The Social Security Administration announced a 2.8% cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2026, which will benefit approximately 75 million Americans receiving Social Security and Supplemental Security Income payments. ...

Drozd Irina / Shutterstock.com Quick Read The Fed lowered its benchmark interest rate three times this year. The Fed may opt to hold interest rates steady in 2026 based on economic conditions. Social Security COLAs are based on inflation and are not directly affected by Fed rate decisions. If you’re thinking about retiring or know someone who is, there are three quick questions causing many Americans to realize they can retire earlier than expected. take 5 minutes to learn more here   The Fed ...

美联储2025年12月利率决议 - 美联储于2025年12月10日完成年内最后一次会议 并宣布连续第三次降息 将基准利率下调25个基点[1] - 降息后 联邦基金利率目标区间降至3.50%至3.75% 较2025年1月时的4.25%至4.50%累计下降75个基点[1] - 此次降息决定以9票赞成、3票反对的投票结果通过 且会后声明暗示未来可能暂停进一步降息[2][7] 决策背景与数据依据 - 美联储在数据不完整的情况下做出决策 因年初政府长时间停摆导致官方失业和通胀数据延迟[2] - 决策过程中参考了外部来源的研究报告 例如薪资服务提供商ADP的报告[2] - 美联储的核心使命之一是保持通胀稳定 其目标通胀率为2% 货币政策旨在将物价涨幅维持在该水平附近并保持劳动力市场健康[6] 对社会保障生活成本调整的潜在影响 - 美联储的利率决策虽不直接影响社会保障福利金额 但因其旨在调控通胀 可能间接影响基于CPI-W计算的年度生活成本调整[4][5] - 早期预测显示 2027年的社会保障COLA可能降至2.3%至2.6%的区间[7] - 若2027年COLA为2.3% 这将是自2020年以来最小的社会保障福利增幅[7]

美联储利率决议与社会保障生活成本调整的关系 - 美联储于12月10日结束了年度最后一次利率政策会议 并如经济学家预期 实施了连续第三次降息 将基准利率下调了25个基点 [2] - 社会保障生活成本调整的目的是使福利金跟上通胀水平 其调整现已实现自动化 每年进行一次 [3] 社会保障生活成本调整的计算机制 - 生活成本调整的衡量基于第三季度城市工薪阶层和文职人员消费价格指数的变化 [4] - 当每年7月、8月和9月的CPI-W指数相较于上年同期出现上涨时 社会保障福利金就会相应增加 [4] - 该机制的核心在于 生活成本调整与通胀挂钩 而非直接与利率挂钩 因此美联储的利率决策对其没有直接影响 [5] 近期降息对生活成本调整的潜在间接影响 - 2026年的社会保障生活成本调整已锁定为2.8% 不会因近期的美联储降息而改变 [6][8] - 美联储并不直接设定社会保障生活成本调整 但其利率决策可以通过影响通胀来间接影响未来的调整 [7] - 降低利率倾向于刺激消费 因为融资成本更低 如果消费支出显著增加 可能推高物价 进而可能推高CPI-W数据 最终导致更大的社会保障生活成本调整 [8][9]

The reason that the buying power of benefits has fallen is that Social Security Cost of Living Adjustments (COLAs) have done a poor job in keeping pace with inflation. Cost of Living Adjustments (COLAs) are supposed to make sure that doesn't happen, but the formula estimates inflation by looking at a consumer price index, CPI-W, that doesn't accurately measure inflation impacting retirees. The issue is that it's built around the spending habits of urban wage earners and clerical workers. Since retirees tend ...