All right, joining us right now on the broader markets is Stephanie Link, High Totower chief investment strategist and portfolio manager, also a CNBC contributor. And Stephanie, we did see a down week for the S&P and the NASDAQ last week, but we also got some pretty decent economic data towards the end of the week. Yeah, I feel like I come on every week and the numbers keep ratcheting higher in terms of GDP.I mean, right now the Atlanta Fed tracker is running at about 3.9% for the third quarter. And that fo ...

In this article, we will look at the 12 Oversold Growth Stocks to Buy According to Analysts.On September 27, Wharton professor emeritus and WisdomTree senior economist Jeremy Siegel joined CNBC for an interview to discuss the latest PCE report and what the data reveal about the market. He sees the latest economic data as positive for the stock market. The inflation report was in line with expectations, with no upside surprises and year-over-year inflation at 2.9%. Although the inflation is still above the F ...

An uptick in consumer spending helped the U.S. economy expand at a surprising 3.8% from April through June, the government reported in a dramatic upgrade of its previous estimate of second-quarter growth. U.S. gross domestic product—the nation's output of goods and services—rebounded in the spring from a 0.6% first-quarter drop caused by fallout from President Donald Trump's trade wars, the Commerce Department said Thursday. The department had previously estimated second-quarter growth at 3.3%, and forec ...

Following the pullback seen over the two previous sessions, stocks saw further downside during trading on Thursday. The major averages continued to give back ground after ending Monday's trading at new record closing highs.The major averages ended the day well off their lows of the session but still firmly negative. The Nasdaq slid 113.16 points or 0.5 percent to 22,384.70, the S&P 500 declined 33.25 points or 0.5 percent to 6,604.72 and the Dow fell 173.96 points or 0.4 percent to 45,947.32.The continued ...

The view from the rooftop pool of the Marina Bay Sands resort hotel, which overlooks the financial district skyline of Singapore.Singapore's core inflation — which strips out prices of private transport and accommodation — posted its softest rise since February 2021, coming in at 0.3% for August as services inflation softened.This was lower than the 0.4% expected by economists polled by Reuters, and lower than the 0.5% seen in the month before.Headline inflation in Singapore came in at 0.5%, down from the 0 ...

市场表现与预期 - 股市处于历史高位 债券市场正快速回归中性 通胀预期稳定[2] - 生产力增长成为市场释放阀 生产力繁荣表现为共识预测逐年上调[2] - 工业生产和商业资本支出大幅增长 自1月以来商业资本支出年化增长率近10%[4] 人工智能与资本支出 - AI繁荣显著贡献GDP增长 信息处理设备和软件支出强劲[4] - 企业AI相关公告持续获得市场奖励 股价随之上涨[4] - 资本品革命和工厂订单革命推动经济增长 GDP增速达3%以上[9] 美联储政策分歧 - 美联储内部对利率路径存在严重分歧 9名委员支持年内75基点降息 8名委员持相近但略保守立场[19] - 美联储官员迈伦首次参会即提出异议 认为政策制定存在错误[11][12] - 鲍威尔试图引导市场预期 但市场反应消极 住房类股票先涨后跌[15][16] 经济增长预期争议 - 美联储长期经济增长预测仅1.8% 被指低估经济潜力[6][7] - 国家经济委员会主任认为经济可能实现4%增长[9] - 当前增长属于反通胀型增长 通过供给端生产提升而非需求刺激[10] 行业具体表现 - 住房许可数据表现糟糕 建筑就业持续收缩[14] - 抵押贷款利率回落至6%附近 但美联储降息影响已被市场提前消化[18] - 黄金价格持续上涨 与美元强弱和实际利率变化脱钩 呈现独立上涨态势[29]

Good afternoon. My colleagues and I remain squarely focused on achieving our dual mandate goals of maximum employment and stable prices for the benefit of the American people. While the unemployment rate remains low, it has edged up.Job gains have slowed and downside risks to employment have risen. At the same time, inflation has risen recently and remains somewhat elevated. In support of our goals and in light of the shift in the balance of risks today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower ou ...

涉及的行业或公司 * 中国经济与亚太地区宏观经济[1] * 基础设施投资、制造业、公用事业、房地产、零售销售等广泛行业[2][5][9] 核心观点和论据 * 第三季度GDP预计将放缓至同比增长4.5% 低于第二季度的5.2%[1][2][9] * 8月增长放缓幅度超市场预期 主要拖累因素是财政刺激力度减弱 具体表现为政府债券融资的高基数效应以及今年2万亿人民币债务置换额度已使用92%[2][9] * 基础设施资本支出领跌 8月基础设施固定资产投资同比下降6.4%[2][5] * 零售销售增长放缓至9个月低点 同比增长3.4% 原因是补贴发放缓慢及以旧换新补贴效果减退[2] * 工业生产和资本支出受到出口放缓及“反内卷”政策的拖累 8月工业增加值同比增长5.2% 制造业固定资产投资同比下降1.3%[2][5][9] * 房地产部门持续疲软 8月销售额同比下降9.6% 新开工面积同比下降18.3%[5] 其他重要内容 * 预计在9月末或四季度初会有额外的适度刺激方案 规模在5000亿至1万亿人民币之间 内容包括为基础设施投资提供更多资金、适度的消费支持以及解决地方政府对私营部门应付款问题的准财政工具[3] * 这些措施应为增长托底 但持续的再通胀仍取决于重新平衡经济的结构性改革[3][9] * 预计将在10月下旬举行的四中全会上寻找关于下一个五年计划中结构性改革举措的更明确信号[3][9] * 8月政府债券净融资（不含专项融资债券）为732亿人民币 显著低于7月的993亿人民币和上半年平均水平[7]

投资框架 - 投资分析基于三个核心因素：流动性、通胀和增长 [2][3] - 经济持续增长 GDP等指标保持强劲 [3] - 通胀率从高位回落至2.9% 但仍高于2%目标水平 [4] - 流动性保持强劲 年度财政赤字支出达2万亿美元 疫情时期的资金仍在体系中流转 [4] - M2货币供应量维持高位 [4] - 劳动力市场状况是最大关注点 失业率上升可能导致增长放缓 [6] 陶氏化学(Dow) - 股价从40-60美元区间暴跌50% 目前交易价格24美元 上周在23美元低位买入 [7] - 市盈率和企业价值/EBITDA比率均显著低于同业水平 [8] - 提供5%的高股息收益率 [9] - 资产负债表表现优异 属于被低估的复苏型价值股 [8][9] - 作为化工材料制造企业 业务模式相对传统 [8] Circle - 股价从250美元高位回落至120美元 [12] - 受益于稳定币采用加速 DeFi支付和代币化金融发展 [10] - 行业获得政府政策支持 资金投入增加 [11][12] - 近期开始重新关注成长型投资 此前3-4个月完全避开科技板块 [13] Bullish - 上市初期股价达60-70美元 曾冲高至115美元 目前回落至50美元附近 [15] - 由前纽约证券交易所主席Tom Farley领导 [14] - 作为交易平台业务 对加密货币交易量周期具有杠杆效应 [17] - 机构采用代币化资产和比特币ETF流动性的催化剂 [18] - 75岁以上客户群体对比特币投资需求持续增长 [18] 比特币展望 - 价格突破71,000美元 [19] - 历史周期显示每3-4年会出现70%的深度回调 [20] - 若顶部在120,000美元 70%跌幅将使其回落至40,000美元区间 [21] - 长期目标看至100万美元/枚 因已成为"太大而不能倒"的资产类别 [21] Space Mobile - 作为Starlink竞争对手 获AT&T、Vodafone和Rakuten合作合约 [23] - 已获得FCC批准并成功进行多次卫星发射 [23] - 股价从9-10美元区间最高涨至50-60美元 目前回落至40美元 [24] - 处于资本密集型领域 长期存在股权稀释风险 [25] GitLab - 年内股价下跌11% 从26美元三年间涨至78美元 目前交易价格50美元 [26] - 提供端到端开发和运营平台 整合工具链提升企业成本效率 [27] - AI革命推动企业效率提升需求 软件开发需求持续走强 [28][29] - 面临GitHub(微软旗下)和Legion等平台竞争 [30] - 当前估值水平考虑到增长率后具有吸引力 [30]

Um, while AI optimism is booming though, there are some concerns about the broader economy. JP Morgan's Jamie Diamond told our Lesie Picker, "The latest jobs data confirms that the economy is weakening, as he put it. That comes as investors turn their attention to a key inflation report tomorrow morning." Joining us now is Pollson Perspectives author Jim Pollson. Jim, we we did get another inflation report though, producer price index suggesting that wholesale prices not surging as much as people feared.So ...