back up. He said in that soundbite, maybe that the 25 or 50 basis points, I said it, I know, doesn't matter that much whether you get one or the other, but it's the I think he said it might keep the market buoyant. It doesn't hurt the market buoyant. >> No, it doesn't hurt the market.But I mean, going back to your comment earlier, ...

Kevin Hanks, co-host Fast Market Live at the CBOE is with us to talk about what what we're watching this morning. We have up arrows this morning, day after the Fed. Some of your thoughts.>> Good morning, Nicole. Yes, markets green across the board. Not as high they as they were about a half hour to 45 minutes ago, but still solid numbers.You've got the E- Minis up a half percent, you've got the NASDAQ up 9/10en of a percent. And so numbers looking good to start the day. The data that we got this morning, jo ...

With a weaker jobs report, it's apparent that we are likely to see multiple rate cuts by the end of the year.Contributing analyst to the iREIT+Hoya Capital investment group. The Dividend Collectuh is not a registered investment professional nor financial advisor and these articles should not be taken as financial advice. This is for educational purposes only and I encourage everyone to do their own due diligence. I'm a Navy veteran who enjoys dividend investing in quality blue-chip stocks, BDC's, and REITs. ...

Steve Leeman, CNBC. Mr. . Chair, um, in the past during rake cut, you used the word recalibration and I wonder if you pointedly did not use it this time and in fact when you said policy is not on a preset course, did you mean to that as sort of the opposite of pre of of recalibration.Are we um meeting to meeting data point by data point. Are we in the process here of getting back to neutral. Thank you.So I think we are we're in a meeting bymeating situation. We're going to be looking at the data. You know, ...

CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Sept. 17, 2025: Dow Gains After Fed Decision Last Updated: 4 hours ago Topics Memberships Subscribe to Barron's Tools Customer Service Bank Stocks Hold Gains. Fed Sees Improved Growth, but More Rate Cuts. By Martin Baccardax Bank stocks are moving higher in the wake of the Federal Reserve rate decision, which included forecasts for firmer growth with largely steady inflation. Goldman Sachs, the top-performing Dow stock of the year, was 0.8% higher at $790.44. That extends it ...