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US housing market to remain stuck in a rut as high rates choke demand: Reuters poll
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 12:58
By Sarupya Ganguly BENGALURU (Reuters) -The United States' sluggish housing market will remain weak through next year as high mortgage rates stifle demand with only a modest rebound expected in 2027, a Reuters survey of property experts showed. Persistent supply shortages and stretched affordability have kept most first-time buyers on the sidelines with existing homeowners reluctant to sell properties financed at mortgage rates below 4%, further choking activity. Although that inventory crunch has eased ...
Economic Cycle Spinning in Favor of This ETF
Etftrends· 2025-09-16 12:29
CCNR Has Perks Some sectors are considered defensive, while others fall into the cyclical camp, meaning they're tethered to the economy's performance. Materials is certainly in the latter camp, and that's something to remember when considering ETFs such as the ALPS CoreCommodity Natural Resources ETF (CCNR). For all the talk about the U.S. economy perhaps softening this year — plausible thinking given the state of the jobs market — CCNR has run contrary to that talk, surging more than 28% since the start of ...
We have a recession in the labor market, says Ironsides' Barry Knapp
Youtube· 2025-09-15 17:47
Our next guest has been calling for 100 basis points of cuts this year for months, long before we saw a downturn in the official jobs data. So what is he looking for this week and how should investors position. With us is Barry Knap, Ironside's macroeconomics director of research.Barry, it's great to see you. >> Good to see you again, Mike. >> So it's it's an interesting take that you have here that in other words, 100 basis points is warranted.I guess you would also say perhaps overdue. Uh, at the same tim ...
Could A Buyer's Market Be On The Horizon? Over Half Of U.S. Home Sellers Are Selling Their Properties For Less Than The Asking Price
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-15 13:46
Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. The U.S. housing market may slowly be shifting back into buyer's favor, according to a study by real estate data analytics firm Cotality, which showed that over half of U.S. home listings sold for less than their asking prices in May. Cotality's data also revealed a 15% year-on-year decline in closed deals, which is even more significant considering that it occurred despite a 10% year-on-year increase in ...
Buyers are gaining the upper hand in these major US housing markets
Fox Business· 2025-09-13 14:15
Seven housing markets around the nation were described as buyer's markets because they had at least six months of supply in June, according to a recent report from Realtor.com. Three markets in particular, Miami and Orlando in Florida as well as Austin, Texas, were standouts as they had the nation’s highest months of supply in June. This means that buyers in those markets had the most leverage, according to the online real estate marketplace. Miami topped the list of buyer market cities out of all 50 metros ...
The End of the American Dream? Only 28% Of Homes Affordable Today, Study Shows
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-13 12:30
住房市场可负担性恶化 - 美国仅有28%的房屋对中等收入家庭可负担[1] - 典型家庭可负担房价从2019年32.5万美元降至2025年29.8万美元[4] - 密尔沃基、休斯顿、巴尔的摩、纽约和堪萨斯城等都市区购买力下降最显著[6] 抵押贷款利率高企 - 抵押贷款利率持续维持在6.5%至7%区间[1] - 40万美元贷款在7%利率下月供达2600美元 较3%利率时1600美元月供增长近一倍[2] - 2600美元月供要求家庭年收入达到10.4万美元 且不含房产税及保险等额外支出[2] 房价与收入增长失衡 - 房屋中位价从2019年31.945万美元升至2025年43.945万美元 累计涨幅达38%[3] - 同期工资涨幅仅为15.7% 不足房价涨幅的一半[5] - 高利率和高房价叠加工资增长滞后 导致家庭购买力持续恶化[4][5]
I’m a single parent in my 50s. Should I add my children, 23 and 29, to my mortgage loan to help me qualify?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 19:00
Because of the persistently high interest rates — the rate for a 30-year mortgage is currently 6.4%, per the latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association — the housing market has become increasingly out of reach for first-time buyers. Meanwhile, current homeowners have experienced the benefits of a rise in housing equity.The short answer is that this move could be good for you, but not so good for your kids. It will tie them into a loan agreement that could affect their ability to take out their own mo ...
Nobility Homes, Inc. Announces Sales And Earnings For Its Third Quarter 2025
Accessnewswire· 2025-09-12 14:00
OCALA, FL / ACCESS Newswire / September 12, 2025 / Today Nobility Homes, Inc. (OTCQX:NOBH) announced sales and earnings for its third quarter ended August 2, 2025. Sales for the third quarter of 2025 were $12.0 million compared to $13.8 million recorded in the third quarter of 2024. ...
Homeowners’ wealth may be shrinking as price gains lag inflation
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-08 19:05
房价与通胀动态 - 7月房屋挂牌价格中位数同比上涨0.5% 但同期通胀率达2.7% 形成实际购买力缩水[1] - 当通胀率超过房价涨幅时 会导致住房权益侵蚀 影响业主通过再融资获取资金的能力[2][5] - 通胀环境下的美元购买力下降 使房屋名义增值无法抵消实际消费能力衰减[3] 历史对比分析 - 1980年曾出现类似情况 当年房价同比涨6% 但通胀率高达13.5%[8] - 疫情期间因供应链中断和财政刺激 出现40年来最高通胀水平 重现房价与通胀倒挂现象[10] 行业特性认知 - 房地产长期被视为通胀对冲工具 但短期高通胀或经济压力时期可能打破这种关系[5][6] - 固定利率抵押贷款可缓解短期冲击 但持续通胀将侵蚀实际住房财富价值[7]
Cruel Summer: Frustration Unites Buyers, Sellers, and Builders in a Stalled U.S. Housing Market
Prnewswire· 2025-08-26 10:00
市场整体状况 - 美国住房市场呈现集体放缓态势 买家 卖家和建筑商均面临挑战并表现出犹豫和退缩 导致市场缺乏实质性动力[1][2] - 房屋销售仍处于数十年低点附近 尽管库存连续21个月增长 今夏(2025年5-7月)库存增长28% 连续三个月超过100万套 达2019年11月以来最高水平[2] - 价格在许多地区趋于稳定 但高抵押贷款利率和经济不确定性使买家和卖家保持观望 市场特征更倾向于集体暂停而非危机[2] 买家面临挑战 - affordability仍是主要障碍 全国挂牌中位数价格维持在44万美元附近 自2022年以来基本未变[3] - 与2019年相比 当前买家购买中位价房屋月付款增加超过1200美元 原因包括价格上涨和利率上升[3] - 收入增长未能跟上购房成本增长 即使价格下跌的市场 高利率和剩余价格升值形成的"双重打击"使购买力保持低位[4] - 仅28.0%在售房屋价格处于典型家庭(中位收入78,770美元)可承受范围内[4] 卖家行为变化 - 卖家不愿降价 选择完全撤牌而非调整心理价位 2025年6月撤牌与新挂牌比率升至0.21(5月为0.13) 即每100个新挂牌对应21个未售出撤牌[5] - 迈阿密等大都市区比率更高 达59:100[5] - 卖家抗拒价格调整导致交易停滞和价格居高不下 加剧负担能力问题[6] 建筑商活动放缓 - 独户住宅建设量下降 许可证发放减少 新建筑管道收缩[7] - 2025年6月许可证环比增长0.2% 但同比去年6月下降4.4% 开工量环比2025年5月增长4.6% 但同比2024年6月下降0.5%[7] - 高融资成本 弱买家需求和新建筑材料关税使开发商更加谨慎[8] - 尽管全国仍短缺约400万套住房 当前条件使新项目难以推进[8] 区域分化 - 南部和西部供应超过需求 导致销售放缓且价格下降 2025年7月南部占全国新挂牌和现有挂牌50%以上 超过其39.4%的家庭占比[9] - 东北部和中西部市场仍然紧张 需求韧性和有限库存持续推动竞争[9] - 区域分化使全国趋势解读更加困难 凸显本地化策略的重要性[10] 市场前景 - 住房市场并非处于危机状态 多数房主拥有大量净资产且锁定低利率[11] - 活动速度虽放缓 但基本基本面保持完整 随着利率开始缓解和市场参与者调整预期 更健康平衡的市场条件可能逐步出现[11]