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Celsius Stock Crash: Is This a Buying Opportunity?
ZACKS· 2024-09-05 20:55
公司表现与估值 - Celsius Holdings (CELH) 近年来是饮料行业中最热门的股票之一,主要得益于其在能量饮料市场的强大品牌影响力和快速的收入增长 [1] - 尽管过去几年股价大幅上涨,但最近三个月股价暴跌近70%,使估值回归到更合理的水平 [1] - 过去五年,Celsius 股票的年化回报率为91%,尽管近期回报率从7,800%下降至2,500%,但三年期表现基本持平 [3] - 目前公司股价为4.8倍远期销售额,远低于其五年中位数的9.9倍,也低于市场平均的5.4倍 [5] - 公司过去两年盈利显著改善,一年远期市盈率为26.4倍,与饮料行业成熟公司相当 [6] - 分析师预计未来三到五年每股收益(EPS)年增长率为24.1%,PEG比率略高于1,表明其估值在考虑增长后较为合理 [7] 行业对比 - 饮料行业近年来因其强大的商业模式和领先股票的优异回报而备受关注,尤其是可口可乐、百事可乐和 Monster Beverage 等公司 [9] - Monster Beverage 在过去二十年中股价上涨近20,000%,年化回报率为30%,但增长显著放缓 [10] - 相比之下,Celsius 预计销售额将以高两位数增长,EPS 增长将在中高20%区间,使其成为更具吸引力的增长选择 [12] - Monster Beverage 的远期市盈率为29.1倍,高于 Celsius 的26.4倍 [12] 财务预测 - 根据 Zacks 共识估计,Celsius 当前季度销售额预计为19.2亿美元,同比增长3.58%,全年销售额预计为75.4亿美元,同比增长5.54% [13] - 当前季度每股收益预计为0.43美元,同比增长4.88%,全年每股收益预计为1.66美元,同比增长7.10% [14] - 下一财年销售额预计为81.5亿美元,同比增长8.15%,每股收益预计为1.89美元,同比增长13.75% [13][14] 投资建议 - Celsius 是一家快速增长、资产轻的公司,近期股价下跌使其估值更具吸引力,反映了潜在的长期现金流 [15] - 尽管股价仍处于大幅下跌趋势,但当前估值低于历史中位数,适合谨慎投资者考虑 [15] - 建议投资者可考虑在当前价位建立小仓位,或等待价格企稳及盈利预期上调后再行动 [16]
Why Celsius Stock Plummeted This Week
The Motley Fool· 2024-09-05 18:19
Down 67% from its highs in 2024, Celsius now has a valuation that's only slightly above the broader market's. Shares of Celsius (CELH -1.79%), the third-best-selling energy drink brand in the United States, have plummeted 16% in the past week as of 1:45 p.m. ET Thursday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Presenting at the Barclays Global Consumer Conference on Wednesday, Celsius admitted that orders from PepsiCo (its largest distributor) would be down by $100 million to $120 mill ...
When Will Celsius Stock Catch a Break in 2024?
The Motley Fool· 2024-09-05 15:55
Celsius hits another 52-week low on Thursday after another problematic report. This isn't the end. Until this year, Celsius Holdings (CELH -0.99%) was all about great expectations. Shares of the functional beverage company soared as its svelte cans of fruit-flavored and metabolism-boosting sparkling water gobbled up market share in the energy drink space. But the past few months have been a different story. The stock is now down 41% this year, off a blistering 67% since peaking just four months ago. The lat ...
Why Celsius Stock Suddenly Plunged Today
The Motley Fool· 2024-09-04 19:27
Is revenue really about to take a $120 million haircut? It started out as a calm morning for shares of Celsius Holdings (CELH -10.59%). But around noon, management made an appearance at Barclays' 17th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference. During the chat, management said something that sparked fear in investors: In the current quarter, sales to PepsiCo (PEP 0.20%) are down $100 million to $120 million compared to last year. Investors took action, and that's why Celsius stock was down a painful 12% as o ...
Wall Street Analysts Think Celsius (CELH) Is a Good Investment: Is It?
ZACKS· 2024-09-04 14:37
文章核心观点 - 华尔街分析师的推荐常被投资者用于决定买入、卖出或持有股票,但这些推荐的可靠性存在争议 [1] - 分析师往往存在正面偏差,给出更多"强烈买入"评级而很少"强烈卖出"评级,与散户投资者利益不一致 [2][6] - 与分析师推荐相比,Zacks排名是一个更可靠的股价预测指标,能更准确反映公司的盈利前景 [3][4][6][7] 公司概况 - Celsius Holdings Inc.(CELH)目前的平均券商评级(ABR)为1.47,介于"强烈买入"和"买入"之间 [1] - 15家券商中有12家给出"强烈买入"评级,占比80% [1] 行业分析 - 分析师往往受制于券商的利益,给出过于乐观的评级,误导投资者的决策 [2][6] - Zacks排名更能反映公司的盈利前景,与股价走势高度相关 [6][7] - 对于Celsius,Zacks排名为4级(卖出),与券商的"买入"评级存在差异 [8]
3 Reasons Celsius Holdings' Growth Rate Could Improve (and 1 Reason Why It May Slow Down)
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-30 14:00
With Celsius stock falling drastically in recent months, is now a good time to invest in the business? Shares of Celsius Holdings (CELH 2.18%) have been in a free fall of late. The energy drink company's growth rate has been slowing and with the stock trading at a high premium, it has had some difficulty attracting and retaining growth investors. A year ago, the business was growing at a rate of 112%. Now, it has slowed to just 23%. Ultimately, choosing to buy the stock or not could come down to whether you ...
Celsius: The Growth Story Isn't Over
Seeking Alpha· 2024-08-27 18:24
SolStock The momentum in Celsius Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CELH) has deflated with the share price collapsing nearly 60% from its $100 highs to trade at near $40 today. While it may be tempting to think that its growth story is over, Celsius remains a market share taker in a category that is experiencing some level of growth slow-down. Just how enduring this slowdown is remains to be seen. Celsius reported fairly robust results in its most recent quarter. Revenue of 402M was up 23%. However, more importantly, ...
3 Stock-Split Stocks Soared 2,909% to 4,121% in the Last 5 Years (Hint: Nvidia Ranks Third)
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-27 09:12
文章核心观点 - 过去5年中,Nvidia、Celsius和Super Micro Computer是美国增长最快的三家公司之一 [1] - Russell 1000指数涵盖了美国股票市场约93%的市值,比S&P 500更广泛 [2][3] - 分析了过去5年中Russell 1000指数中表现最好的美国股票,其中Nvidia、Celsius和Super Micro Computer位列前三 [3] - 这三家公司在过去一年内都宣布了股票拆分 [3] Nvidia - Nvidia在数据中心GPU出货量中占据98%的市场份额 [4] - Nvidia提供了强大的软件开发工具CUDA,帮助开发者构建AI应用程序 [5] - Nvidia在AI处理器市场占据70%-95%的市场份额,财务表现出色,过去5年销售增长644%,毛利率提升1500个基点 [6] - 未来10年内,图形处理器销售预计将以27%的年复合增长率增长,Nvidia有望从中受益 [8] Celsius - Celsius是美国第三大能量饮料品牌,正在迅速缩小与Red Bull和Monster Energy的差距 [9] - Celsius定位为更健康的能量饮料,不含糖、人工香料和高果糖玉米糖浆,并经过临床试验证明能增加代谢和热量消耗 [10][11] - 未来10年内,能量饮料销售预计将以8%的年复合增长率增长,Celsius有望超越行业平均水平 [12] Super Micro Computer - Super Micro Computer专注于为数据中心设计高性能计算平台,包括用于分析和机器学习的服务器和存储解决方案 [14] - 公司自主研发和制造,拥有快速原型和产品推出能力,并采用模块化设计方法 [15] - 过去5年,公司收入增长327%,利润增长1330%,未来5年内预计利润将以43%的年复合增长率增长 [16][17] - 人工智能服务器销售预计将以32%的年复合增长率增长,Super Micro Computer有望从中获益 [17]
Where Will Celsius Stock Be in 3 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-25 15:39
This stock has energized investors' portfolios over the past several years. Celsius (CELH 0.53%) shares have climbed 84% in the past three years (as of Aug. 20). That sounds like an impressive gain, but it's important to point out that the stock has tanked 58% just in the past five months. The market might be coming to grips with the fact that the company is entering a new phase of its lifecycle, one characterized by a more mature profile. Celsius has probably caught the attention of buy-the-dip investors l ...
Down Nearly 60% From Its High, Is Celsius Holdings Stock a Bargain Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2024-08-25 13:53
Investors are paying much less of a premium for Celsius stock than they have in the past. Celsius Holdings (CELH 0.53%) has been a top growth stock to own in recent years. Its energy drinks have been growing in popularity, and as a result, sales and profits have also been taking off, making Celsius an attractive investment to buy and hold. But recently, the stock has been struggling. It has been in a free fall as investors have become concerned about its future growth prospects. The stock is not only down 6 ...