分析师背景与研究方法 - 采用价值投资策略 基于所有者思维和长期投资视角 [1] - 不发布做空报告 从不建议做空操作 [1] - 曾任职富达投资顾问 现为独立投资者并分享研究成果 [1] 信息披露声明 - 分析师未持有任何提及公司的股票 期权或衍生品头寸 [2] - 未来72小时内无任何头寸建立计划 [2] - 文章内容为独立研究成果 未获得相关公司报酬 [2] 平台性质说明 - 过往业绩不保证未来结果 不提供具体投资建议 [3] - 观点不代表Seeking Alpha整体立场 [3] - 平台非持牌证券交易商或投资顾问 分析师包含专业及个人投资者 [3]

Semiconductor capital equipment is notorious for its booms and busts. Few suppliers feel those swings more acutely than Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (NASDAQ: ICHR ), a niche subsystem maker that has grown rapidly through acquisitions but stillBSc (Eng), MBA. Self-taught value investor with 2 decades of investing experience. Blogger at i4value.asia. The blog is on value investing through case studies where I analyze and value listed companies in the ASEAN and US regions. I have an exceptional perspective having serv ...

As of 2025, I've got over 10 years of researching companies. In total, throughout my investing life, I estimate that I researched (in depth) well over 1000 companies, from commodities like oil, natural gas, gold and copper to tech like Google or Nokia and many emerging market stocks, which I believe could help me provide useful content for readers. After writing my own blog for about 3 years, I decided to switch to a value investing-focused YouTube channel, where I researched hundreds of different companies ...

Recently, I started covering Brookfield Corporation ( BN ), and since the company has a very solid track record, as does its asset manager BAM , its ETFs piqued my curiosity. This time, I'm going to take a deep dive into Brookfield InfrastructureEquity Research Analyst with a broad career in the financial market, covered both Brazilian and global stocks. As a value investor, my analysis is primarily fundamental, focusing on identifying undervalued stocks with growth potential. Feel free to reach out for col ...

沃伦·巴菲特投资策略 - 巴菲特通过常识性投资原则将伯克希尔哈撒韦打造成市值万亿美元巨头 [1] - 巴菲特投资理念强调以合理价格买入优秀公司而非以极低价格买入普通公司 [6] 苹果公司(Apple Inc) - 苹果是伯克希尔哈撒韦最大持仓 自2016年投资以来回报率超过750% [3] - 公司近期出售部分苹果持仓 此前该持仓占投资组合比例超过25% [3] - iPhone 17发布仅带来渐进式改进 但推出厚度仅5.6毫米的新款iPhone Air 比iPhone 17薄29% 重量比iPhone 16 Pro轻1.2盎司 [4] - 近三分之一在用iPhone为iPhone 13或更早型号 升级周期将推动收入大幅增长 [5] - 公司支付少量股息 适合大多数投资组合 [5] 亚马逊(Amazon.com Inc) - 公司估值从三年前超过110倍市盈率下降至目前35.2倍市盈率 [6] - 电子商务业务在美国和海外市场占据主导地位 但目前仅占美国零售销售额16.3% [6] - 亚马逊云服务(AWS)第二季度收入同比增长17% 是公司增长最快部门 [8] - AWS拥有最高运营利润率达33% 推动公司整体收入增长13% [8] 行业发展趋势 - 电子商务和云计算将继续推动亚马逊增长 [7] - 万事达卡国际业务将驱动其持续最佳增长 [7]

核心观点 - 价值投资在当前市场环境下被忽视 人工智能相关股票受到过度关注 而基本面强劲的公司被低估 为传统价值投资策略提供机会 [1] - 美联储开启降息周期可能刺激消费者活动 消费 discretionary 板块存在投资机会 [3] - CAVA Group Lululemon Athletica 和 United Parcel Service 三家公司呈现独特价值投资角度 [3] 行业分析 - 消费 discretionary 板块可能因美联储降息而受益 消费者活动预计在未来几个月增加 [3] - 快餐休闲餐厅商业模式已被验证成功 以 Chipotle Mexican Grill 为例证 [4] - 电子商务增长推动物流运输需求 UPS 作为行业基础设施重要组成部分将受益 [11] CAVA Group 投资价值 - 公司市值72亿美元 远小于Chipotle的532亿美元市值 具备更高增长潜力 [5] - 预计2026年第二季度EPS将达到024美元 较当前016美元显著提升 [6] - 分析师共识目标价9640美元 暗示超过50%上涨空间 [6] - 当前股价仅处于52周高点的36%水平 [6] Lululemon Athletica 投资价值 - 股价跌至52周高点的40%水平 因管理策略导致库存投资增加影响现金流和盈利 [7][8] - 品牌护城河依然坚固 消费者认可度保持高位 [9] - 华尔街分析师共识目标价23930美元 隐含42%上涨潜力 [9] - 利率下降环境可能提升消费者信心 推动公司复苏 [9] United Parcel Service 投资价值 - 当前股价处于52周高点的58%水平 [12] - 分析师共识目标价11144美元 暗示333%上涨空间 [12] - 机构投资者保持信心 AQR Capital Management在2025年8月增持至2314百万美元头寸 [12] - 作为电子商务运输核心基础设施 将直接受益于在线购物增长 [11]

巴菲特投资策略与市场环境 - 巴菲特近年面临股票市场估值过高挑战 标普500指数远期市盈率达224倍 显著高于历史中位数水平[3] - 伯克希尔过去三年出售1770亿美元股票 因符合投资标准的大型公司机会稀缺[2][5][7] - 现金储备达3440亿美元 投资标的仅限于能对伯克希尔业绩产生实质影响的超大型企业[2] 日本综合商社投资部署 - 2023年8月底对三菱商事(OTC: MSBHF/MTSUY)和三井物产(OTC: MITSY/MITSF)增持超4亿美元[1][8] - 投资对象包括五大商社(三菱、三井、伊藤忠、住友、丸红) 均为跨行业综合型企业集团[1] - 通过子公司National Indemnity操作 对三菱持股增加05个百分点 按当时股价计算投资额约4-45亿美元[8] 企业估值与投资逻辑 - 三菱商事市净率低于15倍 8月披露前维持在14倍以下[10] - 三井物产估值更低 市净率低于14倍 8月期间接近125倍[10] - 估值受压于关税担忧 但美日9月初达成贸易协议消除不确定性[10] 长期持有核心原因 - 五家商社经营模式类似伯克希尔 保持强劲资产负债表且仅将三分之一盈利作为股息分配[11] - 主要资本用于业务拓展和新投资机会 极少增发新股[12] - 管理层被评价为"杰出" 符合巴菲特永久持有标准[13] - 存在未来合作潜力 商社具备跨行业专业知识 伯克希尔拥有充足资本支持新投资[13] 持股现状与未来空间 - 伯克希尔已获准突破10%持股上限 近期增持后对三菱(及可能对三井)持股超限[13] - 巴菲特预期接班人Greg Abel将继续与五家商社保持合作[6][13] - 日本商社股估值仍具吸引力 存在继续增持可能性[13]

If you have been following my work, you will know that I like investment setups where I see an increasing divergence in price performance among peers. Such setups tend to present attractive pair trades because usually theI'm a self taught equity analyst, I run a consultation firm in South Africa where we help clients with estimating the value of construction projects, over the past 5 years I've been retail investing and learning more about how the stock market works, following the work of Ben Graham and Joe ...

Key Points Growth stocks have been leading the market higher, but dividend-paying stocks have a place in a portfolio. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF is a great way to buy a collection of top-quality dividend-paying stocks. Thanks to improvements in MLPs, the Alerian MLP ETF is a great way to invest in this area and get a high yield. 10 stocks we like better than Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF › The market just keeps grinding higher and big tech has been doing most of the heavy lifting, wh ...

Value investing means looking where others aren’t. The strategy requires going against the grain. To find stocks that have been overlooked, you have to bet on fundamentals that the crowd has yet to recognize.What does that mean in today's momentum-driven market, dominated by technology and growth themes? That consumer staples have been left in the shadows. And this has created opportunities for investors willing to act before sentiment turns.  Within this backdrop, The Hershey Company NYSE: HSY and PepsiCo ...