文章核心观点 - 对Rithm Capital Corp (RITM)与17家抵押贷款房地产投资信托(mREIT)同行进行详细比较分析 重点关注股息收益率和股息可持续性指标 [1][3][4] - 分析显示RITM在股息可持续性方面表现优异 核心收益/可分配收益(EAD)持续覆盖股息支付 且派息比率处于非常有吸引力的水平 [18][21][22][23] - 基于当前估值和未来盈利预期 RITM股票被评定为买入评级 目标价14.35美元 [34][35][37] 股息分析比较 - RITM在2025年第三季度宣布每股0.25美元股息 与前一季度持平 基于2025年9月19日股价12.11美元 其TTM股息收益率为8.26% 年化远期股息收益率为8.26% 基于估计当前账面价值的年化远期收益率为7.66% [28][29] - 与同行PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT)相比 RITM的TTM股息收益率和基于股价的年化远期收益率显著低于平均水平(差异≥2.00%) 而基于账面价值的收益率略低于平均水平(差异1.00-2.00%) [16][28] - 大多数mREIT同行在2020年COVID-19疫情期间大幅削减或暂停股息 但RITM在2020年第二至第四季度逐步将股息从0.05美元提高至0.20美元 并在2021年第三季度提高至0.25美元后保持稳定 是行业中少数保持股息稳定的公司之一 [13][15] 股息可持续性评估 - RITM报告2023年第一季度至第四季度核心收益/EAD分别为1.71亿美元(每股0.35美元) 2.979亿美元(每股0.62美元) 2.808亿美元(每股0.58美元)和2.474亿美元(每股0.51美元) 派息比率分别为71% 41% 43%和49% [21] - 2024年第一季度至第四季度核心收益/EAD分别为2.332亿美元(每股0.48美元) 2.311亿美元(每股0.47美元) 2.703亿美元(每股0.54美元)和3.158亿美元(每股0.60美元) 派息比率分别为52% 53% 48%和41% [22] - 2025年第一季度和第二季度核心收益/EAD分别为2.753亿美元(每股0.52美元)和2.911亿美元(每股0.54美元) 派息比率分别为48%和46% 若排除资产出售收益 调整后核心收益/EAD为每股0.46美元和0.47美元 派息比率仍保持在54%和53%的健康水平 [23][24] 财务表现与展望 - RITM的2023年和2024年股息100%被归类为普通收入 0%被归类为资本返还(ROC) 预计2025年股息也将获得类似税务处理 这是一个积极因素 [26][27] - 回购协议融资利率很可能已在2023年底见顶 借贷/融资成本很可能在2024年初见顶 净利差很可能在2023年底至2024年初触底 预计2025年底至2026年上半年净利差将恢复增长 [25] - 预计RITM在2025年第四季度维持每股0.25-0.30美元股息的概率非常高(90%) 2026年第一季度维持相同股息水平的概率也非常高(90%) [30] 估值与投资建议 - RITM当前评级为买入 基于2025年9月23日收盘价11.76美元 公司股票被认为低估 当前估计账面价值为每股13.05美元 [34][35] - 目标价格设定为14.35美元 超过此价格将转为卖出评级 12.76-14.34美元为持有区间 11.11-12.75美元为买入区间 11.10美元或以下为强力买入区间 [37] - 此建议考虑了以下因素: projected future MBS/investment price movements; projected future derivative valuations; projected assets under management ("AUM"); and projected near-term dividend per share rates 还包括潜在的业务分拆可能性 [37]

Rithm Capital (NYSE: RITM ) is building an incredibly well-diversified platform of adjacent yet complementary businesses that is set to transform the internally managed mortgage REIT. The recent acquisitions, rather than being distractions as impliedThe equity market is a powerful mechanism as daily fluctuations in price get aggregated to incredible wealth creation or destruction over the long term. Pacifica Yield aims to pursue long-term wealth creation with a focus on undervalued yet high-growth companies ...

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE: RITM; "Rithm†or the "Company†) announced that it priced an underwritten public offering of 7,600,000 shares of its 8.75% Series E Fixed-Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (the "Preferred Stock†) with a liquidation preference of $25.00 per share, for gross proceeds of approximately $190,000,000, before deducting underwriting discount and other estimated offering expenses. The Company intends to apply to list the Preferred Stock on th. ...

Key Takeaways Rithm Capital will buy Paramount Group for $1.6B in cash, expanding into office real estate ownership.Paramount shareholders get $6.60 per share, a discount to its prior $7.39 close, sending shares down 11.6%.The deal adds 13.1M sq. ft. of Class A office assets in New York and San Francisco, 85.4% leased as of June.Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) has agreed to acquire vertically-integrated real estate investment trust, Paramount Group, Inc. (PGRE) , for around $1.6 billion in cash. Paramount is a w ...

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE: RITM; "Rithm†or the "Company†) announces that it has launched an opportunistic underwritten public offering of Series E Fixed-Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (the "Preferred Stock†), subject to market conditions. The terms of the Preferred Stock are to be determined by negotiations between the Company and the underwriters. The Company intends to apply to list the Preferred Stock on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "RI. ...

Rithm Capital (NYSE:RITM) M&A Announcement September 17, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsEmma Bolla - Associate General CounselMichael Nierenberg - Chairman, President & CEOBose George - Managing DirectorNone - ExecutiveCrispin Love - Director - Equity ResearchJay McCanless - MD - Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsEric Hagen - MD, BTIG Mortgage & Specialty Finance AnalystEmma BollaThank you and good morning, everyone. I would like to thank you for joining us today. Earlier this morning, we iss ...

收购与资产管理 - Rithm Capital计划以约16亿美元现金收购Paramount Group, Inc.，每股稀释后价值为6.60美元[7] - Rithm预计在交易完成时将拥有25亿至30亿美元的可用现金和流动性[7] - Rithm计划通过收购Paramount来扩展其资产管理平台，增加第三方资本，生成相关费用收入[9] - Rithm的资产管理平台涵盖多种资产类别，投资资产总额约为1000亿美元[11][13] - Rithm在收购Paramount后，预计将进一步多样化收入来源，增加Class A办公物业的投资组合[9] - Rithm的收购预计将加速其核心投资垂直领域的增长，并扩展资产管理能力[9] - Rithm计划在2025年第四季度末完成交易，需获得Paramount股东的批准[7][8] Paramount的资产与市场表现 - Paramount的资产组合包括13个自有和4个管理的高质量办公资产，总面积超过1310万平方英尺，截至2025年6月30日，85.4%已出租[7][16] - Paramount的年均租金为每平方英尺90美元，平均租赁期限为7.1年[16] - Paramount在纽约市和旧金山拥有、运营和管理高质量的A级办公物业[20] - Paramount的纽约市办公组合总面积为870万平方英尺，租赁率为88.1%[39] - Paramount的旧金山办公组合总面积为360万平方英尺，租赁率为75.1%[43] - Paramount在旧金山的物业在2025年第二季度租赁了超过19万平方英尺，初始租金加权平均为每平方英尺93.07美元[42] - Paramount的物业大部分租约在2029年后到期，租户信用评级强[38] 市场趋势与展望 - Rithm认为当前房地产市场价值比疫情前低约40%，并且接近25-30%的替代成本[9] - 美国商业房地产市场的潜在价值约为20万亿美元[21] - 办公市场的租赁活动在2025年第二季度达到700万平方英尺，比五年季度平均水平高出33%[27] - 2025年第一季度美国办公租赁量同比增长15%，但仍低于疫情前水平的10-20%[27] - 办公价值在2024年触底后正在回升[27]

Alternative asset manager Rithm Capital (NYSE:RITM) announced on Wednesday a definitive agreement to acquire the REIT Paramount Group (NYSE:PGRE) for ~$1.6B. RITM shares were +0.66% pre-market to $12.15, while PGRE was down 11.50% to $6.54. Yesterday, Paramount Group was gaining after ...

Global asset management company Rithm Capital on Wednesday said it had agreed to acquire real estate investment trust Paramount Group for $1.6 billion in cash. ...

Rithm (RITM) closed at $12.38 in the latest trading session, marking a -1.28% move from the prior day. The stock fell short of the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.05% for the day. Elsewhere, the Dow lost 0.59%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 0.45%. The stock of real estate investment trust has risen by 1.37% in the past month, lagging the Finance sector's gain of 4.15% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.44%.Market participants will be closely following the financial results of Rithm in its upcoming releas ...