Earnings ESP

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Analysts Estimate Bentley Systems, Incorporated (BSY) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:09
核心观点 - 公司预计在2025年6月季度财报中营收同比增长9.9%至3.6309亿美元,但每股收益同比下降6.5%至0.29美元 [1][3] - 实际业绩与预期对比将显著影响短期股价走势,若超预期可能推动股价上涨,低于预期则可能导致下跌 [2] - 公司当前Zacks Rank为3,但盈利ESP为-2.78%,显示分析师近期对公司盈利前景转为悲观,难以预测能否超预期 [12] 业绩预期 - 过去30天共识EPS预期保持稳定未调整,但个别分析师修订方向可能未在整体变化中体现 [4] - 上季度公司实际EPS为0.35美元,超预期16.67%,过去四个季度中有两次超预期 [13][14] - 行业同行Paylocity预计EPS同比下降6.8%至1.38美元,营收增长8.8%至3.887亿美元,其盈利ESP为+4.45%但Zacks Rank为4 [18][19] 盈利预测模型 - Zacks盈利ESP模型通过比较最新分析师修订与共识预期来预测业绩偏离,对正向ESP预测效果显著 [7][8][9] - 当盈利ESP为正且Zacks Rank为1-3时,预测准确率近70%,两者结合可增强预测能力 [10] - 负ESP或低Zacks Rank情况下难以可靠预测业绩超预期 [11] 市场影响 - 盈利超预期或不及预期并非股价变动的唯一因素,其他催化剂可能改变股价走势 [15] - 虽然公司当前不具备强烈盈利超预期的条件,但投资者仍需关注其他影响因素 [17] - 建议利用盈利ESP筛选工具在财报前识别潜在投资机会 [16]
Coeur Mining (CDE) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
核心观点 - 市场预期Coeur Mining在2025年第二季度财报中将实现收入和盈利的同比增长 实际业绩与预期对比可能影响短期股价 [1] - 财报公布日期为8月6日 超预期可能推动股价上涨 不及预期则可能导致下跌 [2] - 公司过去四个季度中有三次超出EPS预期 最近一次季度实际EPS为0.11美元 远超预期的0.02美元(+450%) [13][14] 财务预期 - 季度EPS预期为0.18美元 同比增幅达1900% 收入预期4.744亿美元 同比增长1137% [3] - 过去30天内共识EPS预期上调4524% 反映分析师集体修正初始预测 [4] - 当前Zacks Rank为1(强力买入) 但Earnings ESP为0% 显示近期无分析师修正共识预期 [12] 行业对比 - 同行业公司Centrus Energy预期季度EPS为071美元 同比下滑624% 收入预期1.3684亿美元 同比减少276% [18][19] - Centrus Energy的Earnings ESP为+761% 但Zacks Rank为5(强力卖出) 过去四个季度同样三次超预期 [19][20] 方法论 - Zacks Earnings ESP模型通过对比"最准确预估"与共识预期来预测偏差 近期修正的分析师数据被认为更具参考价值 [7][8] - 当Earnings ESP为正且Zacks Rank为1-3时 70%概率会出现盈利超预期 但负ESP或低Rank难以预测 [9][10][11]
Light & Wonder (LNW) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
核心观点 - Light & Wonder预计在2025年6月季度实现收入和盈利同比增长,市场共识预期每股收益1.44美元(同比+1.4%),收入8.5995亿美元(同比+5.1%)[1][3] - 实际业绩与预期的对比将显著影响股价短期走势,超预期可能推动股价上涨,不及预期则可能导致下跌[2] - 公司当前Zacks Rank为2(买入),但Earnings ESP为-1.39%,显示分析师近期对盈利前景转悲观,降低了业绩超预期的可能性[12] 财务预期 - 过去30天内季度EPS共识预期上调3.14%,反映分析师对初始预测的集体修正[4] - 最近四个季度公司均超预期EPS,最近一季实际EPS 1.35美元,超预期15.38%[13][14] 预测模型分析 - Zacks Earnings ESP模型通过对比最新分析师修正(Most Accurate Estimate)与共识预期来预测业绩偏离,正ESP对超预期有70%预测准确率[8][10] - 当前负ESP值显示最新修正低于共识预期,但Zacks Rank 2的正面评级部分抵消了该负面信号[12] 历史表现与市场影响 - 过去四个季度持续超预期的历史可能影响分析师对未来业绩的评估[13][14] - 股价变动不仅取决于业绩是否超预期,还受管理层电话会议讨论及其他未预见催化剂影响[2][15] 投资策略建议 - 结合Earnings ESP和Zacks Rank筛选股票可提高投资成功概率,但当前公司不具备强业绩超预期特征[10][16] - 投资者需综合评估其他因素,而非仅依赖盈利预测决定交易策略[17]
Analysts Estimate Kronos Worldwide (KRO) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Kronos Worldwide (KRO) reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6. ...
Cencora (COR) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise The market expects Cencora (COR) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price ...
Copa Holdings (CPA) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
The earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. Zacks Consensus Estimate This holding co ...
MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) reports results for the qua ...
Earnings Preview: Crane NXT (CXT) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Crane NXT (CXT) reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6. On the ...
Earnings Preview: DHT Holdings (DHT) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
The market expects DHT Holdings (DHT) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on ...
Earnings Preview: Dine Brands (DIN) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:08
核心财务预期 - 预计季度每股收益1.49美元 同比下降12.9% [3] - 预计季度收入2.2212亿美元 同比增长7.7% [3] - 最准确预估低于市场共识预估 形成-3.36%的ESP预期差 [12] 业绩预测指标 - 过去30天内共识EPS预估保持稳定 [4] - 公司持有Zacks排名第2级(买入)[12] - ESP负值结合Zacks排名第2级 难以准确预测业绩超预期 [12] 历史业绩表现 - 上一季度实际EPS为1.03美元 较预期1.18美元低12.71% [13] - 过去四个季度中有两次达到共识EPS预期 [14] 同业对比 - The ONE Group Hospitality预计季度EPS为0.08美元 同比持平 [18] - The ONE Group Hospitality预计收入2.0933亿美元 同比增长21.4% [19] - The ONE Group Hospitality的ESP为-28% Zacks排名第3级(持有)[19][20]