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Stocks & Index Items to Watch from August's CPI Data
ZACKS· 2025-09-12 01:20
通胀数据整体符合预期 - 8月整体CPI同比上涨2.9% 高于7月的2.7% 环比上涨0.4% 高于7月的0.2% [2] - 核心CPI(剔除食品和能源)环比上涨0.3% 同比上涨3.1% 与7月持平 [2] - 市场仍预期美联储将降息25个基点 而非更大幅度的50个基点 [1] 住房成本成为主要推动因素 - 住房成本环比上涨0.4% 是CPI月度上涨的最大贡献者 [4] - 租金指数环比上涨0.3% 离家住宿指数环比大幅上涨2.3% [4] - 住房类在CPI子指数中权重达30-35% 抵押利率已降至一年最低 [5] 住宅建筑商股票机会显现 - 租金持续上涨可能吸引更多购房者进入市场 [5] - 面向高净值客户的住宅建筑商受通胀影响较小 Toll Brothers (TOL) 被提及 [5] - 9月17日将公布的新屋开工数据将提供更清晰指引 [5] 酒店运营商面临成本转嫁 - 酒店运营商通过提价弥补人力及餐饮成本上升 [6] - 万豪(MAR)股价今年下跌 但若住宿价格高涨抑制需求 可能出现更好买点 [6] 食品通胀呈现分化趋势 - 食品总体成本环比涨0.5% 同比涨2.7% 家庭食品环比涨0.6% 外食环比涨0.3% [7] - 关税对供应链的影响显现 消费者被迫为必需品支付更高价格 [9] - 价格敏感的消费行为使沃尔玛(WMT)等全渠道零售商受益 [9] 餐饮消费出现降级趋势 - 外食属于可自由支配支出 消费者减少高端餐厅消费 [10] - Chipotle(CMG)股价接近52周低点38美元 [10] 能源价格受季节性因素推动 - 能源价格环比上涨0.7% 同比上涨2.2% 汽油价格环比涨1.9% 但同比下降6.6% [11] - 夏季需求推升价格 地缘政治未导致原油价格大涨 目前油价略高于60美元/桶 [12] - 埃克森美孚(XOM)和雪佛龙(CVX)等石油巨头可从能源价格上涨中获益 [12] 交通运输成本显著上升 - 二手车价格环比涨1.0% 同比涨6.0% 机票价格环比大涨5.9% 同比涨3.3% [13] - 价格上涨可能抑制旅行需求和大额商品消费 对交通和汽车行业形成压力 [13] 汽车与航空业存在长期机会 - 主要汽车制造商和航空公司有望克服通胀和关税影响 通用汽车(GM)和达美航空(DAL)被提及 [14] - 达美航空在最新SEC文件中上调第三季度收入指引 [14] - 二手车价格涨幅超过新车 可能促使消费者升级购买 利好通用汽车等制造商 [14] 服装通胀显现关税影响 - 服装成本环比上涨0.5% 同比上涨0.2% 显示关税驱动的通胀 [15] - 不利于服装零售商 特别是高端服装和配饰消费可能下降 [15] - 拥有品牌认知度和定价能力的公司可能受益 Ralph Lauren(RL)被提及 [15] Ralph Lauren表现突出 - Ralph Lauren所属的Zacks纺织服装行业在240多个行业中排名后22% [16] - 公司股价年内上涨35% 近期触及52周高点321美元 而Crocs(CROX)等同行表现挣扎 [16]
After a record day for the indexes, Jim Cramer argues against market 'cynics'
CNBC· 2025-09-11 22:24
As the indexes soar to new heights, CNBC's Jim Cramer explained why he's still bullish, telling investors the market is set to keep roaring."The cynics just can't believe what's happening in this market. They're so used to finding reasons to be bearish that they're being overrun by positive events," he said. "Can these negativists stay baffled? Will they have to commit, convert, get bullish? I don't know if they can do it, but they're going to have to if…they want to stop losing the money that they have und ...
Trump asks appeals court to let him fire Lisa Cook before next week's Fed meeting
CNBC· 2025-09-11 20:54
政治与法律程序 - 特朗普律师要求联邦上诉法院在周一前裁决 以允许其解雇美联储理事丽莎·库克的动议生效[1] - 下级法院法官此前已阻止特朗普在诉讼进行期间解除库克职务[1] - 申请文件强调联邦公开市场委员会将于周二召开利率决策会议[2] 美联储政策动向 - 联邦公开市场委员会计划召开为期两天的政策会议 讨论是否削减基准利率[2] - 特朗普主张大幅降息以刺激经济增长并降低国家债务成本[3] - 特朗普预测将很快在美联储董事会获得"多数席位"以推动降息决策[4] 人事任命争议 - 特朗普以抵押贷款欺诈指控为由要求解除库克职务 该指控由住房金融主管比尔·普尔特提出[4] - 库克否认涉及抵押贷款欺诈行为[4] - 法官贾·科布认为"美联储独立性的公共利益支持库克复职"[5] 领导层关系 - 特朗普曾多次批评美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔拒绝在2025年降息 并考虑过解雇其职务[3] - 库克作为拜登任命的美联储理事 在投票中始终与鲍威尔保持同步[3] - 特朗普目前已放弃对鲍威尔的解雇威胁 但继续推进解雇库克的程序[3]
Consumer Prices Rise, Fed on Track for Interest Rate Cut: Money Minute
Youtube· 2025-09-11 17:51
This is a Bloomberg Money Minute. U.S. consumer prices rose at a slightly higher pace than expected month over month in August, but the year over year gain matched expectations. Consumer prices rose 4/10 percent month over month and 2.9% year over year, stripping out volatile food and energy prices as the Fed prefers to do. Prices rose 3/10 percent in August from the month before and 3.1% year over year.Those so-called core prices matched expectations. And overall, this new report keeps the Fed on track to ...
Sticky inflation report unlikely to keep Fed off course for rate cut next week
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 14:39
通胀数据表现 - 8月核心CPI同比上涨3.1% 与预期及7月持平[1] - 核心CPI环比上涨0.4% 高于预期的0.3%[1] - 整体通胀率从7月的2.7%升至8月的2.9%[2] 美联储政策预期 - 8月通胀数据强化了美联储下周降息25个基点的理由[3] - 排除了一次性降息50个基点的可能性[1] - 市场预计下周会议降息25个基点几成定局[6] 劳动力市场状况 - 上周初请失业金人数跃升至26.3万人 创四年新高[4] - 8月新增就业2.2万人 远低于经济学家预期的7.5万人[4] - 失业率从4.2%升至4.3% 6月就业数据下修至减少1.3万人[4][5] 其他经济指标 - 8月生产者价格意外下降 企业利润率受到挤压[3] - 企业选择自行消化关税成本而非转嫁给消费者[3] - 最近三个月就业增长持续放缓[5]
US Stock Markets Today: S&P 500 Hits New Record Post Fresh Inflation Data; Oracle Shares Decline
NDTV Profit· 2025-09-11 14:27
市场指数表现 - 标普500指数上涨033%并创盘中历史新高[1] - 纳斯达克综合指数上涨042%[1] - 道琼斯指数上涨021%[1] 行业板块表现 - 11个行业指数中有9个实现上涨[3] - 医疗健康板块领涨[3] - 通信服务板块下跌[3] 个股表现 - Oracle股价下跌近2%[1] - Salesforce、高盛、苹果和耐克成为当日上涨股[4] - 亚马逊和微软成为拖累市场个股[4] 大宗商品与外汇 - 现货黄金下跌05%至362411美元/盎司[4] - 西德克萨斯原油下跌19%至6244美元/桶[4] - 英镑上涨01%至13544美元[4] - 日元稳定在14753兑1美元[4] 加密货币 - 比特币基本持平报11361769美元[5] 经济数据 - 核心消费者价格指数环比7月上涨03%[2]
Bitcoin Holds Near $114K as US Inflation Rises to 2.9%
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 13:45
Bitcoin was flat this morning as new consumer price index data shows inflation rose 0.4% in August, outpacing the 0.2% rise in July. At the time of writing, Bitcoin has been flirting with $114,000 as BTC ETF flows hit an 8-week high. The price of BTC has gained 0.3% in the past day, and is virtually unchanged over the past hour since the new BLS data was released. The Bureau of Labor Statistics noted in its report that inflation over the past 12 months has  increased to 2.9%—meaning it’s pulling away fro ...
Mortgage-Backed Securities May Be Marvelous Bond Ideas
Etftrends· 2025-09-11 12:35
Fixed income investors looking for bonds with credit profiles comparable to Treasuries with the potential for added upside into year-end and beyond may want to examine mortgage-backed securities (MBS). That task is made easier with ETFs such as the WisdomTree Mortgage Plus Bond Fund (MTGP). This ETF hit a 52-week high on Monday, extending its year-to-date gain to nearly 4%. That's slightly better than what investors have earned with some of the largest passive aggregate bond ETFs. The Federal Reserve may cu ...
Asian Markets Trade Mixed
RTTNews· 2025-09-11 02:58
Asian stock are trading mixed on Thursday, following the mixed cues from Wall Street overnight, on increasing optimism the US Fed will lower interest rates a couple of times this year after report showed softer-than-expected US producer price figures, while traders await US consumer inflation data later in the day. Asian markets closed mostly higher on Wednesday.Following the report, CME Group's FedWatch Tool is currently indicating a 92.1 chance of a quarter-point rate cut and a slim 7.9 percent chance of ...
S&P 500, Nasdaq Pull Back Off Best Levels But Still Reach Record Closing Highs
RTTNews· 2025-09-10 20:08
美股市场表现 - 标普500指数上涨1943点或03%至653204点创历史收盘新高[1] - 纳斯达克指数微涨657点或不足01%至2188606点创历史收盘新高[1] - 道琼斯指数下跌22042点或05%至4549092点受苹果Salesforce和亚马逊拖累[2] 个股表现 - 苹果股价下跌因周二发布新款iPhoneApple Watch和AirPods[2] - Salesforce和亚马逊大幅下跌对道指造成压力[2] - 甲骨文股价暴涨360%因公司预计云基础设施收入将从2025财年103亿美元增至2030财年1440亿美元[5] 经济数据与货币政策 - 美国8月生产者价格指数环比下降01%低于预期的上升03%7月数据下修为上升07%[3] - 8月生产者价格同比涨幅从7月下修的31%放缓至26%低于预期的33%[3][4] - 市场预计美联储下周会议有921%概率降息25基点79%概率降息50基点[4] 行业板块表现 - 半导体板块大涨费城半导体指数飙升24%创历史收盘新高[7] - 台积电股价上涨38%因8月营收强劲增长[7] - 黄金股显著上涨NYSE Arca黄金指数跳升22%因金价创历史收盘新高[7] - 石油服务天然气和公用事业板块表现强劲[8] - 零售和生物技术板块显著上涨[8] 全球市场与债券 - 亚太市场普涨日经225指数升09%恒生指数跳涨10%[10] - 欧洲市场涨跌互现法国CAC40指数微升02%英国富时100指数微跌02%德国DAX指数跌04%[10] - 十年期美债收益率下降42个基点至4032%创五个月收盘新低[11] 市场关注点 - 交易员关注周四将发布的消费者价格指数报告以获取利率前景线索[6][11]