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Moody's Mark Zandi Warns Of 'Uncomfortably High' 48% Probability Of US Recession In Next 12 Months - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga·2025-09-15 06:32

The U.S. economy faces an “uncomfortably high” 48% probability of slipping into a recession within the next 12 months, according to Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics.Moody’s Predicts 48% Chance Of RecessionZandi shared this concerning forecast on X, citing Moody’s newly unveiled leading economic indicator, which is derived from a machine learning algorithm. While historically such high probabilities haven’t always led to a recession, the current figure represents an unprecedented level of ris ...