Recession

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AI Revolution Vs. Internet Boom
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-16 18:38
Live Chat on The Biotech Forum sees frequent discussion of specific covered call trades. To see what covered call trades I am currently executing along with a model portfolio of attractive biotech stocks, just initiate your free trial into The Biotech Forum by clicking HERE .Markets continue to hit one high after another. The rally continues despite the jobs market deteriorating, the housing sector struggling mightily, and consumer sentiment in the dumps. Moody's Analytics just put the chance of recession i ...
9 Financial Moves To Boost Your Savings in the Second Half of 2025
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 12:26
Hold on to your financial hat, because 2025 isn’t showing any signs of slowing down the economic rollercoaster it has taken everyone on so far. Consumer confidence is shaky at best thanks to President Trump’s tariff policies and proposed legislation, along with the ongoing rise in everyone’s cost of living. Learn More: Here’s How to Build an Emergency Fund Without Blowing Your Budget For You: 7 Tax Loopholes the Rich Use To Pay Less and Build More Wealth With many economists and financial experts whisperi ...
What To Expect After The Fed Cuts Rates
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 10:30
Has there ever been an interest rate cut with such a long, dramatic, scrutinized gestation period? No matter, Wall Street is already thinking, what have you done for me lately? The Federal Reserve reconvenes today for what may just be the most loaded, and consequential, central bank meeting in modern history. A quarter-point slash is now all but certain to be announced tomorrow — and indeed Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has hinted as much since the group’s last meeting in July. But is the seemingly never-end ...
Wall Street rises to more records as Tesla vrooms higher
PBS News· 2025-09-15 21:47
市场表现 - 标普500指数上涨05%至661528点创历史新高 道琼斯工业平均指数上涨4923点至4588345点 纳斯达克综合指数上涨20765点至2234875点创纪录 [1][10] - 法国CAC 40指数上涨09% 欧洲和亚洲其他指数波动较小 [12] 重点公司动态 - 特斯拉股价上涨36% 因埃隆·马斯克通过信托购买约10亿美元公司股票 [2] - 字母表公司股价上涨45% 母公司谷歌市值突破3万亿美元 成为继英伟达、微软和苹果后第四家达到该市值的华尔街公司 [3] - 英特尔上涨29% 因完成向银湖投资出售Altera业务51%股权后下调今年支出预期 [9] - 哈恩天体股价暴跌247% 因最新季度亏损同比扩大 公司正采取措施稳定销售表现 [9] - 阿拉斯加航空集团下跌67% 因高燃油成本导致第三季度业绩预期降至指引区间低端 夏季运营受天气和空管问题影响 [9] - 英伟达微跌01% 因中国监管机构指控其违反反垄断法并将进一步调查 [10] 宏观经济与政策 - 美联储将于周三公布利率决议 市场普遍预期实施年内首次降息 [4] - 10年期国债收益率从406%下降至403% 延续因降息预期导致的下跌趋势 [11][12] - 纽约州制造业活动出现自6月以来首次收缩 与经济学家预期相反 [11] - 美国政府将于周二公布上月零售销售数据 [11] 行业风险因素 - 前总统特朗普关税政策可能引发通胀跳涨 给美联储带来压力 [7] - 若就业市场过度放缓可能导致经济衰退 进而拖累企业利润 [7] - 美联储主席鲍威尔发布会表态及利率预测将成为市场关注焦点 [6]
Can the QQQ ETF Protect Your Income in a Volatile Market?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-15 11:15
Key Points Tech stocks make up just over 60% of the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF -- a hefty amount. Investors should recognize that the fund is built for growth, not for income and stability. The fund also has a higher expense ratio and lower dividend yield than others in its class. 10 stocks we like better than Invesco QQQ Trust › We're quickly approaching the fourth quarter of 2025, and this year is showing no signs of letting up. War in Ukraine, conflict in the Middle East, weakening employment numbe ...
Stocks are at record highs. These 2 things could derail the rally.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 22:43
Traders work on the floor of the NYSE in New YorkReuters The stock market faces two risks that could cause its record rally to stumble, Goldman Sachs said. The bank pointed to the risk that markets begin to worry about a recession again. Alternatively, investors could start to pull back expectations for Fed rate cuts, blunting a bullish tailwind. Earnings are strong. The US economy is holding steady. Fed rate cuts are coming. Nothing looks like it could go wrong in the stock market now. That, at ...
Treasury Yields Snapshot: September 12, 2025
Etftrends· 2025-09-12 20:31
Here is a long-term view of the 10-year yield starting in 1965, well before the 1973 oil embargo that triggered the era of 'stagflation' (economic stagnation coupled with inflation) Inverted Yield Curve An inverted yield curve is when longer-term Treasury yields are lower than their shorter term counterparts. The next chart displays the latest 10-2 spread. Typically, the spread turns negative for a period before rising again prior to recessions, as illustrated in the four recessions shown on this chart. For ...
4 Stock Predictions From JP Morgan for the Rest of 2025
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-12 17:01
股票市场预测 - 摩根大通预测2025年下半年股市将出现小幅下跌 标准普尔500指数预计从当前约6400点降至6000点 跌幅约为6% [1][2] - 预测基于政治不确定性 特别是关税政策 以及高利率和通胀对美国经济的影响 预计增长乏力 [3] 经济衰退风险 - 摩根大通预测2025年底前出现经济衰退的概率为40% 较此前60%的预测有所下降 但仍存在显著风险 [3] - 经济不确定性主要源于全球关税的实际影响 以及美联储维持高利率政策 预计未来几个月通胀数据上升 可能抑制消费者支出并导致经济衰退 [4] 大宗商品市场 - 预计黄金将继续跑赢市场 原油价格将下跌 原油价格下跌主因供需关系变化 自2月以来全球库存增加近2.4亿桶 供应充足 预计油价将跌至每桶60美元中位区间 [5] - 黄金价格上涨动力来自政治不确定性 全球紧张局势和市场波动 摩根大通认为黄金是对滞胀 衰退 货币贬值和美国政策风险的最佳对冲工具之一 [6] 全球股指预测 - 预测MSCI欧元区指数为345点 富时100指数为9000点 东证股价指数为3000点 MSCI新兴市场指数为1250点 [7]
Oracle Lurches Toward The Trillion-Dollar Club
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-11 11:30
政治事件与市场反应 - 保守派活动人士Charlie Kirk枪击事件引发全国震惊及政治暴力升级担忧 同时推动枪支股在周三下午尾盘走高[1] - 波兰击落俄罗斯无人机后 乌克兰总统泽连斯基呼吁建立欧洲空中防御系统[4] 宏观经济数据 - 美国8月批发通胀报告意外下降 整体与核心数据均走低 推动美股延续上涨势头[1] - 交易员密切关注当日CPI数据及其对美联储政策可能产生的影响[1] - 十年期国债收益率维持在4.05%水平未变[4] 国际贸易政策 - 墨西哥计划将对华汽车关税从当前20%大幅提升至50% 以保护国内产业与就业[2] 企业动态与战略 - Opendoor(OPEN)聘请Shopify首席运营官担任新CEO 联合创始人重新加入管理层[3] - 亚马逊(AMZN)开发AR眼镜 试图与Meta(META)展开竞争[4] - Carrier(CARR)预警住宅暖通空调业务将出现40%大幅下滑[4] - 芯片制造商英伟达成为微软190亿美元Nebius交易的实际赢家[2] - 谷歌母公司Alphabet被分析认为远未达到峰值[2] 行业发展与技术突破 - Zoox在拉斯维加斯推出Robotaxi自动驾驶服务 Lyft(LYFT)与May Mobility在亚特兰大启动同类项目[3] - 纽约州长寻求联邦政府支持以加速核能扩张[4] - 古巴因电网再次崩溃遭遇全国性停电[3] 资本市场活动 - Klarna(KLAR)IPO首日股价大幅上涨 StubHub(STUB)计划下周上市[4] - Chipotle(CMG)品牌正式进军亚洲市场[4] - XFLT基金获得15%收益率的大额收入投资[2] 全球市场表现 - 亚洲市场:日本涨1.2% 香港跌0.4% 中国涨1.7% 印度涨0.2%[4] - 欧洲市场:伦敦涨0.5% 巴黎涨0.9% 法兰克福涨0.2%[4] - 美股期货:道指涨0.2% 标普500涨0.2% 纳斯达克涨0.3%[4] - 大宗商品:原油跌0.7%至63.25美元 黄金跌0.6%至3661.20美元[4] - 加密货币:比特币涨1.5%至114030美元[4] 财经日程 - 当日财报发布公司包括Adobe(ADBE)和Kroger(KR)[5] - Seeking Alpha平台提供完整财报日历与经济事件日历[6]
How To Build a ‘Recession-Ready’ Budget for 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 10:43
The odds of a recession in 2026 seem to change daily. The Conference Board forecast that higher tariffs will hinder GDP growth into next year. But Fidelity and J.P. Morgan both have stated the likelihood of a recession has fallen dramatically in recent months. “So far, the signals are not flashing imminent recession,” Fidelity wrote in a Fidelity Viewpoints post. However, the investment firm added in the same article, “Having a financial plan in place that accounts for all possibilities can be reassuring. ...