Berkshire Hathaway is parking money in ultra-safe investments.At the end of this year, Warren Buffett is finally retiring after leading Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A 1.34%)(BRK.B 1.26%) for more than six decades. In that time, Berkshire Hathaway has been one of the stock market's best-performing stocks, and its moves have attracted much investor interest, hoping to mimic its success in some sense.In the third quarter, Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway made some notable moves that leave the next wave of leadership ...

Invesco is an independent investment management firm dedicated to delivering an investment experience that helps people get more out of life.Be the first to know! Sign up for Invesco US Blog and get expert investment views as they post.Disclosure for all Invesco US articles: Before investing, carefully read the prospectus and/or summary prospectus and carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a ...

全球宏观经济背景 - 一个由持续财政赤字、保护主义抬头和竞争性货币贬值驱动的更高名义利率世界已经出现，这导致了通胀和利率的更高均衡水平[2] - 2025年第四季度，尽管面临新的关税压力和持续的地缘政治紧张局势，全球经济活动仍保持韧性[2] - 美国经济呈现温和增长，通胀压力缓解，但政策和贸易不确定性上升[2] - 欧洲经济状况略有改善，但在贸易扭曲、财政政策收紧和工业疲软的背景下，复苏仍不均衡[2] 2025年第四季度区域经济表现 - **美国**：经济增长放缓但仍为正值，呈现反通胀趋势，政策和贸易不确定性加剧[8]。创纪录的联邦政府停摆延迟了官方数据并打击了信心，私营指标显示劳动力市场疲软：非农就业增长减速，失业率升至4.4%，裁员激增[8]。增长呈现两极分化，高收入家庭支撑消费，而疲软的零售销售和暴跌的信心指数显示低收入群体出现疲态[8]。通胀数据意外温和，9月CPI和PPI低于预期，核心商品和服务价格下降，生产者端压力缓解[8]。政府在激进的关税声明和战术性休战之间摇摆[8] - **欧洲**：经济状况温和改善，但复苏不均衡，且深受外部贸易扭曲、财政立场收紧和持续工业脆弱性的影响[12]。欧元区HCOB综合PMI在10月升至52.5，为17个月高点，但11月HCOB制造业PMI回落至49.6，重回温和收缩区间[12]。通胀继续向目标滑落，欧元区整体CPI在10月和11月分别为2.1%和2.2%，但核心通胀（尤其是服务业）更具粘性[12] - **中国及新兴市场**：中国及亚洲面临增长放缓但仍为正值的后周期环境、反通胀以及日益依赖政策的风险情绪[16]。中国经济在第三季度GDP同比增长4.8%后，全年增长仍有望达到5%左右[16]。官方和私营PMI在50荣枯线附近波动，制造业处于温和收缩，非制造业在11月跌破50[16]。中国人民银行保持宽松立场，依赖定向流动性注入和增量住房支持[16]。通缩压力逐渐缓和，但通胀水平仍低于发达市场[16] 市场表现与资产回报 - 2025年对多资产投资者而言是建设性的一年：全球股市录得稳健的两位数涨幅，久期资产受益于政策利率的同步见顶，美元走弱支撑了黄金和非美风险资产[5] - 2025年全球资产回报数据显示，黄金以63.9%的总回报率领先，其次是股票（20.6%）和房地产投资信托基金（14.7%）[5] - 截至2025年第四季度，MSCI世界指数（美元）年内上涨17.4%，MSCI新兴市场指数上涨26.4%[29]。标普500指数年内上涨14.3%，斯托克欧洲600指数上涨14.2%[29] - 美国股市年内涨幅达到高两位数百分比，尽管11月出现向防御性板块的轮动[11]。美国国债表现优于信用债[11] - 亚洲（除日本）股市在本季度小幅跑赢全球同行，受台湾和韩国强劲的AI相关需求、稳健的盈利以及中美贸易紧张局势缓和时的外资流入支撑[19]。中国内地股市表现落后于亚洲整体，受房地产、地方政府债务和监管不确定性拖累[19] 2026年展望与核心关切 - 展望2026年，关键问题是盈利能否最终证明高企的股票估值是合理的[5] - 全球经济可能“艰难前行”，但深度衰退的概率较低[20]。2026年全球活动的适度重新加速可能引发周期性通胀，限制估值上行空间，并更加重视企业盈利[20] - 一个结构性高名义利率环境，以持续的财政赤字、保护主义和货币重新调整为特征，将放大分化并加剧赢家与输家之间的差距[20] 投资结论与资产配置观点 - 尽管波动性增加且未来几个月特朗普政府下可能存在潜在冲突，但对风险资产的积极偏向依然存在[7]。强调资本保全和机会主义配置，将市场波动和分化视为主动管理捕捉阿尔法的催化剂[7] - **债券/固定收益**：短期内违约率可能小幅上升，但不会出现大规模违约潮[24]。信用利差虽然紧张，但仍有适度扩大的空间[24]。偏好短久期高收益债和高级担保贷款，因其提供7-9%的诱人票息且久期风险有限[24]。对投资级债券和美国国债保持略微低配，偏好短期高收益债、贷款及部分低于投资级的债券和混合型证券[26] - **股票**：股市面临美国政策不确定性、高估值和利润率压力的阻力，但具有韧性的消费支撑盈利[25]。2026年，基本面的改善将支撑估值，并证明向非美市场（包括新兴市场）进行选择性轮动的合理性[25]。战术上强调平衡，在增长具有韧性的背景下略微偏好价值和周期性板块[26] - **大宗商品与外汇**：大宗商品部分受益于去全球化、供应侧限制以及2026年周期性经济上行的前景[38]。尽管近期走弱，美元估值仍然偏高，地缘政治支撑黄金[34] - **另类投资**：流动另类策略利用波动性和分散性作为产生阿尔法的沃土[20]。信贷多空、股票多空和事件驱动策略从不确定性和高业绩分化中受益[42]。随着收益率进入更高区间，另类贷款资产类别受到关注[42] 市场共识预测数据 - **GDP增长预测**：预计2025年全球增长3.0%，2026年放缓至2.9%[27]。美国2025年增长2.0%，2026年保持2.0%[27]。欧元区2025年增长1.4%，2026年放缓至1.1%[27]。中国2025年增长4.9%，2026年放缓至4.5%[27] - **通胀预测**：预计2025年全球通胀为3.6%，2026年为3.4%[27]。美国2025年通胀为2.8%，2026年为2.9%[27]。欧元区2025年通胀为2.1%，2026年为1.8%[27]。中国2025年通胀为0.0%，2026年为0.7%[27] - **央行利率预测**：预计美联储基金利率在2025年底为3.80%，2026年底为3.25%[28]。欧洲央行主要再融资利率在2025年底为2.00%，2026年底为1.98%[28] - **大宗商品价格预测**：预计黄金价格在2025年为每盎司4445美元，2026年升至4611美元[28]。布伦特原油价格在2025年为每桶59美元，2026年升至61美元[28]

In this articleBRK.BBRK.A(This is the Warren Buffett Watch newsletter, news and analysis on all things Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway. You can sign up here to receive it every Friday evening in your inbox.)With Warren Buffett's planned departure as Berkshire Hathaway's CEO less than two weeks away, some on Wall Street have advice for incoming CEO Greg Abel.Glenview Trust CIO Bill Stone says the most important thing Abel can do is "don't try to be Warren Buffett."Buffett and Charlie Munger, he said on ...

NEW YORK, Dec. 19, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Board of Trustees of the PIMCO closed-end fund below (the “Fund”) has declared a supplemental year-end distribution for the Fund’s common shares as summarized below. The distribution is payable on January 13, 2026 to shareholders of record on December 29, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of December 29, 2025. In addition to the regular monthly dividends, this supplemental year-end distribution is being paid to allow the Fund to meet its 2025 distribution require ...

TORONTO, Dec. 19, 2025 /CNW/ - Franklin Templeton Canada today announced the estimated December 2025 cash distributions and the annual reinvested distributions for its ETFs and ETF series of mutual funds available to Canadian investors.Estimated December 2025 Cash DistributionsAs detailed in the table below, unitholders of record as of December 30, 2025, will receive a per-unit cash distribution payable on January 8, 2026.Fund NameTickerType  Estimated Cash DistributionPer Unit($)Payment FrequencyFranklin C ...

Each year since 2012, Natixis Investment Managers has released its Global Retirement Index ranking countries’ retirement security — or how well-equipped citizens feel their country can support its aging population. According to the 2025 Global Retirement Index, the United States ranks 21st out of 44 countries assessed resulting in many asking, “Why so low?” First, it’s important to remember that the United States is a large country, and large countries tend to lag behind smaller countries when it comes t ...

Invesco is an independent investment management firm dedicated to delivering an investment experience that helps people get more out of life.Be the first to know! Sign up for Invesco US Blog and get expert investment views as they post.Disclosure for all Invesco US articles: Before investing, carefully read the prospectus and/or summary prospectus and carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a ...

文章核心观点 - 文章旨在比较景顺(Invesco, IVZ)与贝莱德(BlackRock, BLK)两只金融投资管理股票，以确定当前更具投资价值的标的 [1] - 分析认为，基于强劲的盈利预期修正趋势和更吸引人的估值指标，景顺(IVZ)是目前更优的价值投资选择 [7] 估值方法与评级体系 - 最佳的价值投资机会通常通过结合Zacks强力买入评级与价值风格评分体系的高等级来发现 [2] - Zacks Rank侧重于盈利预测修正趋势向好的公司，而Style Scores则根据特定特征对公司进行分级 [2] - 景顺(IVZ)目前的Zacks Rank为1(强力买入)，贝莱德(BLK)为3(持有)，表明景顺的盈利前景改善程度更大 [3] - 价值投资者还通过一系列传统指标来判断公司是否被低估，包括市盈率(P/E)、市销率(P/S)、收益率及每股现金流等 [4] 关键估值指标对比 - 景顺(IVZ)的远期市盈率为13.60，显著低于贝莱德(BLK)的22.42 [5] - 景顺(IVZ)的市盈增长比率(PEG Ratio)为0.65，远低于贝莱德(BLK)的1.67，显示其估值在考虑盈利增长后更具吸引力 [5] - 景顺(IVZ)的市净率(P/B)为1.01，远低于贝莱德(BLK)的2.96，表明其市场价值更接近其账面价值 [6] - 基于上述及其他多项指标，景顺(IVZ)的价值风格评分为B级，而贝莱德(BLK)为D级 [6]

Here are three stocks with buy rank and strong momentum characteristics for investors to consider today, Dec. 19:MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) : This provider of a database platform has a Zacks Rank #1 and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 27% over the last 60 days.MongoDB’s shares gained 31.2% over the last three months compared with the S&P 500’s advance of 1.1%. The company possesses a Momentum Score  of A.Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) : This steam coal company has a ...