Monetary Policy Shift
搜索文档
Gold and silver explode to record highs as Fed pivot sends yields tumbling
New York Post· 2025-12-22 20:48
Gold and silver futures have exploded to record highs in 2025, capping one of the most dramatic rallies in the history of the precious metals market as investors piled into hard assets amid shifting monetary policy, geopolitical turmoil and tightening supply.Gold futures surged past $4,470 an ounce on Monday, up roughly 70% for the year — the metal’s strongest annual performance since 1979, according to market data cited by Bloomberg News.Silver outpaced even gold, soaring more than 130% year-to-date to aro ...
Fed Rate Cuts and Faster Builds: A Turning Point for Toll Brothers?
ZACKS· 2025-09-22 15:16
公司近期财务表现 - 第三财季净签约合同量同比下降4% [2] - 未交付订单量同比下降19%,潜在收入下降10% [2] - 调整后房屋销售毛利率为27.5%,同比下降130个基点 [2] 公司运营策略与优势 - 约35%的社区现可在8个月或更短时间内交付房屋,相比复杂项目长达11个月的周期有所缩短 [4] - 通过增加投机房策略支持更快的周转时间,以更有效地将客户兴趣转化为成交 [4] 公司估值与市场表现 - 公司股价在过去三个月上涨24.2%,表现优于行业、板块和标普500指数 [8] - 基于未来12个月盈利的市盈率为10.24,低于行业平均的12.33 [12] - 过去30天内,2025财年每股收益共识预期从13.99美元下调至13.82美元,预示同比利润下降7.9% [13] 行业宏观环境 - 高企的抵押贷款利率和建筑成本抑制了买家情绪,减缓了多个地区的销售活动 [1] - 美联储近期将基准利率下调25个基点至4%-4.25%区间,为去年12月以来首次降息,并暗示今年还将有两次降息 [3] 同业公司动态 - Lennar公司通过价格激励和抵押贷款买断来维持销量,但第二财季毛利率从22.5%下滑至18% [6] - D R Horton公司第三财季81%的买家依赖激励计划,这对盈利能力造成压力 [7]