市场状况与季节性预期 - 加密货币市场正进入一年中最脆弱的时期 交易台活动减少 市场流动性正在枯竭 [1][4] - 市场期待的圣诞季节性反弹可能不会很快出现 比特币及更广泛的加密市场在假期期间可能持续承压 [1] - 假日交易通常导致订单簿变薄 机构交易台缩减活动 交易者在年底前锁定盈亏 在此环境下 即使是适度的交易也可能导致价格剧烈波动 [4] 近期价格压力与市场情绪 - 比特币仍在消化10月10日至11日抛售带来的深度创伤 该次抛售使市场市值蒸发超过30% 并重置了市场情绪 [2] - 尽管存在广泛谨慎情绪 但市场仍存有一些乐观情绪 执行价为100,000美元的看涨期权未平仓合约保持高位 表明部分市场参与者仍对年底价格上涨抱有希望 [6] - 对下行保护的需求已有所缓解 这表明看跌情绪正在软化 但并未逆转 [7] 衍生品市场动态与风险 - 加密货币衍生品市场的未平仓合约在近期交易时段已减少数十亿美元 这反映了持续的去杠杆化过程 [5] - 去杠杆化虽降低了系统性风险 但也因头寸平仓不均而创造了价格突然“挤压”的条件 [5] - 12月26日星期五 创纪录数量的比特币期权合约即将到期 其价值超过Deribit总未平仓合约的一半 这使得圣诞节后时期成为潜在波动性爆点 [6] - 约237亿美元价值的比特币期权定于12月26日到期 合约行权价密集集中在85,000美元和100,000美元水平 [10] 期权到期对市场的影响 - 数十亿美元规模的比特币期权于12月26日到期 可能放大市场波动性 [9] - 假日期间稀薄的流动性使市场容易受到剧烈、突然的价格波动影响 [9] - 即将到来的期权到期规模之大 可能影响年底最后几天的价格走势 [10]

US Economic Data. Photo by BeInCrypto Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead. Grab a coffee, because after weeks of consolidation, the pioneer crypto has reclaimed $90,000. Technical breakouts, looming options expiries, and ETF positioning are combining to set the stage for a potentially volatile yet bullish end-of-year run for Bitcoin price. Crypto News of the Day: Bitcoin Breaks $90,000 Amid Technical Momentu ...

berachain airdrop. Photo by BeInCrypto The crypto market is heading into the final week of 2025, and this will be the second last weekend of the year. As Bitcoin and the altcoins alike have been directionless, external factors may act as catalysts in the coming days. BeInCrypto has analysed three such altcoins that present interesting opportunities for investors this weekend. Midnight (NIGHT) NIGHT has emerged as the best-performing altcoin of the week, gaining 61% since launch. Strong early momentum c ...

The crypto market's rich vein of volatility extended into Friday morning, with bitcoin (BTC) rising from a 1:00 a.m. UTC low of $85,200 to $88,000 over five hours after the Bank of Japan increased interest rates to the highest level in 30 years. The move marked the fourth time bitcoin has jumped by more than 2% this week, although each rally has been temporary and quickly faded as price action resembles the choppy behavior of previous crypto bear markets. Nasdaq 100 futures rose by 0.62% during the same ...

Bitcoin whipsawed again after Thursday’s soft inflation report signaled a recovery, triggering over $500 million in crypto liquidations. With headline and core inflation coming in at 2.7% and 2.6%, respectively, below 3% forecasts, the crypto market outlook seemed bullish. Bitcoin even came close to revisiting $90,000, but sellers stepped up again, undoing the gains in a few hours. Per CoinGlass data, the crypto market saw $575 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours, of which $368 million were lo ...

The crypto market similarly opened on December 18, following the day prior, amid fear and uncertainty, and Bitcoin has remained between $86,000 and $87,000. Market liquidity continues to thin heading into year-end, with the combined crypto market cap precariously above $3 trillion and at risk of losing this key level before 2025 ends. Surprisingly, memecoins have shown the most significant gains in recent days, with PIPPIN and TROLL posting overnight gains of +5% and +6%, respectively. These Pump.fun coi ...

比特币价格面临关键考验 - 比特币价格面临新的压力，过去24小时下跌约4%，过去30天累计下跌近10% [1] - 一个决定比特币年底走势的关键长期水平已经浮现，若年底前未能守住该水平，下行风险将急剧增加 [1] 关键技术位分析 - 比特币目前交易价格接近2年期简单移动平均线，该线位于约82,800美元附近，这是比特币最重要的长期周期指标之一 [2] - 该移动平均线基于每日收盘价计算，但在周期分析中以月度收盘价进行解读，月度收盘价是判断趋势的关键 [2] - 若比特币月度收盘价低于2年期移动平均线，历史上通常标志着延长的看跌阶段；而守住或收复该水平则预示着周期得以延续 [5] - 分析师强调，比特币需要在月底前保持在该区域上方，以避免发出确认的破位信号 [6] 历史参照与当前情境 - 上次比特币价格在2022年中跌破该移动平均线后，在尝试上行前又额外修正了51% [4] - 因此，12月31日的月度K线收盘至关重要，它将为分析师提供判断比特币是维持长期趋势还是进入更深层次结构性疲软的官方信号 [4] - 一旦月度收盘确认，可能没有第二次机会 [5] 市场内部压力来源 - 当前压力不仅来自技术面，链上数据显示市场内部压力正在积聚 [7] - 长期持有者正在增加抛售活动，长期持有者净持仓变化数据显示，净流出量从月初的约116,000枚比特币增加至12月15日的近269,000枚比特币 [7] - 这意味着在短短两周内，抛售压力增加了超过130% [8] - 长期持有者通常只在确信或需要降低风险时才会卖出，他们的持续抛售增加了下行压力，并使得捍卫关键支撑位变得更加困难 [8]

美联储利率决议与市场反应 - 美联储在2025年底连续第三次降息25个基点 短暂提振了市场对比特币和以太坊的乐观情绪 但市场随后迅速反转 [1] - 尽管降息通常通过增加流动性和削弱美元来提振风险资产 但散户的乐观情绪在公告前已达峰值 导致了典型的“买谣言 卖事实”式回调 [2] - 决议本身并不令人意外 美联储重申了其立场 即经济温和增长 通胀具有粘性 政策调整将依赖数据 [3] 加密货币市场动态与资金流向 - 在美联储主席鲍威尔讲话前几分钟 一头巨鲸抛售了价值1亿美元的比特币 导致市场波动性飙升 [3] - 自11月30日以来 持有10至10,000枚比特币的“聪明钱”钱包已累计增持超过42,000枚比特币 这暗示了其为2026年行情进行的低调布局 [4] - 社交情绪显示明显分化 比特币交易者保持谨慎 而以太坊交易者则在美联储决议后积极追涨 随后因巨鲸趁强势抛售而遭遇立即回调 [5] 宏观背景与市场前景 - 更广泛的宏观背景现在倾向于对加密货币有利 连续三次降息 流动性状况改善以及投资者信心上升 共同创造了比今年早些时候强得多的市场基础 [6] - 比特币今年表现显著落后于股票和黄金 随着流动性改善 其迎头赶上的可能性增加 [4] - 美联储的流动性立场在10月至12月间发生关键转变 在10月放缓缩表后 于12月因判断准备金过低而逆转方向 重新开始购买国库券 [7] - 劳动力市场基调略有软化 美联储承认失业压力更具持续性 [7]

The crypto market slid deeper into Fear this week, with the CMC Fear & Greed Index dropping to 29 as Bitcoin dominance held at 58.9%. Total market cap fell 0.51% to $3.15 trillion, while trading volume declined 0.68% to $196.11 billion. Against this backdrop, Binance Alpha maintained its listing pace with two Dec. 11 launches: Talus Network (US) and BeatSwap (BTX), both featuring Alpha Points-based airdrops. DOYR ripped 5,891% over seven days, leading a pack of micro-cap tokens that ignored the macro glo ...

The price of BNB, the native token of the BNB Chain, dropped 3% in the last 24-hour period to $865 as traders digested the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday rate cut. BNB moved down with the broader CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index, which is lower by 3.4% over the same time frame. The token rose as high of $908.83 Wednesday before reversing sharply. Selling pressure increased as BNB pierced through $870, a key support zone that had held in recent weeks, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis data model. T ...