关税政策宣布 - 特朗普宣布自10月1日起对进口药品征收100%关税、对厨房橱柜和浴室 vanity 征收50%关税、对软垫家具征收30%关税、对重型卡车征收25%关税 [2] - 关税政策基于国家安全理由 引用1962年贸易扩展法第232条调查 药品和卡车进口调查于4月启动 木材调查于3月启动 [2] - 药品关税不适用于正在美国建设制造工厂的公司 包括已破土动工或正在建设中的企业 [2] 经济影响分析 - 2024年美国进口医药产品达2330亿美元 药品价格翻倍可能冲击医疗保健支出和联邦医疗保险计划 [2] - 关税可能导致消费者面临更高价格并抑制就业 美联储主席警告商品价格推高通胀 今年通胀上升全部或大部分来自商品成本 [2] - 自4月以来制造业减少42,000个工作岗位 建筑业减少8,000个岗位 无证据表明关税促进工厂建设或创造就业 [4] 行业具体影响 - 制药公司包括强生、阿斯利康、罗氏、百时美施贵宝和礼来等因关税威胁已宣布在美投资生产 [4] - 橱柜关税可能增加房屋建造成本 当前住房短缺和高利率已使购房者承压 8月现房销售挂牌量同比增11.7% 但中位价仍达422,600美元 [4] - 重型卡车关税旨在保护彼得比尔特、肯沃斯、福莱纳和麦克卡车等国内制造商免受外部竞争冲击 [4] 政策背景与争议 - 特朗普声称关税有助于减少政府预算赤字并促进国内制造 但联邦法院曾裁定其1977年经济紧急状态关税超越总统权限 最高法院将于11月审理此案 [4] - 总统否认通胀问题 称"无通胀"且经济取得巨大成功 但消费者价格指数过去12个月上涨2.9% 高于4月的2.3% [4] - 对华关税曾导致美国农民大豆销售损失 政府承诺将关税收入补偿受损农民 类似2018-2019年做法 [4]

Let's bring in Kevin Green, senior markets correspondent right away to help set up the action today. All right, KG, before we get into the latest on the tariff front, let's talk about the setup for today. We've had a little bit of weakness the past few days.Uh markets seemed like they're bracing for PCE report. What are you expecting. Yeah, I think we did see obviously some volatility yesterday, but we were able to recover going into the close.And I think that's very key for us to really try to hold that 6, ...

The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a higher open on Friday, with stocks likely to regain ground after trending lower over the past few sessions.Traders may look to pick up stocks at relatively reduced levels following the recent pullback, which partly reflected concerns about valuations and the near-term outlook for the artificial intelligence trade.The futures saw further upside following the release of a closely watched Commerce Department report showing consumer prices increased in l ...

经济数据表现 - 国内生产总值呈现过热态势 通胀持续高位运行[3] - 失业率数据表明企业未进行大规模裁员 就业市场保持稳定[3] - 每小时将公布生产者价格指数数据 通胀趋势未朝正确方向发展[8] 货币政策立场 - 美联储对利率决策保持适应性态度 不预设具体降息路径[16][28][30] - 中性利率模型显示约200个基点的置信区间 实际范围在2.5%至3.5%之间[24] - 政策制定更关注经济对利率水平的实时反应 而非单纯盯住中性利率[25] 通胀驱动因素 - 供应商试图转嫁成本上升压力 包括关税和健康保险等多项成本[5][6] - 消费者出现明显的消费降级行为 从品牌产品转向自有品牌选择[7] - 观察到典型的相对价格权衡现象 特定商品价格上涨但不一定导致广泛通胀[7] 劳动力市场动态 - 劳动力供给与需求同步下降 移民政策调整和临时身份撤销产生影响[10][11] - 每年超过130万65岁以上人口退出劳动力市场[11] - 形成低招聘低解雇环境 失业率上升幅度预计相对有限[10][11][12] 企业信心与关税影响 - 企业不确定性迷雾开始消散 更多企业采取行动而非持观望态度[13][14] - 各行业受关税影响程度不同 部分行业获得更多清晰度而部分行业仍面临不确定性[15] - 企业根据对关税范围的感知进行规划 而非每日跟踪新闻动态[14] 生产率与成本传导 - 经济中出现显著的生产率提升现象[10][30] - 生产率提高减轻了成本传导压力[10] - 消费者对价格上涨的抵制行为限制了通胀下行空间[9]

US equity futures are flat as the market struggled for traction ahead of today's core PCE report and as investors ponder the Fed's next policy move following a raft of much stronger than expected US data. As of 8:00am, S&P futures are unchanged while Nasdaq futures drop 0.1% leaving stocks poised to extend their recent run of losses once the cash market reopens; in premarket trading Mag 7 names are mixed with NVDA (-0.8%) being the largest underperformer. Bond yields are also flat as is the USD which set fo ...

After back to back losses, the French market is up in positive territory on Friday with investors picking up stocks, shrugging off U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a fresh round of tariffs.Trump announced on Thursday that branded pharmaceuticals imported into the U.S. will be levied a 100% tariff, and heavy-duty trucks will be imposed a 25% levy, effective October 1st. He has also proposed levies on kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanities.and upholstered furniture.The benchmark CAC 40 was up 30.41 ...

Kwangmoozaa/iStock via Getty Images Listen below or on the go on Apple Podcasts and Spotify Trump slaps 100% tariffs on drugs, 25% on heavy trucks and more. (00:28) Federal agencies told to prepare for mass firings if government shuts down. (01:21) Upward pressure on Fed's preferred inflation gauge — PCE price index — is seen persisting in August. (03:05) This is an abridged transcript. President Trump announced sweeping new tariffs, including 100% on branded and patented pharmaceutical drugs, to tak ...

The U.S. will impose 50% tariffs on kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities and a 30% levy on upholstered furniture, Trump said. ...

By David Kirton FOSHAN, China (Reuters) -In China's "Furniture Kingdom" of Lecong, home to a strip of cavernous malls, vendors shrugged off the latest round of tariffs from Washington, saying they've long given up on the U.S. market. As part of his latest tariff onslaught, U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday announced a 50% levy on imported kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities, as well as a 30% tariff on upholstered furniture, to take effect on October 1. But in one of dozens of malls along the st ...

This story was originally published on MedTech Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily MedTech Dive newsletter. Medtech companies face more tariff uncertainty as the Trump administration opens a Section 232 investigation into medical equipment. The Department of Commerce disclosed the probe late Wednesday, although it had started several weeks earlier, on Sept. 2. Medical device firms are still looking into the potential implications. Industry group Advamed, which has been lob ...