美联储利率决议 - 美联储政策委员会投票决定将联邦基金利率下调25个基点至4%-4.25%区间 为自12月以来首次降息 且利率水平降至2022年12月以来最低[3][8] - 这是美联储今年首次降息 旨在降低借贷成本以促进就业并防止失业率激增[2][4] 利率预期与经济预测 - 美联储官员通过季度经济预测释放信号 预计今年剩余时间还将进行两次25个基点的降息 最终使利率区间降至3.5%-3.75%[3] - 较6月上次经济预测时 美联储额外增加了一次降息预期[3] 政策调整背景 - 美联储此前维持利率不变以抑制通胀 但目前通胀年率仍高于2%目标水平[4] - 官员近期更担忧贸易战导致经济放缓 并可能引发失业潮风险[4][8] - 委员会声明指出就业下行风险已上升[5] 决策分歧与政策困境 - 12人委员会投票出现分歧 11人支持降息25个基点 新任委员Stephen Miran主张更大幅度的50个基点降息[5] - 分歧反映美联储在平衡双重使命时的困境：高利率抑制通胀但阻碍就业 低利率刺激就业但可能推高通胀[6][8] - 关税政策对通胀控制和就业保障均构成风险[6] 政治压力因素 - 美联储作为独立央行正面临异常高度的政治压力 特朗普要求降息至少3个百分点[7]

CONCLUDED Stock Market News From Sept. 17, 2025: Dow Gains After Fed Decision Last Updated: 4 hours ago Treasury Market Is Fully Prepared for a Cut By Karishma Vanjani The Wall Street Journal The move in Treasuries suggest the market is ready for the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates again. The 2-year yield, which is most sensitive to changes in rates, has fallen 0.246 percentage points since the Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Powell, on the morni ...

On Sep. 17, the Federal Reserve announced its much-awaited decision on interest rates. As expected, the central bank has decided to cut rates by 25 basis points. Though Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP rose following the announcement, all these cryptocurrencies soon made a retreat on the charts. Nonetheless, traders on the popular crypto-based prediction market, Polymarket, nailed the Fed's latest announcement. Related: What is tokenization? Explained Users on Polymarket had predicted that there is a 91% chan ...

This story was originally published on Multifamily Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Multifamily Dive newsletter. The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday, marking the first time it has adjusted them downward in almost a year. The financial markets and industry groups had been anticipating a rate cut of 25 bps, though some investors were hoping for something larger, according to Brent Maier, national real estate advisory leader ...

再融资需求激增 - 抵押贷款再融资申请量上周环比增长58% 较去年同期水平增长70% [1] - 可调整利率抵押贷款再融资活动占比升至12.9% 创2008年以来最高纪录 [2] 利率走势分析 - 30年期固定抵押利率下降15个基点至6.35% 创一年来最大单周跌幅 [4] - 5/1年可调整抵押利率降至5.7% 10年期国债收益率从4.8%峰值回落至4.02% [3][4] 市场活动回暖 - 抵押贷款总申请量增长9.2% 创2022年以来最强单周需求表现 [8] - 住房市场显现转折信号 预计抵押利率年底将降至6.25% [9] 驱动因素分析 - 美联储9月政策会议预期降息直接冲击短期借款成本 [3] - 长期利率同步下行 投资者预期借贷成本将在更长时间内保持宽松 [3]

Kevin Simpson, Capital Wealth Planning founder and CIO, said in a recent program on CNBC that he’s buying Home Depot (NYSE:HD) amid expectations of a rate cut. The analyst sees a new cycle of home renovation coming in the US. “I think it’s just as pure as a lower rate environment because if you think about the retail consumer, we’ve been waiting since the pandemic for massive upgrades—appliances, wall coverings, floor coverings. But it’s not just the retail consumer. If you think about it a little bit fur ...

(Reuters) -The interest rate on the most popular U.S. home loan dropped last week to its lowest in a year, sending homeowners racing to lock in cheaper borrowing costs as slowing jobs growth and expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut drive down yields on benchmark Treasuries. The Mortgage Bankers Association on Wednesday said the contract rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage dropped 10 basis points in the week ended September 12 to 6.39%. That was the lowest since early October 2024, and ...

| | | COMEX黄金 | | COMEX白银 | Nymex铂金 | | Nymex把金 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (截至9月9日) | 발 | 跟上周比较 | 딸 | 跟上周比较 | 目 | 跟上周比较 | 世 | 跟上周比较 | | 管理资金的净多头量 | 518 | -1.5% | 5,874 | -7.9% | 21 | -26. 0% | -18 | +9. 0% | | 多头量 | 620 | -1.2% | 7, 864 | -4. 8% | રત | -16. 5% | 16 | +18. 6% | | 空头量 | 102 | -0. 1% | 1.991 | +5. 8% | 39 | +2. 9% | 34 | +2. 4% | 李冈峰 欧洲天然资源基金 Commodity Discovery 特约分析师 这是一个主要从美国每周的CFTC数据公布基金(Managed Positions)在当地期货市场的各种部署，继而反映 现时市场对贵金属的情绪和对短/中期的一个价格判断。美国每周五收市后 ...

黄金价格走势 - 9月17日亚市早盘现货黄金高位震荡后短线下挫 一度跌破3680美元关口 [1] - 9月16日黄金价格首次突破3700美元后短线跳水 最终收涨0.30%至3689.83美元/盎司 [1][3] - 技术分析显示日线及H4周期支撑位位于3685和3675美元 上方目标看至3710美元 若继续走高可能触及3750美元 [5] 美元指数表现 - 9月16日美元指数下跌0.74%至96.54 创7月1日以来新低 [3] - 美元兑欧元跌至2021年9月以来最低水平 单日跌幅达0.9% [3] - 美元走软使以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者更具吸引力 扩大全球买盘需求 [3] 美联储政策预期 - 芝商所FedWatch工具显示交易员完全定价9月17日美联储降息25个基点 另有约4%概率押注降息50个基点 [3] - 低利率环境降低黄金持有机会成本 实际利率下行刺激资金持续流入黄金市场 [4] - 分析师指出本轮金价上涨主要推手是市场对美联储激进降息的定价 [4] 经济数据与市场情绪 - 美国8月零售销售环比增长0.6% 高于预期的0.2% 显示消费者支出意愿顽强 [3] - 独立金属交易员认为美元大幅贬值推动金价飙升 但美联储决议前市场情绪谨慎 部分获利了结行为抑制涨幅 [3] - 美元疲软反映市场对美国经济前景担忧 劳动力市场疲软和关税导致的通胀压力削弱美元信用 [3] 技术走势预判 - 预计美联储降息25个基点后可能出现"卖预期买事实"行情 黄金或因预期走完而出现反向下跌 [5] - 历史表现显示降息落地后黄金可能走出较大下跌空间 下方关键支撑位关注3620美元 [5] - 尽管短期可能调整 但在地缘局势影响下今年黄金大趋势保持多头不变 [5]

now and get to Peter Tuckman who is the senior floor broker at Trademass. Thank you so much for joining us. Absolute pleasure.I'm glad to be here. All right, so we did start off with a record highs and then we sort of erased those gains and we're on the back foot as we closed out the session ahead of this very important meeting tomorrow. What happened.Just a bit of money coming off sitting on sidelines. Yeah, it was kind of drifted just in the absence of the gas on the pedal, it's just going to pull back a ...