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ConocoPhillips: Premium Asset Base And Fortress Balance Sheet
Seeking Alpha· 2024-02-27 05:52
公司概况 - ConocoPhillips(NYSE:COP)是一家总部位于休斯顿的独立E&P公司,主要开采原油、沥青、液化天然气和天然气等碳氢化合物资源[1] - 公司成立于2002年,由Conoco和Phillips Petroleum进行了一次平等合并,专注于勘探和生产[2] - COP在全球13个国家拥有探索、生产或两者兼有的全球网络,通过5个地理部门和其附属股权投资进行运营[3] 美国大陆活动 - 公司在美国大陆的活动涵盖了2023年产量约为1.1Mboed的活动,其中约53%为原油,约77%为液体[4] - 大部分产量来自Permian、Eagle Ford和Bakken地区,其中Permian盆地单独贡献了2023年约76%的产量[4] 阿拉斯加活动 - COP在Prudhoe Bay、Kuparuk和Western North Slope等地区拥有长达50多年的勘探历史,是该州最大的石油生产商[5] - 公司最近获得了Willow项目的批准,该项目预计于2029年启动,预计将增加约180kboed的产量,其中100%为原油[5] 加拿大活动 - 加拿大的运营包括Surmont和Montney两个开发项目,目前的产量为105kboed,其中100%为原油和液体[6] 欧洲、中东和北非活动 - 欧洲、中东和北非(“EMENA”)部门由挪威北海和利比亚的石油和液体丰富的少数经营资产组成,2023年产量为168kboed[7] 亚太地区活动 - 亚太地区(“APAC”)主要是位于东南亚的海上资产,产量为68kboed,88%为原油和液体[8] 全球合资企业 - COP参与了全球各地的合资企业,主要专注于将天然气生产和加工成液化天然气,以服务欧洲和亚洲的能源市场[8] 未来展望 - COP计划通过2032年实现4-5%的年产量增长,主要受到非常规资源的进一步扩张和Willow项目的推动[9] 风险和回报 - 估计中点处的股息支付比率和预期股息增加约2.1%,总回报潜力约为25%[31] - 关键风险包括石油和天然气基本面的突然恶化,以及特定挑战,包括主要项目成本超支或监管变化[31]
ConocoPhillips (COP) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-22 15:30
Investors often turn to recommendations made by Wall Street analysts before making a Buy, Sell, or Hold decision about a stock. While media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm employed (or sell-side) analysts often affect a stock's price, do they really matter?Let's take a look at what these Wall Street heavyweights have to say about ConocoPhillips (COP) before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage.ConocoPhillips currently has an avera ...
ConocoPhillips(COP) - 2023 Q4 - Annual Report
2024-02-14 16:00
2023 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 Form 10-K (Mark One) ☒ ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from _______________ to _______________ Commission file number: 001-32395 ConocoPhillips (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 01-0562944 ...
These stocks could surge if Oil prices start to rise
Finbold· 2024-02-14 13:09
Commodities such as oil tend to increase when there are geopolitical tensions, especially in the Middle East region, as they could affect the supply chains and further elevate the price of black gold.According to sources within the market citing figures from the American Petroleum Institute (API), U.S. crude oil inventories increased last week, while fuel stockpiles experienced declines. The API data indicated a rise of 8.52 million barrels in crude stocks for the week ending February 9. Gasoline inventorie ...
ConocoPhillips: Despite The 'Pause,' Port Arthur LNG Is Full-On
Seeking Alpha· 2024-02-13 20:30
LNG Tanker Moored To The Jetty Felix Cesare/Moment via Getty Images In late January, President Biden issued a statement announcing a "pause" on pending approvals for new LNG export terminals. The negative response from the Republicans and the O&G industry was expected and did not disappoint. However, the "pause" does not impact LNG terminals that have already been approved by the Biden administration. As most of my followers know, I have been reporting on ConocoPhillips' (NYSE:COP) pivot from investing he ...
Diamondback Energy makes beats ConocoPhillips to land $26bn Endeavor Energy
Proactive Investors· 2024-02-12 14:02
Proactive团队 - Ian Lyall在Proactive担任Managing Editor,负责监督编辑和广播运营[1] - Proactive的新闻团队遍布全球主要金融和投资中心[2] Proactive报道范围 - Proactive专注于中小市值市场,同时也关注蓝筹公司、大宗商品和更广泛的投资故事[3] Proactive新闻内容 - Proactive团队提供关于生物技术、矿业和自然资源、电池金属、石油和天然气、加密货币以及新兴数字和电动车技术等市场的新闻和独特见解[4]
ConocoPhillips(COP) - 2023 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-02-08 21:02
4Q23 Earnings Conference Call February 8, 2024 Cautionary Statement This news release contains forward-looking statements as defined under the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future events, plans and anticipated results of operations, business strategies, and other aspects of our operations or operating results. Words and phrases such as"ambition,""anticipate,""estimate,""believe,""budget""continue,""could,""intend,""may""plan,""potential,""predict,""seek,""should,""will,""woul ...
ConocoPhillips(COP) - 2023 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-02-08 21:02
财务数据和关键指标变化 - 公司在第四季度实现了每股2.40美元的经调整收益 [20] - 公司全年2023年产量达到1,902,000桶油当量/天,同比增长4% [20] - 第四季度下游业务产量为1,086,000桶油当量/天,同比增长9% [21] - 第四季度经营活动现金流为55亿美元,其中包括281百万美元的APLNG分红 [22] - 第四季度资本支出为29亿美元,全年为112亿美元,其中较长周期项目支出为20亿美元 [22] - 公司在2023年向股东返还了110亿美元资本 [23] 各条业务线数据和关键指标变化 - 下游业务2023年全年同比增长约8% [21] - 下游业务中,Permian产量为750,000桶油当量/天,Eagle Ford为211,000桶油当量/天,Bakken为110,000桶油当量/天 [21] - 公司在Montney地区的产量在2023年第四季度达到33,000桶油当量/天,全年平均为24,000桶油当量/天 [95][96] 各个市场数据和关键指标变化 - 公司在挪威完成了4个子海底井的投产,其中3个提前投产 [144] - 公司在中国渤海地区投产了两个4B期平台 [145] - 公司在加拿大Surmont项目的267号井垫在12月实现首次产出,并将在未来几个月内逐步提产 [145] 公司战略和发展方向及行业竞争 - 公司在2023年取得了多项战略性进展,包括在卡塔尔的LNG战略、阿拉斯加Willow项目FID、以及收购Surmont剩余50%权益等 [13][14] - 公司在2023年进一步提升了温室气体排放强度目标,并获得了甲烷伙伴计划2.0的金标准认证 [16] - 公司认为行业内还会有更多并购整合活动,并表示公司的并购策略是基于成本供给、财务框架和提升10年规划等因素来评估 [53][54][55] 管理层对经营环境和未来前景的评论 - 公司预计2024年产量将在1,910,000-1,950,000桶油当量/天之间,同比增长2%-4% [24] - 公司预计2024年调整后营业成本将在89-91亿美元之间,单位成本基本持平 [27] - 公司预计2024年资本支出将在110-115亿美元之间,其中包括2-3亿美元的资本化利息 [28] - 公司表示2024年第一季度资本支出可能会超过30亿美元,主要是由于Willow项目和Port Arthur项目的支出集中在上半年 [30] - 公司认为未来一年美国页岩油气产量增速将有所放缓,预计在30-50万桶/天之间 [34][35] 问答环节重要的提问和回答 问题1 **Neil Mehta 提问** 您如何看待未来一年美国页岩油气产量的增长情况? [34] **Ryan Lance 回答** 公司预计未来一年美国页岩油气产量增速将有所放缓,预计在30-50万桶/天之间,这主要受到效率和钻机数量的影响 [35] 问题2 **Doug Leggate 提问** 您如何看待公司的资产组合分解点以及与股息相关的分解点? [41][42] **Dominic Macklon 回答** 在中期价格环境下,公司的自由现金流分解点平均在35美元/桶WTI左右,加上股息需要的8-9美元/桶,总的分解点在43-44美元/桶左右 [45][46] **Bill Bullock 回答** 公司目前的资产负债表状况很好,净债务/经营活动现金流比率为0.5倍,这为公司提供了战略性资产,支持了240亿美元的资本回报计划 [47] 问题3 **Nitin Kumar 提问** 公司2024年的资本回报计划中,股票回购和现金股息的占比如何? [58] **Bill Bullock 回答** 公司2024年计划将资本回报的60%用于股票回购,约53-54亿美元,剩余40%用于现金股息和VROC,这样可以在现金和回购之间达到合理平衡 [59][60][61]
ConocoPhillips (COP) Q4 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-08 17:30
For the quarter ended December 2023, ConocoPhillips (COP) reported revenue of $15.31 billion, down 20.5% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $2.40, compared to $2.71 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue represents a surprise of +5.76% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.47 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $2.08, the EPS surprise was +15.38%.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determ ...
ConocoPhillips (COP) Q4 Earnings Beat on Higher Oil Volumes
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-08 16:35
ConocoPhillips (COP) reported fourth-quarter 2023 adjusted earnings per share of $2.40, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.08. The bottom line, however, declined from the prior-year quarter’s $2.71 per share.One of the world’s leading independent oil and gas producers headquartered in Houston, TX, ConocoPhillips’ quarterly revenues of $15.3 billion decreased from the fourth-quarter 2022 figure of $19.3 billion. The top line, however, beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.5 billion.Higher oil equi ...