Federal Reserve tools could ease mortgage rates, but they also could risk another boom-and-bust cycle, says Mizuho. - Getty Images Investors shouldn’t get too bullish about the idea of the Federal Reserve dusting off its tools to artificially lower U.S. mortgage rates and lift the weak housing market. That’s the thinking of Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle, U.S. economists at Mizuho Securities, who said in a Tuesday client note that they were sympathetic to the American dream of owning a home, but also wa ...

Between home prices soaring in the pandemic and interest rates surging in 2022, home affordability has reached near-record lows. The Federal Reserve reports that the ratio of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index to Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reached an all-time record in 2022 and has hovered near it ever since. Explore Next: 6 Hidden Costs of Homeownership That Can Wreck Your Budget Check Out: Here's the Minimum Salary Required To Be Considered Upper Class in 2025 That leaves many analysts wonderin ...

新屋市场可负担性提升 - 2025年第一季度新建住宅中位挂牌价同比小幅下降至448,393美元，与现房价格差距缩至五年来最低水平 [1] - 新建住宅价格自2023年第一季度以来累计下降1.3%，而现房价格持续上涨 [4] - 新建住宅占活跃挂牌量的18.5%，高于2020-2022年疫情期间水平，较2020年第一季度新增挂牌量增长27.4% [4] 新建住宅金融优势 - 新房买家可获得比现房低0.5个百分点的抵押贷款利率（6.1% vs 6.6%），中位价住宅月供节省超160美元 [3] - 建筑商通过内部融资或与贷款机构合作提供利率优惠，增强新房在高利率环境下的吸引力 [3] 建筑商策略调整 - 建筑商通过缩小户型（南部26个主要都会区新建住宅面积和价格双降）降低成本，其中亚特兰大、纳什维尔降幅显著 [6] - 小石城新建住宅中位挂牌价同比降幅最大达12.9%，科罗拉多斯普林斯户型缩小13.8%，奥克斯纳德价格降11.6% [7] - 南部和西部因土地供应充足成为建筑商重点开发区域 [5] 潜在成本压力 - 加拿大木材关税拟从14%提至34%，对中国/墨西哥的石膏板等建材加征关税可能显著增加建筑成本 [8] - 材料成本上涨或逆转近期新建住宅的可负担性改善趋势 [8]