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U.S. Stocks Extend Pullback Ahead Of Key Inflation Data
RTTNews· 2025-09-25 20:13
Following the pullback seen over the two previous sessions, stocks saw further downside during trading on Thursday. The major averages continued to give back ground after ending Monday's trading at new record closing highs.The major averages ended the day well off their lows of the session but still firmly negative. The Nasdaq slid 113.16 points or 0.5 percent to 22,384.70, the S&P 500 declined 33.25 points or 0.5 percent to 6,604.72 and the Dow fell 173.96 points or 0.4 percent to 45,947.32.The continued ...
Economy grows at fastest pace in 2 years, Trump administration launches national security probe
Youtube· 2025-09-25 14:59
Welcome to Yahoo Finance's flagship show, The Morning Brief. I'm Julie Hyman. Let's get to the three things you need to know today.First up, US stock futures falling for a third day as the record-breaking rally in stocks cools. However, there is some good news on the economic front. The latest read of second quarter GDP showed the US economy grew at the fastest pace in nearly 2 years.Inflation adjusted GDP, which measures the value of goods and services produced, increased at a revised 3.8% annualized rate. ...
Dollar Rallies on Strong US Economic Reports
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 14:50
The dollar index (DXY00) today is up by +0.43% at a 3-week high. The dollar is climbing as today’s US economic reports were hawkish for Fed policy. US Q2 GDP expanded more than expected, weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fell to a 2-month low, and August core (ex-defense and aircraft) capital goods new orders rose more than expected. Also, today's weakness in stocks boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar. The dollar added to its gains today on hawkish comments from Kansas City Fed President Jeff ...
Fed’s Schmid Says Policy in Right Place to Bring Down Inflation
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 13:59
Jeffrey Schmid Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeff Schmid signaled the US central bank may not need to lower interest rates again soon, citing the need to keep bringing down inflation. Most Read from Bloomberg “I viewed the 25-basis point cut in the policy rate last week as a reasonable risk-management strategy,” Schmid said Thursday in prepared remarks for an event in Dallas. “That said, my view is that inflation remains too high while the labor market, though cooling, still remains lar ...
Falling Interest Rates Impacting Yield? Midstream/MLPs Can Help
Etftrends· 2025-09-25 13:37
The Fed has already dropped rates by 25 basis points (bps) and may even be looking at further cuts this year. This could be bad news, especially for investors close to retirement who tend to rely more heavily on bonds for income. September's rate cut may be exciting for many investors' equities holdings, but those same investors may feel less excited about the income on offer from bonds going forward. Falling rates, of course, lead to falling yields in numerous debt securities and offerings. For those inves ...
Markets Pull Back Despite "Good" GDP, Durable Goods & Jobless Claims Prints
Youtube· 2025-09-25 13:30
Kevin Hanks live at the CBOE pre-bell playbook joining us and we uh think about what's been going on. Most of these economic prints have been looking pretty favorable lately. Um some of your thoughts this morning.Good morning, Kevin. >> Good morning, Nicole. Yeah, you know, despite the markets being down, it's not because of the economic data, Nicole.All came in better than expected from GDP, which came in at 3.8% 8% the the last revision for second quarter GDP now 3.8% personal consumption expenditures whi ...
The Fed hawks are battling the doves — and then there's Stephen Miran
MarketWatch· 2025-09-25 12:50
The path for interest rates looks like it's heading down, but that's far from a sure thing. ...
Novice Investor’s Digest For Thursday, September 25: Stocks Down On Cloudy Rate Outlook
Forbes· 2025-09-25 11:55
Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed caution about lower rates Wednesday, after two fellow Fed governors took a rate-cutting stance earlier in the week.gettyStock prices fell Thursday after the interest rate outlook turned cloudy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed caution about lower rates Wednesday, after two fellow Fed governors took a rate-cutting stance earlier in the week. The large-cap S&P 500 index fell 0.3% and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite also dipped 0.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, ...
全球数据观察: 中国国内需求持续疲软,凸显更多政策支持的必要性-Global Data Watch_ Asia_ China domestic demand continues to underwhelm, underscoring case for more policy support
2025-09-25 05:58
好的,我将扮演一名拥有10年投资银行从业经验的资深研究分析师,仔细研读这份电话会议记录并总结关键要点。 一、行业与公司覆盖 * 纪要主要涉及亚洲新兴市场宏观经济与政策研究,重点覆盖中国、日本、韩国、澳大利亚、新西兰、台湾地区、印度尼西亚、马来西亚、越南、新加坡、泰国、菲律宾等经济体[1][5][15] * 核心关注行业包括科技制造业(特别是AI相关)、房地产、基础设施投资、出口贸易及金融服务业[3][9][147][164] * 涉及的主要央行与政策机构包括中国人民银行、日本银行、韩国银行、印度尼西亚银行、台湾地区“央行”等[10][93][167] 二、核心观点与论据 中国经济放缓与政策预期 * 中国国内需求持续疲软,8月零售销售同比增长3.4%,较5月6.4%的峰值放缓,三个月环比年化增速降至2.5%[1][147][149] * 固定资产投资8月同比大幅收缩6.3%,其中房地产投资暴跌19.4%,制造业投资下降1.3%,基础设施投资下降5.9%[147][150] * 工业增加值同比增长5.2%,服务业生产指数增长5.6%,均呈现放缓趋势[147][148] * 基于数据疲软,将中国第三季度GDP增长预测从3.0%下调至2.3%环比年化(同比4.6%),第四季度预计进一步放缓至3.9%同比[1][147][163] * 预期政策支持将加码,包括可能暂停“反内卷”政策、提前货币宽松以及财政支持(可能动用2026年预算或剩余1.3万亿元人民币债务限额)[1][2][147] 亚洲出口动能减弱 * 新加坡8月非石油国内出口环比收缩9%,连续两个月大幅下滑,完全逆转了6月的激增[3] * 马来西亚出口8月大幅收缩,季度年化动能已降至低个位数,远低于年初的双位数增长[3] * 越南出口8月三个月内第二次收缩,虽然仍保持双位数增长,但已从4月高点大幅修正[3] * 韩国9月前十天的出口数据意外下行,出现显著收缩,主要受科技出口和对美出口修正拖累[3][7] * 台湾地区是例外,受AI周期推动的科技出口激增,上半年经济增长接近10%,8月出口继续超预期上行[9] 日本财政风险与货币政策 * 日本政府债务与GDP比率从1990年代中期的约60%升至目前的超过200%,几乎是七国集团平均水平的两倍[23] * 日本银行维持政策利率不变,但出现两票异议要求加息,显示内部对政策正常化的分歧[93][100] * 日本银行宣布计划以每年330亿日元的账面价值出售ETF,以每年5亿日元出售J-REITs,开启资产负债表正常化[96][100] * 8月全国核心CPI(除生鲜食品)自去年11月以来首次降至3%以下,但主要反映政府能源补贴的向下压力,剔除食品和能源的核心通胀仍保持在3.3%同比[98][101] 韩国经常账户盈余可持续性 * 韩国今年迄今经季节调整的经常账户盈余达675亿美元,大幅超出预期,预计全年盈余将达到1150亿美元[63] * 预计明年经常账户盈余将小幅增加至1230亿美元,占GDP比例预计为2025年6.0%、2026年5.7%,恢复至2016年左右水平[64][66] * 尽管面临财政赤字(预计2025年占GDP的3.1%),但私人净储蓄足以抵消其影响,维持经常账户盈余结构[67][72] * 人口老龄化是长期风险,预计从2030年代初开始,人口结构因素将成为经常账户的赤字因素[75][77] 货币政策与财政协调 * 印度尼西亚银行意外降息25个基点,这是连续第三次降息,反映出通过财政货币协调支持增长的意愿增强[10] * 该地区多个经济体正转向财政政策补充货币宽松,例如韩国今年已实施两轮刺激计划,印度尼西亚新财长宣布了财政刺激并将财政赤字目标扩大至接近3%的上限[10][11] * 泰国宣布了服务支出的“半半”共同支付计划,印度本月早些时候宣布了减税措施[11] 三、其他重要内容 * 澳大利亚8月失业率持稳于4.2%,就业人数减少5.4K,劳动力参与率下降0.2个百分点至66.8%[125][138] * 新西兰第二季度GDP意外环比收缩0.9%,远低于预期,表明经济增长动力丧失[136][141] * 台湾地区“央行”将2025年增长预测大幅上调1.5个百分点至4.6%,主要因强劲的AI需求继续支撑出口和供应链扩张[167] * 香港特区行政长官发表政策讲话,聚焦AI创新和数字化转型,并增强新资本投资者入境计划,将非住宅物业的最高投资额提高至1500万港元[164][166] * 日本出口受美国关税时间点干扰,8月对美出口量环比大幅下降12.2%,主要因关税税率从25%降至15%的协议于7月底达成但直至本月才实施,影响了出货时机[8][106][109]
U.S. Stocks Extend Yesterday's Pullback As Nvidia, Oracle Slump
RTTNews· 2025-09-24 20:20
After coming under pressure over the course of the previous session, stocks saw further downside during trading on Wednesday. The major averages showed a lack of direction early in the session but slid more firmly into negative territory as the day progressed.The major averages finished the day off their worst levels but still moderately lower. The Dow slid 171.50 points or 0.4 percent at 46,121.28, the Nasdaq fell 75.62 points or 0.3 percent to 22,497.86 and the S&P 500 dipped 18.95 points or 0.3 percent ...