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The S&P 500 Is About to Achieve a Feat Accomplished 31 Times Since 1950 That Has a Greater Than 93% Accuracy of Predicting Future Stock Moves
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 07:04
There are, however, specific events and/or metrics with an exceptionally high rate of correlation throughout history. It's one of these events that should put a smile on the faces of bull market enthusiasts.To preface this discussion, there isn't a one-size-fits-all metric or correlative event when it comes to predicting directional moves in the S&P 500 or individual stocks. If there were a guaranteed way to predict what stocks will do next, you can rest assured that everyone on Wall Street would be leaning ...
中国股票策略:黄金周前 A 股市场情绪保持平稳-China Equity Strategy-A-Share Sentiment Remained Flat Ahead of Golden Week
2025-09-26 02:32
Market sentiment remained largely flat, as investors tend to hold on to more cash ahead of extended holidays. Looking ahead, we remain cautiously constructive given improving fundamentals; we now expect A-shares to perform on-par with the offshore market. A-share investor sentiment largely remained flat vs. previous cycle: Weighted and simple MSASI declined by 2ppt and 1ppt, to 125% and 119%, respectively, vs. the prior cut-off date (Sep. 17). ADT for A-shares, equity futures turnover and Northbound increas ...
Stocks fall for the third day in a row. Is this the start of a deeper pullback?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 20:47
Is this the stock-market pullback investors have been waiting for? - angela weiss/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images This isn’t the script markets were meant to follow after a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Rather than riding upside momentum a week after the Fed resumed cutting interest rates following a nine-month pause, U.S. stocks reversed their uptrend with a three-day losing streak, leaving investors wondering what they’ve missed and whether the bull-market rally has run out of steam. Most Read fr ...
Will the S&P 500 rally continue?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 19:13
The stock market has notched a remarkable recovery from its early-April lows, delivering healthy double-digit returns in the wake of mounting optimism that stimulus from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and Fed interest rate cuts offset tariff headwinds. Major market returns since April 8 lows: S&P 500: 32.7% Nasdaq: 46.7% Dow Jones Industrial Average: 22.4% The rally has lifted the major market averages, including the S&P 500 benchmark index, to all-time highs in September, frustrating many bears who ...
Stocks Drop for Third Straight Day Despite Upbeat Economic Data
Barrons· 2025-09-25 13:43
CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Sept. 25, 2025: S&P 500 Drops for a Third Session Last Updated: Updated 10 hours ago Stocks Drop for Third Straight Day Despite Upbeat Economic Data By Customer Center Network Connor Smith Stocks were falling to start Thursday's session as this week's pullback entered its third day despite an upbeat update on the economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 201 points, or 0.4%. The S&P 500 was down 0.9%. The Nasdaq Composite was down 1.3%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury ...
Relentless US stocks rally could teeter on inflation, earnings, valuation risks
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 10:03
By Lewis Krauskopf NEW YORK (Reuters) -U.S. stocks have hit a string of record highs with minimal turbulence over the past few months, but investors say the rally could be undermined by persistently high inflation, possible earnings disappointments and elevated valuations. The S&P 500 has posted 25 record closing highs over the past three months and the benchmark index is approaching a third anniversary of a bull market that began on October 12, 2022. Stocks shook off fears that President Donald Trump ...
The Shiller P/E ratio, a trusted stock-market gauge, just hit its highest level since the dot-com bubble
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-24 22:43
The Shiller P/E ratio passed a mark on Monday it last hit during the dot-com bubble. The stock-market indicator peaked before the S&P 500 crashed 49% in the early 2000s. AJ Bell's Russ Mould said stocks are pricey, but "you don't know when trouble is going to strike!" A trusted market gauge has surged to its highest levels since the dot-com bubble, signaling stocks are the most expensive in 25 years. The Shiller P/E ratio, also known as the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio, compa ...
European stocks set to lose ground after Fed's Powell says equities are 'highly valued'
CNBC· 2025-09-24 06:31
European shares look poised to open lower on Wednesday, as investors react to a suggestion from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell that equities are "fairly highly valued."London's FTSE 100 is expected to open 0.2% lower, according to IG, while the German DAX and France's CAC 40 are slated to shed 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively.Overnight in Asia, shares broadly moved lower, while U.S. stock futures were flat in the early hours of Wednesday morning.Global markets were rattled after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome ...
Top analyst says the U.S. bull market dates all the way back to the 1980s, and stocks just hit a potentially unsustainable 363% of GDP
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-23 16:46
A leading Wall Street strategist is doing some calculations about the total value of U.S. stocks rocketing to a staggering 363% of GDP as of last Friday, blowing past the infamous 212% mark reached during the dotcom bubble. It’s a warning if you think it’s unsustainable, but David Kelly, chief global strategist for JP Morgan Asset Management, notes that the bull market is truly epic, “stretching, with some interruptions, all the way back to the 1980s.” The market’s seemingly unstoppable rise—driven larg ...
AvaTrade爱华交易平台:股指创下历史新高 道琼斯指数则小幅上涨
搜狐财经· 2025-09-23 08:17
平台功能特点 - 采用自研平台及MT4 MT5软件 支持网页端 电脑端 移动端 但不支持MacOS系统 [1] - 平台具有可定制性 但网页交易平台界面过时 部分功能难找 缺少两步登录和价格提醒功能 [1] 用户评价表现 - 交易执行速度快 界面简洁清晰 交易流程明了 [1] - 提供丰富教育资源和社区活动 有助于提升交易技能 [1] 美股市场表现(2025年9月22日) - 标准普尔500指数上涨0.44%至6693.75点 创历史新高 [1] - 道琼斯指数上涨0.14%至46381.54点 [1] - 纳斯达克100指数上涨0.55%至22788.98点 [1] - 罗素2000指数上涨0.60%至2463.34点 [1] - 科技股和小盘股走强带动涨势 强劲盈利和人工智能乐观发展支撑积极情绪 [1] 波动性与收益率 - VIX波动率指数下降约0.00%至15.70美元 [2] - 美国10年期收益率上升约4.14%至4.15% [2] 大宗商品表现 - WTI原油上涨0.42%至62.66美元/桶 [2] - 黄金期货上涨1.00%至3743.40美元/盎司 [2] 欧洲市场表现 - 富时100指数上涨0.11%至9226.68点 [2] - 德国DAX指数下跌0.48%至23527.05点 [2][3] - 法国CAC40指数下跌0.30%至7830.11点 [2] - 欧洲斯托克50指数下跌0.30%至5442.05点 [3] - 英国持谨慎乐观态度 欧洲大陆因增长担忧和政策不确定性普遍疲软 [3] 个股表现突出者 - INOVIO上涨8.30% 受强劲金价和对矿业产出乐观情绪支撑 [3] - BARRICKGOLD上涨7.43% 受投资者热情和情绪改善提振 [3] - NEKTAR上涨7.05% 重新燃起的购买兴趣和势头提振股价 [3] 今日市场动向(2025年9月23日) - 美国期货小幅下跌 市场关注美联储讲话和PCE通胀数据 [3] - 亚洲市场涨跌互现 中国蓝筹股走弱 香港恒生指数和上证综合指数双双下跌 [4] - 日本市场因假期休市 [4] 大宗商品最新动态 - 油价再次下滑 伊拉克与库尔德地区政府达成协议重新开放主要管道(23万桶/天)加剧供应担忧 [5] - 黄金创下新高 市场押注美联储将发出降息信号 交易员关注鲍威尔讲话和美国通胀数据 [6] 实时市场情绪(欧盟开放时段) - 风险偏好呈现轻度风险偏好状态 [7] - VIX指数在谨慎乐观中走高但保持稳定 [7] - 美元指数因美元走弱支撑金属 持有或小幅下跌 [7] - 黄金处于或接近历史高位 上涨0.2-0.3% [7] - WTI原油受伊拉克管道重新开放供应压力而下跌 [7] - 比特币美元汇率表现好坏参半/持平 加密货币市场等待更明确宏观信号 [7]