If we took a single 10-week strand of pricing data from Oracle (ORCL), the return during this period won’t tell us much about the performance probability of the other weeks. However, if we took hundreds of rolling 10-week sequences of ORCL stock and arranged them in a distribution, the most frequent, consistent performances would lead to bulges in probability mass. These bulges represent risk geometry, which allows us to make smarter decisions.Instead, we need to think in terms of probabilistic mass and ris ...