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股票股指期权:下行升波,市场对下跌的恐慌情绪上升
国泰君安期货·2025-03-14 05:23

根据提供的行业研报内容,以下是关于股票股指期权市场的关键要点总结: 报告行业投资评级 - 报告未明确提及具体的行业投资评级 [1] 报告的核心观点 - 市场呈现下行升波特征,反映出投资者对市场下跌的恐慌情绪上升 [1] 标的市场表现 - 上证50指数收盘2664.62点,下跌4.40点,成交量42.50亿手,减少0.95亿手,当月基差0.45点,次月基差1.65点 [1] - 沪深300指数收盘3911.58点,下跌15.65点,成交量156.54亿手,减少0.20亿手,当月基差-4.85点,次月基差-7.65点 [1] - 中证1000指数收盘6466.85点,下跌100.12点,成交量266.83亿手,减少14.88亿手,当月基差-37.65点,次月基差-111.12点 [1] - 上证50ETF收盘2.723元,下跌0.007元,成交量5.72亿手,增加0.26亿手,当月基差0.000元,次月基差0.004元 [1] - 华泰柏瑞300ETF收盘4.005元,下跌0.020元,成交量6.41亿手,增加0.32亿手,当月基差-0.002元,次月基差-0.004元 [1] - 南方500ETF收盘5.989元,下跌0.051元,成交量2.13亿手,增加0.08亿手,当月基差-0.033元,次月基差-0.075元 [1] - 华夏科创50ETF收盘1.126元,下跌0.024元,成交量39.17亿手,增加5.81亿手,当月基差-0.002元,次月基差-0.005元 [1] - 易方达科创50ETF收盘1.095元,下跌0.024元,成交量8.30亿手,增加1.30亿手,当月基差-0.001元,次月基差-0.006元 [1] - 嘉实300ETF收盘4.106元,下跌0.019元,成交量1.42亿手,增加0.16亿手,当月基差0.000元,次月基差-0.003元 [1] - 嘉实500ETF收盘2.392元,下跌0.019元,成交量0.70亿手,减少0.16亿手,当月基差-0.011元,次月基差-0.028元 [1] - 创业板ETF收盘2.125元,下跌0.024元,成交量11.14亿手,增加0.70亿手,当月基差-0.003元,次月基差-0.006元 [1] - 深证100ETF收盘2.770元,下跌0.022元,成交量0.31亿手,增加0.05亿手,当月基差-0.003元,次月基差-0.004元 [1] 期权市场交易活动 - 上证50股指期权成交量30868手,增加3600手,持仓量75691手,增加191手,VL-PCR 52.50%,OI-PCR 53.74% [1] - 沪深300股指期权成交量96700手,增加2025手,持仓量223007手,增加3943手,VL-PCR 67.17%,OI-PCR 68.54% [1] - 中证1000股指期权成交量311677手,增加20423手,持仓量261402手,增加3234手,VL-PCR 99.18%,OI-PCR 86.24% [1] - 上证50ETF期权成交量1028688手,增加172463手,持仓量1598488手,增加11577手,VL-PCR 82.79%,OI-PCR 73.57% [1] - 华泰柏瑞300ETF期权成交量915285手,增加67091手,持仓量1434520手,减少5749手,VL-PCR 85.96%,OI-PCR 84.18% [1] - 南方500ETF期权成交量1535057手,增加296626手,持仓量1250553手,增加20083手,VL-PCR 95.28%,OI-PCR 96.34% [1] - 华夏科创50ETF期权成交量1215436手,增加303177手,持仓量1929193手,增加16350手,VL-PCR 81.48%,OI-PCR 72.60% [1] - 易方达科创50ETF期权成交量439646手,减少105058手,持仓量628104手,增加3391手,VL-PCR 80.20%,OI-PCR 72.77% [1] - 嘉实300ETF期权成交量127179手,增加23759手,持仓量301392手,增加25458手,VL-PCR 82.25%,OI-PCR 71.03% [1] - 嘉实500ETF期权成交量193001手,增加31450手,持仓量371377手,增加39296手,VL-PCR 115.78%,OI-PCR 77.42% [1] - 创业板ETF期权成交量1185807手,增加320864手,持仓量1601082手,增加130509手,VL-PCR 87.28%,OI-PCR 64.90% [1] - 深证100ETF期权成交量42447手,增加7329手,持仓量130023手,增加9727手,VL-PCR 106.43%,OI-PCR 70.95% [1] 期权波动率指标 - 上证50股指期权近月ATM-IV 13.73%,上升0.25%,同期限HV 12.48%,下降0.28%,Skew 5.97%,下降3.16%,VIX 16.30,上升0.007 [4] - 沪深300股指期权近月ATM-IV 13.88%,下降0.06%,同期限HV 11.03%,上升0.33%,Skew 5.12%,下降2.04%,VIX 16.95,上升0.133 [4] - 中证1000股指期权近月ATM-IV 22.59%,上升0.45%,同期限HV 18.66%,上升5.37%,Skew -5.55%,上升1.98%,VIX 24.39,上升0.276 [4] - 上证50ETF期权近月ATM-IV 13.75%,上升0.22%,同期限HV 11.18%,下降2.03%,Skew 7.66%,下降0.05%,VIX 15.39,上升0.155 [4] - 华泰柏瑞300ETF期权近月ATM-IV 14.43%,上升0.34%,同期限HV 9.20%,下降3.98%,Skew 2.32%,下降2.30%,VIX 16.57,上升0.232 [4] - 南方500ETF期权近月ATM-IV 19.69%,上升0.58%,同期限HV 11.16%,下降7.36%,Skew -3.38%,下降1.81%,VIX 22.17,上升0.483 [4] - 华夏科创50ETF期权近月ATM-IV 29.48%,下降0.67%,同期限HV 26.28%,下降7.48%,Skew 15.95%,下降3.78%,VIX 32.99,下降0.227 [4] - 易方达科创50ETF期权近月ATM-IV 30.93%,下降0.71%,同期限HV 27.13%,下降6.95%,Skew 12.89%,下降0.85%,VIX 33.33,下降0.776 [4] - 嘉实300ETF期权近月ATM-IV 14.29%,上升0.15%,同期限HV 9.18%,下降4.51%,Skew 5.54%,上升0.13%,VIX 16.26,上升0.394 [4] - 嘉实500ETF期权近月ATM-IV 19.86%,上升0.40%,同期限HV 11.95%,下降7.85%,Skew -0.41%,上升6.49%,VIX 20.45,下降0.158 [4] - 创业板ETF期权近月ATM-IV 23.19%,下降0.52%,同期限HV 16.37%,下降9.29%,Skew 4.00%,下降3.53%,VIX 24.81,下降0.331 [4] - 深证100ETF期权近月ATM-IV 18.10%,上升0.47%,同期限HV 11.02%,下降6.60%,Skew 0.07%,下降1.69%,VIX 17.90,上升0.033 [4] 次月期权波动率 - 上证50股指期权次月ATM-IV 14.99%,上升0.33%,同期限HV 11.88%,下降0.10%,Skew 7.67%,上升0.46% [4] - 沪深300股指期权次月ATM-IV 15.16%,上升0.46%,同期限HV 12.46%,下降0.43%,Skew 5.28%,下降0.97% [4] - 中证1000股指期权次月ATM-IV 22.77%,上升0.44%,同期限HV 21.47%,下降0.44%,Skew -1.28%,上升0.76% [4] - 上证50ETF期权次月ATM-IV 14.63%,上升0.20%,同期限HV 11.36%,下降0.02%,Skew 5.80%,上升0.66% [4] - 华泰柏瑞300ETF期权次月ATM-IV 15.03%,上升0.31%,同期限HV 12.07%,下降0.07%,Skew 4.03%,下降2.07% [4] - 南方500ETF期权次月ATM-IV 19.72%,上升0.65%,同期限HV 17.72%,上升0.07%,Skew -0.90%,下降0.89% [4] - 华夏科创50ETF期权次月ATM-IV 30.86%,上升0.05%,同期限HV 33.78%,上升0.81%,Skew 14.21%,下降0.60% [4] - 易方达科创50ETF期权次月ATM-IV 30.81%,下降0.17%,同期限HV 33.97%,上升0.85%,Skew 14.50%,下降0.45% [4] - 嘉实300ETF期权次月ATM-IV 14.98%,上升0.30%,同期限HV 12.44%,下降0.12%,Skew 4.30%,下降2.66% [4] - 嘉实500ETF期权次月ATM-IV 19.75%,上升0.05%,同期限HV 18.55%,上升0.01%,Skew -2.15%,下降0.26% [4] - 创业板ETF期权次月ATM-IV 24.04%,下降0.38%,同期限HV 25.37%,下降0.09%,Skew 6.47%,上升1.29% [4] - 深证100ETF期权次月ATM-IV 18.33%,上升0.22%,同期限HV 17.01%,上升0.01%,Skew 0.35%,下降4.36% [4]