Polymarket has introduced a new incentive for prediction market participants, offering a 4% annualized yield on certain long-term positions. The reward, which is paid out daily, is designed to keep long-term pricing accurate and is currently funded through the Polymarket Treasury. According to the exchange, the yield applies to positions in a set of political and geopolitical markets, including the 2028 U.S. presidential race, the balance of power in the 2026 midterms, and leadership outcomes in countries ...

Kalshi has overtaken prediction market leader Polymarket by registering higher trading volumes for three weeks running. Last week, Kalshi users traded $728 million worth of bets. That’s almost 60% more than Polymarket, and almost as much as the record $749 million weekly volume Kalshi handled in the lead up to the 2024 US presidential election. The booming sports betting market is driving the success, according to Dustin Gouker, a sports betting consultant and predictions market analyst. “Football is no ...

All [Music] right, good afternoon and welcome to Asking for a Trend. I'm Miles Upman for the next half hour. We're breaking down the trends today that could move markets tomorrow.With the Fed cutting rates, we're zeroing in on sectors that stand to benefit in this new environment today will give commercial real estate a closer look. Well, Americans are feeling the pinch of higher food costs and food service workers themselves are among those hardest hit. We'll discuss the state of the industry.Plus, how pre ...

Michael Nagle / Bloomberg via Getty Images A new offering from Polymarket is the latest way to put money on companies' earnings reports. Key Takeaways Predictions market platform Polymarket recently rolled out earnings contracts, offering a simple way for folks to bet on companies' quarterly reports. The latest category of market-moving events to gamble on is part of a broader trend of appealing to retail investors who like to discuss money matters on social media. There's a new way to make a buck o ...

Prediction market Kalshi just topped $1 billion in monthly volume as state regulators nip at its heels with lawsuits alleging that it’s an unregistered sports betting platform. “Despite being limited to only American customers, Kalshi has now risen to dominate the global prediction market industry,” the company said in a press release. “New data scraped from publicly available activity metrics details this rise.” The publicly available data appears on a Dune Analytics dashboard that’s been tracking pre ...

On Sep. 17, the Federal Reserve announced its much-awaited decision on interest rates. As expected, the central bank has decided to cut rates by 25 basis points. Though Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP rose following the announcement, all these cryptocurrencies soon made a retreat on the charts. Nonetheless, traders on the popular crypto-based prediction market, Polymarket, nailed the Fed's latest announcement. Related: What is tokenization? Explained Users on Polymarket had predicted that there is a 91% chan ...

Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. Subscribe to the Morning Minute on Substack. GM! Today's top news: Crypto majors mostly flat into FOMC, Bitcoin leads +1% to $116,300 Binance in talks with US DOJ to end its compliance monitor Bank of America says 67% of fund managers hold 0 crypto Trump suing NY Times for $15M saying they hurt the TRUMP meme Tether co-founder launches STB ...

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Blockchain prediction market Polymarket is preparing a return to the United States as it eyes a potential $10 billion valuation, according to a Friday report by Business Insider. Key Takeaways: Polymarket is planning a U.S. return and seeking a valuation of up to $10 billion. The platform gained traction after accurately predicting Trump’s 2024 victory but faced regulatory setbacks. With CFTC clearance and rising competition from Kalshi, Polymarket is re-entering a heated prediction market race. T ...

Prediction market PredictIt, which started out as an academic platform focused on political forecasts, is preparing to launch a new exchange after getting the nod from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission. PredictIt, operated by the D.C.-based Aristole, said last week that the CFTC approved its applications to operate as both a designated contract market, or DCM, and derivatives clearing organization, or DCO. “With these approvals, Aristotle will launch a new exchange designed to provide U.S. trade ...