The race for Fed chair looks to be entering its final phase. Said this a few or does it because now we're back to four or five again. >> It's four. >> You missed you missed the dropping of the one when you were out. >> No, but I was reading it this morning that both Kevins are back in. Waller's in and readers, right? Okay. I saw that. Senior economics reporter Steve Leeman joins us with the details. Hey Steve. Uh Joe, President Trump's extended search for the next Fed chair reaching the endgame with a flurr ...

美联储潜在人选与独立性 - 两位潜在人选（Kevin）均为优秀且经验丰富的经济学家 具备应对金融危机的经验 是合理的选择 [1][2] - 美联储主席的艰巨任务在于 在维护美联储独立性的同时 需应对总统希望影响决策过程的压力 [2] 债券市场的决定性作用 - 债券市场将是最终的决定者 若美联储在降息上过于激进 债券市场将推高利率 导致政策适得其反 [3] - 债券市场的反应可能是不连续且剧烈的 可能出现无反应后突然剧烈反应的情况 这对经济运行不利 [4] - 政策一旦实施便难以回溯 债券市场的反应将迫使美联储调整政策 [3][4][5] 就业市场与宏观经济状况 - 受政府停摆和数据调查混乱影响 即将公布的就业报告可能存在巨大异常值 数据噪音较大 [6] - 经济并未创造就业岗位 若相信美联储主席关于当前数据每月高估6万就业人数的评论 则表明就业岗位正在减少 [7] - 失业率在劳动力供给未增加的情况下上升 经济处于相当危险的境地 就业市场失去岗位是脆弱而非有韧性的表现 [8]

凯文·哈塞特对美联储主席职位的回应 - 特朗普总统的首席经济顾问凯文·哈塞特驳斥了外界担忧 即若他被选为下一任美联储主席 他将仅仅推行特朗普的议程 [1]

President Trump said he was leaning toward choosing either Warsh or Kevin Hassett to succeed Fed chair Jerome Powell. ...

Prediction markets give Hassett, a top economist in the Trump administration, a nearly 80% chance of becoming Fed chief. ...